SCP-2012 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-2012
Expected annual
$1.9M
One-time setup
$2.8M
Annual recurring
$1.9M
Personnel
3
One-time upfront capital of approximately $2.78M for artisanal fabrication, MTF equipment, horse procurement, and a contingency reserve; recurring annual costs ~ $1.87M driven by specialized personnel salaries, MTF readiness, facilities/operations, and multiple replacement/incident reserves.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.8M
Contingency Reserve Escalation $1.2M
[#26] Recommended one-time contingency reserve for escalation / catastrophic response.
Equipment $621K
[#3, #4, #5, #10, #14, #24] Initial purchase/commissioning of period-accurate lorica (suits and spares), weapons/auxilia kits, aquila replicas, surveillance hardware (camera towers/thermal/etc.), initial containment/medical kits, and initial data/IT hardware.
Mtf Equipment $350K
[#13] One-time MTF equipment buyout: vehicles, trailers, communications, portable corrals, and field gear.
Facilities $215K
[#8, #20] One-time fit-out of 3 safehouse sites (secure storage, small stables/tack rooms) and climate-controlled vault construction/fit-out for recovered artifacts.
Initial Alpha Training $135K
[#2] Initial intensive specialist training (Vulgar Latin, Roman tactics, horsemanship) for three Alpha personnel (one-time cohort setup costs).
Horse Procurement And Training $132K
[#6] Purchase and initial training/quarantine/transport for 6 horses (3 active + spares).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $78K
[#15, #23] Initial research project setup and acquisition of cultural/language reference materials, props, and reference library.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.9M/yr
Staff Wages $390K/yr
[#1] Salaries for 3 dedicated Alpha specialists (mid-range estimate: ~$130k each, specialists with linguistics, history, equestrian skills).
Mtf Readiness $225K/yr
[#13] Annual MTF readiness, training, and standby budget (personnel training, joint exercises, non-lethal options).
Research And Monitoring $222K/yr
[#10, #11, #15] Ongoing surveillance maintenance/data costs, aerial/satellite/drone tasking campaigns, and annual research/analysis budget.
Facilities Maintenance $198K/yr
[#8, #20] Annual rents/ops for 3 safehouses (~$2k–8k/month per site) plus vault storage, insurance, utilities and basic maintenance.
Cover Story And Legal $180K/yr
[#9, #18] Annual costs for Loch Lomond closure logistics/cover operations and ongoing diplomatic/legal/cover-story operations with local authorities.
Logistics And Transport $150K/yr
[#12, #17] Local contractor/liaison contracts (Israel & Armenia) and annual travel/transport budget for deployments, horse transit, and shipping gear.
Insurance And Worker Safety $125K/yr
[#21] Insurance, workers' comp, vaccinations, psychological care, and safety training for exposed staff and equine insurance.
Media Suppression Reserve $75K/yr
[#19] Annual contingency reserve for media suppression, witness payments, legal take-downs, and cyber incident management.
Training Exercises $50K/yr
[#25] Annual multi-actor drills, travel/per-diem, scenario props, and evaluation costs.
Horse Upkeep And Stabling $48K/yr
[#7] Feed, vet care, farrier, stabling, transport allowances and insurance for ~6 horses.
Replica Replacement Reserve $35K/yr
[#16] General annual reserve for replacing items taken when SCP disappears (additional to itemized replacement budgets).
Armor Replacement $30K/yr
[#3] Annual replacement budget for lorica segmentata attrition/loss when SCP disappears.
Alpha Training Refreshers $30K/yr
[#2] Yearly refreshers / contracted specialist trainers for Vulgar Latin, tactics, and horsemanship.
Medical And Psych Care $30K/yr
[#22] Ongoing medical checks, PTSD counseling, and post-engagement care for core personnel.
Administrative And Audit $30K/yr
[#27] Annual audit, compliance, SOP revision, and external consultant costs.
Aquila Replacement $17K/yr
[#5] Annual replacement budget for aquila/legion emblems and replicas.
Supplies And Consumables $15K/yr
[#14, #23] Consumables and replacement small items for containment/medical kits and yearly updates to cultural/language materials.
Data It $10K/yr
[#24] Ongoing secure comms, data storage, backups, and field comms hardware replacement/hosting.
Weapons Replacement $6K/yr
[#4] Annual replacement budget for period-accurate weapons and auxilia kit.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.9M/yr
90.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with annual containment operations, routine replacements, training, and monitoring only.
routine_marian_event no_major_incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $2.0M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$130K vs baseline
Limited equipment losses or small containment failures requiring an MTF activation, item replacements, and localized PR/participant payments.
partial_equipment_loss small_mtfe_deployment witness_recordings
🚨 Major Breach $2.9M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Alpha containment fails; requires prolonged MTF deployment, heavy asset replacement, large-scale PR/legal response, and draw on escalation contingency.
failed_alpha_containment large_scale_hostile_engagement major_media_exposure
👥 Personnel 3 total
Role Count Notes
Alpha Specialist (linguist/historian/equestrian) 3 [#1] Three full-time Alpha personnel (Alpha-1, Alpha-2, Alpha-3) required by containment procedures; salaries included in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are mid-range aggregations from wide analyst-provided ranges; many items (artisanal fabrication, ISR tasking, diplomatic costs, attrition rates) have high variance and site-dependent pricing, so medium confidence until procurement quotes are obtained.
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