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SCP-2461 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2461
Expected annual
$5.9M
One-time setup
$49.2M
Annual recurring
$5.8M
Personnel
33
Initial establishment and hardening of Armed Containment Site 2461 is the dominant one-time expense (~$49.2M). Ongoing annual costs (~$5.85M baseline) are driven primarily by armed staffing, tactical readiness/equipment amortization, contingency reserves, and classified security/cover operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $49.2M
Facilities $40.5M
[#1, #3] Dedicated containment facility construction/retrofit and perimeter security (land, hardened perimeter, vaults, access roads, blast/ramming resistance, fencing/vehicle barriers).
Equipment $5.2M
[#2, #4, #6, #7, #8, #9, #10, #12] Armored/high-security vaults, intrusion/surveillance setup, initial RRT/tactical gear, armory setup, secure communications, backup power systems (generator/UPS), HVAC/environmental control, specialized containment/Faraday/isolators.
Contingency Initial Fund $1.0M
[#27] Initial emergency/contingency fund to seed rapid response and black projects.
Longterm Stabilization Reserve $1.0M
[#30] Reserved one-time fund for long-term artifact stabilization / eventual research infrastructure (inactive unless activated).
Legal Cover Initial $500K
[#20] Initial legal counsel and covert cover-up operations, fabrication of cover story, initial payments to local officials.
Mortuary And Settlements $250K
[#19] Mortuary costs, potential family settlements, hush funds, death benefits.
Recovery Operations $200K
[#13] Forensic recovery, crash-site containment and transport (helicopter/airlift, hazmat convoy, cranes).
Incident Investigation $150K
[#18] Initial incident investigation, autopsies, toxicology, equipment analysis following accidental deaths.
Records Archive Setup $150K
[#21] Secure archival setup, air-gapped backups, classified paper/digital vault setup.
Employee Screening Initial $150K
[#22] Initial pre-employment screening, polygraphs and background checks for staff complement.
Training Initial $60K
[#23] Initial weapons, ROE, hazmat and SOP certification training setup.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $5.8M/yr
Staff Wages $3.2M/yr
[#5, #6, #24, #25] Armed security staffing (24/7 guards), Rapid Reaction Team salaries, medical staff/onsite clinic, maintenance/operations staff wages.
Facilities Maintenance $570K/yr
[#3, #4, #9, #10, #11] Perimeter & structural maintenance, surveillance storage/ops, backup power fuel & maintenance, HVAC energy & upkeep, climate-control energy costs.
Contingency Reserve Annual $500K/yr
[#27] Annual contribution to contingency/emergency reserve for rapid procurement and emergency mobilization.
Tactical Equipment Amortization $400K/yr
[#6] Annual amortization/replacement reserve for RRT specialized gear, armored vehicles and tactical equipment.
Cover Story And Legal $380K/yr
[#17, #20, #29] Research moratorium overhead, ongoing media monitoring/legal defense, liaison/payments to local governments and secrecy maintenance.
It Security $300K/yr
[#26] Ongoing IT security, classified network maintenance, cyber defenses and SME contractor support.
Supplies And Consumables $140K/yr
[#7, #15] Armory ammunition and maintenance, hazardous materials handling/disposal contracts and routine consumables.
External Contractors $75K/yr
[#28] Budget for occasional secure contractor engagements and specialist consultants.
Employee Vetting $60K/yr
[#22] Ongoing recurrent background checks and continuous vetting for cleared personnel.
Training Recurring $60K/yr
[#23] Recurring training, ROE recertification and drills.
Armored Vehicle Lease $45K/yr
[#14] Annual lease cost for armored transport vehicle(s) used for transfers.
Research And Monitoring $40K/yr
[#16] Ongoing minimal inspection and monitoring visits, sensor log review, small sample tests.
Logistics And Transport $30K/yr
[#14] Recurring transport mission costs (secure couriers, per-move mission expenses).
Records Management $30K/yr
[#21] Ongoing secure archival maintenance, redaction and backup operations.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $5.8M/yr
94.5% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; routine operations, staffing, maintenance, and reserve funding only.
routine_operations scheduled_inspections no_incident
🚨 Minor Incident $6.2M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
Attempted theft, small containment failure, or equipment malfunction requiring short response and repairs.
attempted_intrusion localized_equipment_failure minor_contamination_event
🚨 Major Breach $10.8M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Large-scale containment breach or violent incident causing casualties, major asset loss or public exposure requiring major legal/operational response.
catastrophic_breach public_exposure major_fire_or_explosion
👥 Personnel 33 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 [#5] 24/7 armed guard shifts (3 shifts + spares) covering perimeter and access control.
Rapid Reaction Team / Tactical Response 10 [#6] On-call tactical operators with higher pay and specialized training.
Medical Officer 2 [#24] Onsite medics and part-time physician/counseling support.
Engineer / Maintenance 4 [#25] Engineers, electricians and janitorial/operations staff maintaining site systems.
IT / Cybersecurity 2 [#26] IT security and classified network administrators.
Administrative Staff / Site Director 3 [#17, #20, #21] Site director, administrative support, records manager for classified oversight and liaison.
Research Scientist 0 [#16, #30] Research is currently frozen (O5 moratorium); no on-site research staff budgeted.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates use midpoints of broad ranges in analyst notes; many line items (facility construction, legal settlements, and contingency reserves) have wide variability, and incident-driven costs are highly scenario-dependent, so confidence is medium.
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