SCP-2415 — SCP-2415 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-2415 Euclid ✓ high confidence

SCP-2415

Expected annual

$1.8M

One-time setup

$1.4M

Annual recurring

$1.7M

Personnel

Estimated initial capital: $1,400,000 one-time for construction, land/control, equipment and contingency; recurring annual cost ≈ $1,713,000 driven primarily by 24/7 security staffing, core on-site staff, remote-site accommodation/logistics, and an ongoing research program.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.4M

Facilities $535K

[#2, #3, #4, #9] Includes on-site reinforced containment chamber construction (Site-187), perimeter fencing/gates/access-road improvements, land acquisition/lease/easement/legal extinguishment, and one-time power infrastructure tie-in/install.

Equipment $205K

[#1, #10, #11, #14] Reinforced concrete containment case, CCTV/intrusion/environmental sensors & telemetry hardware, remote manipulation tooling, and on-site encrypted server/hardware.

Contingency Reserve $200K

[#25] 20% capital contingency reserve for containment upgrades or unexpected escalation.

Cover Story Setup $150K

[#18] Initial creation/establishment of the cover story, public-facing materials, local compensation and NDA payments for discoverers.

Decommissioning Fund $100K

[#26] Fund to dismantle chamber, remove foundations and remediate site if decommissioned.

Initial Research And Lab Setup $80K

[#12, #13] Portable scientific instruments purchase and calibration, plus radiological survey equipment, PPE and dosimetry setup for initial monitoring.

Heavy Lift Logistics $40K

[#5] Crane/truck/barge rental, road permits and specialized transport to remote peninsula for delivery and installation.

Legal Permits $30K

[#17] Planning permissions, environmental/archaeological assessments and initial legal fees for compliance and permits.

Training Sop $30K

[#21] Development of containment SOPs, tabletop/field exercise setup and initial specialized training programs.

Archaeological Cover Setup $20K

[#23] One-time setup to establish a plausible archaeological cover (plaques, initial PR, staged dig materials).

Drone Aerial Surveillance $10K

[#20] Purchase of UAVs and initial NOTAM coordination/setup for aerial monitoring capability.

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.7M/yr

Staff Wages $900K/yr

[#6, #7] Permanent security staffing (24/7 guards) and core on-site scientific & containment staff salaries, benefits and rotations.

Staff Accommodation And Transport $300K/yr

[#8] Accommodation, meals, local transport (4x4 leases) and allowances for rotating teams at remote Isle of Skye site.

Research And Monitoring $263K/yr

[#12, #13, #14, #16, #24] Ongoing consumables/analysis for portable instruments, radiological monitoring/calibration, data ops/cybersecurity audits, scientific research program budgets, and environmental monitoring of the 50 m zone.

Insurance And Reserves $50K/yr

[#27] Liability insurance, indemnities and financial reserve contributions (self-insurance pooling for anomalous risk).

Cover Story And Legal $35K/yr

[#17, #18, #23] Ongoing legal compliance reporting, permits renewals, cover story upkeep, local compensation and PR to maintain plausible archaeology cover.

Power Infrastructure $30K/yr

[#9] Generator fuel, maintenance and UPS/battery servicing for remote power resiliency.

Emergency Response And Medical $30K/yr

[#19] Contracted hazmat/medevac/ambulance agreements, on-call emergency readiness and medical supplies.

Long Term Depreciation $30K/yr

[#29] Scheduled capital refresh / depreciation allowance for electronics, HVAC, vehicles and major systems.

Logistics And Transport $25K/yr

[#22] Secure transportation and custody costs for personnel and sensitive equipment (flights, ferries, vehicle rental) to/from the remote site.

Security Systems Maintenance $15K/yr

[#10] Maintenance, telemetry costs and comms for CCTV, intrusion detection and sensor networks.

Facilities Maintenance $10K/yr

[#15] Routine maintenance, inspections, seal/gasket replacements and small repairs to chamber and containment case.

Drone Aerial Surveillance $10K/yr

[#20] Operations, permits and maintenance for UAV surveillance and NOTAM coordination.

Training And Vetting $10K/yr

[#21] Annual refresher training, drills and personnel background vetting updates.

Supplies And Consumables $5K/yr

[#28] Small consumables and PPE (gloves, batteries, adhesives, seals).

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.7M/yr

85.0% probability / year

Normal, uneventful operational year with no major incidents; routine research and maintenance only.

steady containment routine research no breaches

🚨 Minor Incident $1.9M/yr

10.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline

Localized containment incident or equipment failure requiring emergency response, repairs and temporary increased security/PR activity.

equipment failure small containment breach localized media attention

🚨 Major Breach $2.7M/yr

2.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline

Serious containment breach or fatalities with significant media/political exposure requiring investigation, legal settlements, major containment upgrades and long-term remediation.

large-scale breach civilian exposure major legal/political fallout

🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $2.2M/yr

3.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline

Sanctioned discovery or experimental result that requires expanded research capacity, additional specialized instrumentation and increased security/cover effort.

novel scientific result scale-up of sanctioned testing need for specialized instrumentation

👥 Personnel 16 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	10	[#6] 24/7 on-site guards across multiple shifts (8–12 FTE typical; 10 used for estimate).
Research Scientist	2	[#7] Scientific staff for monitoring and sanctioned tests (part of core on-site team).
Technician / Containment Specialist	4	[#7] Technicians and containment specialists for equipment operation, maintenance and site operations.

📋 Confidence Notes

Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges and typical values; mappings use stated typical figures. Uncertainty remains for low-probability escalation, but baseline and recurring estimates are well-supported.

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