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SCP-2441 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2441
Expected annual
$1.5M
One-time setup
$552K
Annual recurring
$1.4M
Personnel
5
One-time setup costs are modest (≈$0.55M) dominated by equipment kit and contingency reserve; recurring annual costs are larger (≈$1.43M/yr) driven primarily by personnel, MTF readiness, and ongoing research/monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $552K
Capital Contingency Reserve $300K
[#24] Small-capital contingency reserve for unexpected reality-bender mitigation or atypical contracted mitigation equipment.
Equipment $146K
[#2, #3, #4, #8, #19] Access-control hardware (one-time portion), CCTV/NVR hardware and cabling, opaque internal box purchase, MTF equipment kit (one-time equipment buy-in), secure server for encrypted backups.
Cover Retainer Initial $50K
[#20] Initial cover / legal retainer contingency to enable immediate cover-story/legal actions on accidental disclosure.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $47K
[#10, #13] Initial Class‑C amnestic stockpile (30–50 doses) and small testing chamber / experimental equipment (shock collars, mock firearms, cameras) for research startup.
Training Program Development $6K
[#15] One-time development of training materials and program for authorized personnel (psych screening program dev).
Facilities $3K
[#1] Purchase and installation of a standard Safe containment locker and associated site work.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.4M/yr
Staff Wages $505K/yr
[#5, #6, #7, #11] Salaries & benefits for assigned Principal Researcher (Dr. Chidlow), supporting research/technical staff (1 FTE assumed), site security staffing allocation (two full-time guards), and assigned medical staff time.
Logistics And Transport $385K/yr
[#8, #12] Recurring MTF/rapid-response readiness (on-call teams, training, vehicle readiness) and D‑Class sourcing/maintenance & test-subject logistics.
Research And Monitoring $315K/yr
[#16, #17, #18, #25] Continuous personnel monitoring/behavioral observation, neuroimaging & specialized tests budget (fMRI/etc.), autopsy/forensic disposal costs, and annual research program budget for experiments and collaboration.
Administrative Overhead $126K/yr
[#21] Pro-rated site administrative overhead (approx. 25% of direct personnel costs as a reasonable site allocation).
Cover Story And Legal $35K/yr
[#19, #20] Annual retainer portion for cover/containment PR and legal, plus per-incident cover-operation budget allocation.
Anomalous Replacement And Redundancy $30K/yr
[#14] Recurring replacement/repair budget for anomalous-induced equipment failures and accelerated redundancy replacements.
Supplies And Consumables $24K/yr
[#9, #10, #22] Lethal-force & termination consumables (ammunition, expendables), amnestic replenishment (recurring doses), and evidence-handling consumables / PPE / small supplies.
Facilities Maintenance $5K/yr
[#2, #3, #4, #19, #23] Recurring maintenance & audit costs for access control, off-site encrypted backup retention, tamper-seal replacements, secure server maintenance, and incremental energy/utilities.
Training And Screening $3K/yr
[#15] Recurring refresher courses and mandatory psychological screening for authorized personnel.
Amnestic Administration Fees $2K/yr
[#10] Recurring administration fees / consumable costs for amnestic administrations (per-administration costs aggregated).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.4M/yr
82.5% probability / year
Uneventful year with routine operations, no major incidents or large-scale deployments.
normal_operations planned_research routine_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $1.5M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$97K vs baseline
Single instance progresses to stage 2 requiring termination, extra autopsy/forensic work, limited MTF activation and cover operations.
single_instance_progression equipment_failure targeted_termination
🚨 Major Breach $1.9M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$497K vs baseline
Multiple simultaneous progressions or a containment/transport incident requiring large MTF deployment, major equipment replacement, and extended cover/legal response.
multiple_simultaneous_postponements coordinated_exposures site_security_breach
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $2.4M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$997K vs baseline
Widespread exposure with several reality-bending instances and large-scale emergency procurement/contracting; requires major contingency fund drawdown and inter-Site support.
widespread_exposure reality_bending_escalation multi-site_response
👥 Personnel 5 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist / Principal Investigator 1 [#5] Dr. Chidlow — full-time PI responsible for oversight and combination management.
Research Technician 1 [#6] Supporting research/technical staff (1 FTE assumed for day-to-day handling and tests).
Security Officer / MTF Agent 2 [#7] Site security allocation (two full-time guards or equivalent shift coverage).
Medical Officer 1 [#11] On-call medical oversight for amnestic administration and post-exposure care.
📋 Confidence Notes
Line-item cost ranges are reasonably specified, but uncertainty remains around incident frequencies, MTF readiness sizing, amnestic usage rates, and contingency drawdowns for anomalous escalation.
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