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SCP-1820 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1820
Expected annual
$4.9M
One-time setup
$3.3M
Annual recurring
$4.9M
Personnel
52
One-time setup costs are dominated by land acquisition, tower/sensor installation and command center build-out (~$3.3M). Recurring costs are driven by fully-staffed MTF operations, analysts, satellite surveillance and ongoing site operations (~$4.9M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.3M
Facilities $1.2M
[#1, #5, #17, #25] Land acquisition/site control, command/monitoring center build-out structural costs, power infrastructure installation (solar/battery/generator foundations), and on-site housing/build-out.
Equipment $1.1M
[#3, #4, #7, #8, #14, #15, #16, #18] Perimeter towers (4), remote sensor/camera grid, drone fleet procurement, rapid-response vehicles procurement, GPS/head-mounted camera units, secure data storage hardware, non-lethal/ammunition kits, and communications gear.
Contingency Reserve $500K
[#22] Capital reserve allocation for large emergency containment expansion or mass-exposure response.
Amnestic Stockpile $200K
[#11] Initial Class-B amnestic purchase/production and secure storage (~500–2,000 doses stocked).
Decommissioning $150K
[#27] Estimated remediation/decommissioning costs if containment is ended or infrastructure must be removed.
Mtf Training $100K
[#9] One-time mission-specific training and equipment instruction for MTF Tau-7.
Legal Setup $50K
[#2] One-time paperwork, MOU/legal fees and setup costs to obtain wildlife refuge designation and establish interagency cover arrangements.
Cover Story Setup $20K
[#19] Initial PR materials, signage, trails/boardwalks and cover-story physical implementation.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $4.9M/yr
Staff Wages $2.9M/yr
[#9, #10, #12, #15, #25] Fully-burdened staffing costs: MTF Tau-7 tactical roster, on-site guards/contract staff, medical clinicians/on-call staff, analysts reviewing footage/GPS, and site administrative/support staff.
Research And Monitoring $610K/yr
[#6, #4, #21, #15] Persistent satellite imagery/smallsat tasking, sensor/camera network maintenance and data links, funded research/behavioral monitoring programs, and storage/archival services.
Facilities Maintenance $410K/yr
[#5, #3, #17, #25] Command center operations/cybersecurity/utilities, tower/structural inspections and replacements, power system fuel/maintenance, and on-site housing operations.
Logistics And Transport $315K/yr
[#7, #23, #8, #13] Drone operations and pilots/repairs, helicopter-charter support (typical charter budget), vehicle fuel & maintenance for rapid-response fleet, and Class-D transport/logistics.
Administrative Overhead $200K/yr
[#28] Procurement, HR, audits, travel, permits and general administrative overhead (estimated as a portion of program budget).
Cover Story And Legal $160K/yr
[#2, #19, #20, #26] Ongoing liaison/legal retainer with USFWS, PR and community relations, records alteration/administrative suppression, and psychological aftercare/legal liability reserves.
Supplies And Consumables $100K/yr
[#14, #11, #16] Data link/cloud service for headcams/GPS, amnestic replenishment and QA/disposal, ammunition/non-lethal consumables and medical disposables.
Contingency Replenishment $100K/yr
[#22] Annual replenishment target for contingency/emergency reserve after drawdowns.
Training Drills $60K/yr
[#24] Regular exercises, SOP maintenance, and mission drills for MTF and monitoring staff.
Communications Service $30K/yr
[#18] Satellite airtime, encrypted link service, and ongoing comms subscriptions/fees.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $4.9M/yr
89.0% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year with steady operations, monitoring, and routine incursions handled without major incident.
routine civilian incursions regular maintenance and monitoring no mass-exposure
🚨 Minor Incident $5.0M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$100K vs baseline
Localized incursion or small cluster exposure requiring MTF deployment, additional amnestic use, short-term medical care and increased legal/PR activity.
multiple civilian incursions increased amnestic consumption short-term MTF overtime deployments
🚨 Major Breach $6.9M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Significant containment event or mass-exposure requiring large-scale emergency response, helicopter insertions, reserve drawdown, litigation and possible temporary site expansion.
mass civilian exposure major incident requiring helicopter/MTF surge litigation and extended remediation
👥 Personnel 52 total
Role Count Notes
MTF Tau-7 (Tactical Operators) 18 [#9] Full tactical roster for 24/7 rapid response (12–24 personnel range used; 18 chosen to match staffing cost assumptions).
Security Officer / Contractor Guards 12 [#10] On-site civilian/contract guards for patrols, tower staffing and visitor management.
Research Scientist / Analysts 2 [#15, #21] Analysts and research staff reviewing footage, GPS tracks and running monitoring programs.
Medical Officer / Clinicians 3 [#12] On-call clinicians for amnestic administration, medical oversight and post-exposure care.
Engineer / Maintenance 2 [#17, #18, #5] Technicians for power systems, comms, towers and general site maintenance.
Administrative Staff 2 [#19, #20, #28] Admin, legal liaison and records/cover-story coordination staff.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#5, #25] Site supervisor/manager and level-2 supervisor responsibilities.
Class-D Personnel 12 [#13] Active Class-D personnel managed for testing/logistics as noted (per-dozen basis).
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are built from analyst-provided ranges and a chosen persistent 24/7 containment posture; major uncertainties remain around satellite cadence costs, true frequency of incursions, and medical/amnestic usage which justify a medium confidence rating.
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