SCP-1778 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-1778
Expected annual
$72.1M
One-time setup
$618.5M
Annual recurring
$48.4M
Personnel
30
One-time mission and containment setup costs are dominated by potential dedicated recovery mission hardware and launch (~$100M–$500M per attempt); routine monitoring, intelligence, and secrecy operations drive recurring costs (~tens of millions per year).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $618.5M
Dedicated Capture Spacecraft Per Mission $300.0M
[#8] Development/procurement of a dedicated rendezvous/capture spacecraft (per dedicated recovery mission).
Launch Services Per Mission $100.0M
[#9] Launch vehicle and services for a dedicated rendezvous mission (per launch).
Asat Destructive Disposal Option $75.0M
[#22] One-time cost estimate for an ASAT/destructive disposal operation (political/cleanup mitigation not included elsewhere).
Initial Contingency Reserve $50.0M
[#12] Initial risk-mitigation reserve fund for collateral damage, diplomatic fallout, or failed attempts.
Capture Hardware And Robotics $25.0M
[#10] Space-rated robotic arms, grapples, nets, testing and qualification (one-time per capture system).
Facilities $20.0M
[#13] Hardened quarantine/examination hangar buildout and structural work.
Anomalous Contingency Reserve $20.0M
[#25] Reserved funds for anomalous/unknown effects and emergent phenomena (one-time reserve allocation).
Mission Design And Studies $8.0M
[#7] One-time comprehensive mission design, engineering studies and simulation effort prior to approval.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $6.0M
[#14] Specialized test equipment (vacuum chamber, de-spin rig, radiological lab) and research lab buildout.
Compute Cluster Setup $5.0M
[#4] Space-grade signal processing GPU/storage cluster initial procurement and installation.
Mission Propellant And Consumables Per Mission $2.0M
[#11] Propellant and mission consumables (per rendezvous attempt).
Environmental Modeling Setup $2.0M
[#23] One-time environmental and orbital-debris modeling and planning setup.
Equipment $1.8M
[#3] Radio/telemetry ground station hardware and antenna farms (one-time setup portion).
Mtf Initial Kit $1.5M
[#6] Initial MTF Beta-3 kit: suits, vehicles, aircraft time, and mission-specific equipment.
Embedded Assets Initial Placement $500K
[#5] Initial recruitment/placement costs for embedded assets inside space agencies.
Cover Story Initial Creation $500K
[#19] One-time creation of cover-story materials, fabricated records and initial covert PR setup.
Secure It Setup $500K
[#27] Initial secure IT, compartmentalization systems and related secure infrastructure setup.
Medical Quarantine Setup $500K
[#17] Medical/quarantine suite initial setup and biohazard equipment (one-time).
Initial Transport Escort Per Operation $300K
[#16] Initial lock-down and transport escort costs per operation (one-time per operation component).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $48.4M/yr
Orbital Surveillance Monitoring $6.0M/yr
[#1] Continuous SSA monitoring: dedicated radar, telescope tasking, software upkeep and data analysts.
On Demand Imagery Tasking $6.0M/yr
[#2] Budgeted annual spend for multiple high-resolution imagery/ISR satellite taskings per year.
Cover Story And Legal $5.0M/yr
[#19] Ongoing legal/diplomatic operations, covert influence budgets and cover-story maintenance.
Embedded Human Assets $5.0M/yr
[#5] Recurring salaries, covert funding and operational costs for embedded personnel in space agencies.
Contingency Replenishment $5.0M/yr
[#12, #25] Annual replenishment/reserve contribution for contingency and anomalous-impact funds.
Staff Wages $4.0M/yr
[#26] Core science & administrative staff salaries, project managers, safety officers and support staff.
Mtf Beta3 Readiness $3.0M/yr
[#6] Ongoing MTF personnel rotation pay, training, equipment maintenance and readiness exercises.
Cryptanalysis Team $3.0M/yr
[#18] Salaries and operations for cryptanalysis, linguistics and signal research team.
Logistics And Transport $1.5M/yr
[#24] Annual transport readiness, ship/aircraft charters and logistics capability maintenance.
Public Affairs $1.5M/yr
[#21] Rapid-response misinformation, social media management and leak handling budgets.
Security Personnel $1.5M/yr
[#16] Annual armed guard rotations and transport security for on-site and mission windows.
Facilities Maintenance $1.2M/yr
[#13] Yearly operations, utilities and upkeep for the hardened quarantine/exam facility.
Compute Cluster Ops $1.0M/yr
[#4] Power, maintenance and algorithm development for signal-processing and ML compute cluster.
Mission Rnd Program $1.0M/yr
[#7] Ongoing engineering studies, simulations and incremental R&D if mission planning continues as a program.
Radio Ground Operations $600K/yr
[#3] Ongoing operations, maintenance and staffing for radio/telemetry ground stations and spectrum analysts.
Medical Program $600K/yr
[#17] Ongoing medical monitoring, quarantine operations and health surveillance for involved personnel.
Research And Monitoring $500K/yr
[#14] Maintenance, consumables and upkeep for specialized test equipment and lab monitoring.
Purchase Ssa Data $500K/yr
[#20] Annual purchase/lease of priority SSA data, ephemerides and catalog updates.
Long Term Storage $500K/yr
[#15] Climate control, inert gas storage and monitoring costs for a retrieved object.
Audit And Secrecy Ops $500K/yr
[#27] Internal audit, OPSEC training, counterintelligence exercises and secure IT upkeep (recurring portion).
Debris Mitigation Monitoring $500K/yr
[#23] Annual monitoring and mitigation contracts related to orbital debris and collision avoidance.
Supplies And Consumables $0/yr
[]
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $48.4M/yr
93.0% probability / year
Routine year with observation, secrecy maintenance, R&D and readiness but no recovery attempt or major incidents.
no_recovery_approved stable_orbit_behavior no_major_leaks
🚨 Recovery Attempt $510.4M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$462.0M vs baseline
A dedicated approved recovery/disposal mission is executed, incurring spacecraft development, launch, capture hardware, propellant, mission ops and political mitigation costs in addition to baseline operations.
O5_approval_for_recovery escalating_anomalous_behavior identified_retrieval_window
🚨 Political Exposure $78.4M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$30.0M vs baseline
Significant leak or diplomatic exposure forces large legal/PR response, payouts, increased covert ops and temporary mission acceleration.
public_leak international_inquiry failed_cover_story
👥 Personnel 30 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 12 [#26] Signal analysis, cryptanalysis, orbital dynamics and experimental research staff included in core science payroll.
Lab Technician 5 [#26] Maintain test equipment, vacuum chambers, and sample handling.
Project Manager / Safety Officer 3 [#26] Program management, safety, mission coordination.
Administrative Staff 5 [#26] Procurement, accounting, scheduling and administrative support.
Legal / Procurement Specialist 3 [#26] Handles paperwork, cover-story coordination and contracting for core program.
Site Director / Executive Staff 2 [#26] Senior oversight and liaison to Level 4 and O5 oversight.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges but many items (mission architecture, political mitigation, anomalous behavior frequency) are highly uncertain; cost ranges are therefore approximated to mid/high values leading to medium confidence.
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