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SCP-2051 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2051
Expected annual
$1.7M
One-time setup
$8.4M
Annual recurring
$1.7M
Personnel
7
One-time startup capital dominated by dam construction and land acquisition (~$8.4M). Annual operating costs driven by specialist staff, legal/cover costs, monitoring and maintenance (~$1.67M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $8.4M
Facilities $5.5M
[#1, #2, #4, #5] Chain-link perimeter fence, 300 m concrete dam civil works, site acquisition/land easement, and guard barracks/research station buildout; summed midpoints of listed ranges.
Insurance Reserve Fund $625K
[#23] One-time recommended reserve for insurance/risk fund (midpoint of $250k–$1M recommendation).
Contingency Reserve $550K
[#25] One-time contingency/escalation reserve (recommended $300k–$800k; midpoint chosen).
Equipment $495K
[#8, #9, #10, #11, #18] Perimeter cameras/NVR install, generator/backup power hardware, transport assets (4x4/RHIB), on-site aquatic containment tank and life-support, CCTV/data security hardware.
Permitting And Eia $475K
[#3] Dam permitting, environmental impact assessments, consultant fees and initial remediation/mitigation obligations (one-time studies/consultants).
Amnestic Contingency Initial $300K
[#20] Initial contingency fund for witness management/compensation (Class-A amnestic analog, relocation/initial legal reserves).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $275K
[#13] On-site laboratory buildout (BSL-capable benching, microscopes, hoods, freezers) and initial research instrumentation.
Cover Story Setup $125K
[#19] Initial public cover/PR, signage, legal setup and liaison establishment to create the stromatolite research facade.
Decon And Medical Setup $60K
[#15] One-time decontamination infrastructure and medical equipment (decon showers, autoclave/incinerator access setup, initial PPE stock).
Incident Response Setup $25K
[#17] One-time purchase and setup of casualty handling equipment, containment bags, procedures development and initial incident response tooling.
Security Training Initial $16K
[#7] Initial weapons/licensing and containment/termination protocol training and scenario drills (one-time initial course costs).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.7M/yr
Staff Wages $660K/yr
[#6, #14] Salaries, payroll taxes and benefits for three full-time security personnel and the scientific team (senior researcher, pathologist, 2 lab techs).
Contingency Replenishment $218K/yr
[#25] Recurring replenishment to maintain contingency/escalation reserve (estimated at ~15% of baseline operating budget).
Cover Story And Legal $190K/yr
[#19, #20] Ongoing PR, legal retainer, local liaison fees, witness management and compensation budgets.
Research And Monitoring $185K/yr
[#3, #13, #21, #26] Recurring permitting/environmental monitoring obligations, lab consumables and sequencing/contract testing, biodiversity/water-quality sampling, and annual audits/readiness exercises.
Insurance And Liability $150K/yr
[#23] Annual insurance premiums for property, liability and environmental risk (midpoint of range).
Supplies And Consumables $102K/yr
[#12, #15, #16, #24] Nutritional/husbandry supplies, PPE replacement and waste disposal, testing kits/diagnostics, and general consumables (fuel/food/tools/office supplies).
Facilities Maintenance $75K/yr
[#22] Routine maintenance for fence, cameras, buildings, vehicles and dam (midpoint of listed range).
Power And Generator Fuel $30K/yr
[#9] Fuel, generator maintenance and electricity for continuous operations.
Surveillance Storage And Monitoring $25K/yr
[#8] Ongoing storage, NVR/cloud retention, monitoring services and security audits for camera systems.
Logistics And Transport $22K/yr
[#10] Recurring maintenance, fuel and small repairs for transport assets (trucks/RHIB).
Security Training $10K/yr
[#7] Annual refresher training, firearms renewals and drills.
Routine Incident Response Expected $0/yr
[#17] Per-incident costs are handled in scenario modeling; no fixed annual allocation included here.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.7M/yr
91.0% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year with routine operations, monitoring and maintenance only.
routine_operations no_incidents regular_permitting_and_monitoring
🚨 Minor Incident $1.8M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$108K vs baseline
Localized trespass or single-person exposure requiring testing, limited witness management, targeted incident response and minor repairs.
trespass/exposure single-person medical/termination limited legal/compensation
🚨 Major Breach $3.2M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Significant containment failure or multiple-person exposure requiring large-scale emergency response, legal settlements, major repairs and PR/cover operations.
multi-person exposure facility/dam damage public/press exposure
👥 Personnel 7 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 3 [#6] Three full-time guards posted to the site (rotations, premium pay included in staff_wages).
Research Scientist 1 [#14] Senior researcher responsible for SCP monitoring and research oversight.
Pathologist 1 [#14] Medical/pathology specialist for sample analysis and exposure assessment.
Lab Technician 2 [#14] Laboratory technicians to maintain tank, run assays and support sampling (combined staffing cost included in staff_wages).
📋 Confidence Notes
Mid-level confidence: many cost categories are well-understood (staffing, surveillance, consumables) but major uncertainty remains around civil works (dam complexity, permitting), environmental liabilities and incident frequency/severity—hence ranges and contingency estimates are used.
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