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SCP-1785 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1785
Expected annual
$20K
One-time setup
$34K
Annual recurring
$20K
Personnel
0.14
Estimated up-front capital and setup costs are modest (~$34k one-time) driven mainly by a small incinerator, CCTV/sensors and secure naming database; annual recurring costs are low-to-moderate (~$19.7k/yr) driven by horticultural labor, facility overhead, periodic testing and legal/compliance.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $34K
Equipment $13K
[#5, #7] Purchase of small on-site incinerator (~$12,000) and CCTV/temperature-humidity sensor kit (~$1,000).
Relocation Reserve One Time $5K
[#23] Relocation/upgrade contingency reserved for emergency transplanting or site closure.
Naming Database Setup $3K
[#13] One-time build/deploy of secure naming ledger/database.
Contingency Reserve One Time $3K
[#20] Contingency reserve for pest/disease outbreaks or unexpected removal (seed reserve).
Sop Development $2K
[#12] One-time SOP/manual drafting and initial workshop for naming protocol.
Permits One Time $2K
[#6] One-time fees and paperwork to secure any required fire/air/incineration permits.
Legal And Administrative One Time $2K
[#19] One-time legal vetting / administrative setup (agreements, initial counsel).
Initial Transport And Acquisition $1K
[#9] Initial transport, staff time and quarantine/fumigation on arrival.
It Security Setup $1K
[#21] One-time IT access-control / audit-logging setup for the naming ledger.
Archival Migration One Time $1K
[#22] Occasional migration/upgrade of archival systems (per 10–20 years; budgeted as an immediate planning cost).
Propagation One Time $600
[#8] Propagation/relocation/backup specimen setup cost (propagate and pot).
Signage One Time $500
[#18] Initial design and production of special signage/labels with wording that avoids forbidden references.
Facilities $0
[]
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $20K/yr
Staff Wages $7K/yr
[#2, #13] Part-time horticultural technician/gardener (~0.1 FTE) and small fraction of admin/database time to manage ledger (~0.02 FTE).
Facilities Maintenance $5K/yr
[#1, #7] Pro-rated site overhead for a 2x2 m plot (HVAC/shared utilities, baseline maintenance) plus electricity/networking/storage for sensors/CCTV (~$125/yr).
Research And Monitoring $3K/yr
[#10] Periodic genetic/health checks and phytopathology tests (~$3,000/yr baseline).
Cover Story And Legal $1K/yr
[#6, #19] Ongoing compliance reporting/permit fees and small annual legal retainer (~$600 + $600).
Backup Specimen Maintenance $750/yr
[#8] Annual maintenance cost for off-site or separate backup specimen (~$500–1,000/yr).
Archival Upkeep $600/yr
[#14, #22] Record-keeping, backups and archival upkeep to prevent accidental reuse of names; long-term stewardship maintenance.
Communication Overhead $600/yr
[#15, #24] Extra operational time, documentation overhead and productivity loss from linguistic effects and meeting/drill slowdowns.
Training And Sop Refresh $500/yr
[#12] Annual refresher training and small SOP updates for naming protocol.
Supplies And Consumables $425/yr
[#3, #4, #18] PPE (gloves, eye protection), fertilizer/soil amendments, and signage replacement (~$50/yr).
It Audit And Maintenance $300/yr
[#21] Annual audits and minor maintenance for database access controls and logs.
Logistics And Transport $200/yr
[#5] Incinerator fuel/annual maintenance (if on-site unit purchased) or low-level transport costs.
Medical Monitoring $0/yr
[#16] Optional periodic counseling/medical checks (budgeted at $0 baseline; optional service if provided).
Behavioral Research $0/yr
[#11] Optional behavioral/linguistic research projects (not funded in baseline; $10k–50k/yr if pursued).
Security Incremental $0/yr
[#17] Baseline assumes existing site security covers access control; incremental dedicated guard shifts are optional and set to $0 baseline.
Contingency Replenish $0/yr
[#20] Contingency reserve replenishment (baseline assumes reserve is sufficient; expense only if used).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $20K/yr
90.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with purchased on-site incinerator, routine maintenance, scheduled testing and no major incidents.
normal_operations routine_testing
🚨 Minor Pest Outbreak $23K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$3K vs baseline
Localized pest or plant disease requiring quarantine, pesticide application and extra labor.
aphids_or_black_spot quarantine_and_eradiation
🚨 Relocation Event $30K/yr
2.0% probability / year +$10K vs baseline
Specimen relocation due to site closure or emergency requiring transport, temporary containment and permit rerouting.
site_closure emergency_transplant
🚨 Regulatory Complication $35K/yr
1.0% probability / year +$15K vs baseline
Regulatory enforcement or permitting complication (e.g., emissions/fines) forcing contract incineration, legal fees and remediation.
permit_violation air_or_emissions_enforcement
🚨 Dedicated Security Required $30K/yr
2.0% probability / year +$10K vs baseline
Unanticipated need for dedicated security shifts or special access control integration raising personnel costs.
increased_threat public_incident_or_exposure
👥 Personnel 0.14 total
Role Count Notes
Horticultural Technician / Gardener 0.1 [#2] Part-time (~0.05–0.1 FTE) responsible for fertilizing, pruning, watering and waste prep.
Records Administrator / Database Admin 0.02 [#13, #21, #14] Small fraction of an FTE to maintain the naming ledger, access controls and archival backups.
Administrative Staff 0.02 [#12, #15, #19] Minor administrative time for SOP updates, training coordination, and legal/permit communications.
Research Scientist 0.0 [#10, #11] No dedicated research staff funded in baseline (periodic testing contracted as needed).
Site Security / Guard 0.0 [#17] Baseline assumes existing site security coverage; dedicated shifts are optional and modeled in scenarios.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes and the source article provide detailed recurring tasks and itemized ranges allowing mid-range estimates; uncertainty remains in site-specific permit regimes, whether the site already provides incineration/security, and optional research spending, so confidence is medium.
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