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SCP-1818 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-1818
Expected annual
$14.3M
One-time setup
$6.2M
Annual recurring
$13.8M
Personnel
29
Estimated one-time capital costs of approximately $6.19M for lab upgrades, vehicles, and equipment, with recurring annual costs of roughly $13.76M driven principally by airline compensation, contingency/insurance, staff wages, and legal/cover operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $6.2M
Facilities $2.6M
[#13, #10, #20] BSL upgrade / lab & holding-facility construction and site hardening: chosen mid-range BSL-2/3 upgrade (~$2.0M), holding facility setup (~$300k), plus site hardening/security one-time (~$300k).
Equipment $2.4M
[#7, #9, #17, #3, #18, #23] One-time purchases and integrations: interdiction equipment (~$100k), dedicated bio-transport vehicle and aircraft retrofit purchase (~$1.175M combined), biohazard setup/autoclave (~$60k), flight-tracking/monitoring setup (~$50k), additional aircraft retrofit/instrumentation (~$500k), IT/manifest integration (~$1.0M) (aggregated, overlaps resolved into this equipment bucket).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.1M
[#16] Initial research instrumentation and assay capability (sequencers, microscopes, cold storage, specialized instrumentation) estimated at mid-range (~$1.1M).
Interdiction Team Setup $100K
[#6] One-time training/equipment for interdiction team setup (~$50k–$150k; mid ~$100k).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $13.8M/yr
Flight Delay Compensation $5.0M/yr
[#2] Compensation for delayed flights and associated airline costs; mid-range operational estimate (~$5M/yr for multiple weekly delays).
Staff Wages $2.5M/yr
[#4, #5, #8, #21, #22] Salaries and benefits for flight-watch analysts, embedded agents, interdiction guards/medics, scientific staff, and on-site security (aggregated estimates across these line items).
Contingency Reserve $2.0M/yr
[#26] Rapid-response reserve fund for escalation or large-scale amnestic deployment ($1M–$10M; mid-range allocated annually to maintain readiness).
Insurance Pool $1.0M/yr
[#27] Internal insurance/liability pool to cover claims and damages (mid-range ~$500k–$5M/yr).
Research And Monitoring $500K/yr
[#14, #16] Recurring BSL lab operations, utilities, certification, consumables and assay reagents (combined: ops ~$300k + reagents/consumables ~$200k).
Cover Story And Legal $500K/yr
[#24] Legal, diplomatic, settlements, and cover-up budget (annual reserve mid-range).
Logistics And Transport $400K/yr
[#9, #18, #19] Secure transport and experimental flight logistics: per-transfer charters/ground transport, occasional aircraft charter hours, and experimental flight operations aggregated (~$100k + $100k + $200k).
Airline Liaison Retainer $400K/yr
[#1] Ongoing corporate retainer and liaison with airline to ensure cooperation (mid-range chosen between $200k–$1M/yr).
Amnestic Procurement $200K/yr
[#11] Annual inventory, procurement and R&D for Class-B amnestics (mid-range $100k–$500k).
Specimen Husbandry $200K/yr
[#15] Husbandry, veterinary care, enrichment and disposal estimated at ~$200k/yr (within $50k–$500k guidance).
Detainee Intake And Holding $200K/yr
[#10] Per-detainee processing, short-term holding, food, and related recurring costs (aggregated annual estimate).
Facilities Maintenance $150K/yr
[#20] Annual maintenance for security systems, HVAC, certification and site upkeep for Site-156.
Supplies And Consumables $150K/yr
[#28] Routine overhead: utilities, small consumables, travel, office/admin supplies.
It Ops And Manifest Manipulation $150K/yr
[#23] Recurring IT support, secure servers, audits and manifest/cover manipulation support (mid-range ~$50k–$250k/yr).
Public Relations $150K/yr
[#25] PR and false-narrative creation budget for media/gatekeepers (~$50k–$500k/yr; mid chosen).
Operational Aviation Monitoring $120K/yr
[#3] Subscriptions to flight tracking feeds, ATC access, software flagging and watch-team operations (recurring ops; setup counted one-time in equipment).
Medical Followup $100K/yr
[#12] Medical & psychological follow-up program budget and adverse-event care (mid-range ~$50k–$200k/yr).
Biohazard Waste Disposal $50K/yr
[#17] Annual biohazard waste contracts, EHS compliance; per-aircraft deep-clean costs are event-driven (separately budgeted via contingency/operations).
Interdiction Equipment Replacement $12K/yr
[#7] Annual replacement/consumables for interdiction equipment (~$5k–$20k/yr; mid ~$12k).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $13.8M/yr
83.0% probability / year
Normal operational year without major incidents; routine monitoring, scheduled delays and research activity.
scheduled containment delays routine specimen processing regular research flights
🚨 Minor Incident $14.8M/yr
12.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Isolated containment event requiring extra amnestics, additional detainee processing, PR/legal work and limited aircraft decontamination.
single-flight unusual manifestation small-scale public exposure additional detainee processing
🚨 Major Breach $21.8M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$8.0M vs baseline
Widespread or uncontrolled event (multiple affected flights, crash or publicized incident) triggering mass amnestic use, large legal settlements, broad decontamination and heavy contingency spending.
containment failure crash or mass casualties large-scale public exposure
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $20.8M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$7.0M vs baseline
Deliberate decision to scale research operations (e.g., upgrade to BSL-4, retrofit aircraft for controlled experiments, expand staff), incurring large one-time capital and increased operating costs.
need for higher biosafety level approval to expand experimental program major research initiative
👥 Personnel 29 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 8 [#22, #8] Airport rapid-response and on-site armed security staffing (portion of security/interdiction staffing).
Research Scientist 4 [#21, #16] PIs and senior researchers running SCP-1818 biological work (part of scientific staffing).
Research Technician / Lab Tech 4 [#16, #15] Lab technicians and husbandry staff supporting assays and specimen care.
Flight-watch Analyst 3 [#4, #3] Analysts and watch-team staff monitoring schedules and authorising delays.
Embedded/Undercover Agent 4 [#5] Agents deployed on routes as crew or passengers for in-flight interdiction and detection.
Medical Officer 2 [#11, #12, #10] Clinicians administering amnestics and providing follow-up care for detainees and staff.
Engineer / Maintenance 2 [#20, #17] Site engineering and EHS staff for containment HVAC, decontamination, and waste systems.
Administrative Staff 2 [#1, #24, #25] Administrative, legal liaison, and cover-story/PR coordination staff.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges for most categories, but frequent wide ranges (orders of magnitude for some items) and dependence on uncertain event frequency and required biosafety level reduce precision; hence medium confidence.
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