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SCP-2490 Keter ? low confidence
SCP-2490
Expected annual
$24.2M
One-time setup
$18.9M
Annual recurring
$23.9M
Personnel
60
Estimated one-time capital expenditures total approximately $18,950,000 driven by secure vaults, specialized containment, lab upgrades, and sensor/IT procurement. Recurring annual costs are dominated by standing MTF readiness, a large contingency/reserve, and personnel/monitoring obligations (~$23,917,500/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $18.9M
Facilities $9.1M
[#6, #9, #11, #28] Secure vault build/retrofit, power/generator installations, dedicated Keter-class containment cell construction, and simulation/training facility construction (midpoint estimates aggregated).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $6.9M
[#12, #15, #16] Site-44A capacity expansion and clinical/neurological diagnostics equipment, BSL-3/4 pathology lab upgrades, and initial forensic instrumentation (aggregated).
Equipment $1.6M
[#7, #8, #21, #24, #18] Hardened multi-sensor surveillance arrays, off-site mirrored logging hardware, red-team/rotation system procurement, drone/ISR fleet procurement, and armored vehicle purchase (aggregated).
Ai Detection Development $650K
[#23] One-time development of AI/automated detection algorithms and prototype systems.
Capture Incapacitation R And D $625K
[#10] R&D into non-lethal capture gear, portable containment devices, trial deployments and related procurement.
Awareness Program Development $50K
[#1] Development and rollout of awareness & mandatory reporting program (briefings, online module, posters, hotline, legal review).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $23.9M/yr
Mtf Alpha5 Readiness $11.5M/yr
[#4] Dedicated Keter-level MTF Alpha-5 standing force readiness, wages, training ranges, vehicles, armory, housing and overhead (midpoint estimate for 30–60 personnel).
Contingency Fund $5.5M/yr
[#17] Annual reserve for lost/removed anomalous items, recovery missions, replacements, or emergency acquisitions (midpoint reserve).
Mtf Psi7 Recovery Budget $1.8M/yr
[#5] Psi-7 investigative & recovery operations budget (field ops, stakeouts, covert entry, informants), aggregated operational baseline.
Logistics And Transport $1.0M/yr
[#20] Standing international tracking/liaison, safe houses, local contractors, emergency extraction and transport contingency budget baseline.
Cover Story And Legal $1.0M/yr
[#19, #27, #30] Logistics covert operations, legal and records management, public incident PR baseline, and legal/ethical oversight/internal audit (aggregated).
Facilities Maintenance $710K/yr
[#6, #7, #9, #11, #21, #28] Vault maintenance/power/UPS fuel and maintenance, surveillance array maintenance, containment cell operations and maintenance, red-team system maintenance, and simulation facility operating costs (aggregated).
Staff Turnover Recruitment Reserve $500K/yr
[#25] Reserve for increased rehiring, retraining and recruitment due to attrition from paranoia/PTSD.
Research And Monitoring $478K/yr
[#16, #22, #23, #8] High-resolution sensor data storage/indexing, forensic analysis/calibration, AI tuning/compute, and mirrored-logging bandwidth/storage rotation (aggregated recurring costs).
Clinical Long Term Patient Care Per Patient $350K/yr
[#12] Recurring per long-term patient costs for therapy, medications and monitoring (per-patient basis).
Staff Wages $300K/yr
[#22] Analyst / data science staffing (approx. 2–6 analysts; midpoint used). Core research analyst payroll captured here; MTF payroll is budgeted separately under dedicated MTF readiness.
Supplies And Consumables $275K/yr
[#10, #26] Consumables and replacement parts for capture equipment, MTF/security expendables, ammunition/medical supplies, PPE, fuel, batteries and spare sensors (aggregated).
Per Compromised Employee Monitoring $160K/yr
[#3] 24/7 armed monitoring per compromised employee (two guards + benefits/equipment/travel) — cost is per compromised person per year.
Payroll Continuation Per Employee $140K/yr
[#13] Indefinite paid leave continuation per compromised employee (salary + benefits estimate per person).
Drone Ops And Maintenance $125K/yr
[#24] Ongoing drone operations, pilots, replacement parts and ops center costs.
Emergency Medical And Mortuary $100K/yr
[#29] Baseline capacity for emergency medical response, mortuary contingencies and hazardous disposal.
Mental Health Reintegration Ongoing Per Person $20K/yr
[#14] Ongoing counseling, pharmacotherapy, reintegration per affected staff (recurring per-person cost).
Refresher Training And Briefings $10K/yr
[#2] Quarterly refresher training, materials and instructor hours site-wide.
Vault Maintenance $0/yr
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Surveillance Maintenance $0/yr
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Mirrored Logging Maintenance $0/yr
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Power Maintenance $0/yr
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Capture Consumables And Training $0/yr
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Containment Cell Operations $0/yr
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Red Team System Maintenance $0/yr
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⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $23.9M/yr
86.0% probability / year
Uneventful year with normal monitoring, readiness budgets, and no major incidents or large-scale recoveries.
no_compromises routine_operations
🚨 Minor Incident $24.6M/yr
12.0% probability / year +$670K vs baseline
Single compromised employee event with one or two small recovery missions, localized PR response, and limited forensic/medical expenses.
single_compromised_employee small_recovery_mission public_witness_requiring_PR
🚨 Major Breach $34.2M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$10.3M vs baseline
Multiple compromised personnel and loss/theft of anomalous items requiring sustained MTF deployments, international recoveries, and significant contingency use.
multiple_compromised_employees international_recovery sustained_MTF_operations
👥 Personnel 60 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 45 [#4, #3] Dedicated Alpha-5 standing force (30–60 personnel midpoint) responsible for monitoring and response; also provides staffing for per-person monitoring rotations.
Research Scientist 4 [#22, #23] Data analysts and research scientists for sensor review, AI development, and forensic analysis (analyst staffing midpoint).
Medical Officer 4 [#12, #29] Neurology and clinical staff to handle Site-44A admissions, long-term care and emergency medical contingencies.
Engineer / Maintenance 3 [#9, #21] Facilities/engineer staff for generators, UPS, surveillance arrays and maintenance.
Administrative Staff 3 [#19, #30] Logistics, legal/records management, and administrative support for covert records and compliance.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#1] Executive oversight, approvals for relocations, contingency draws and major international actions.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are midpoint-based and many line items are given as wide ranges or per-incident/per-person figures. Key uncertainties: frequency of compromises, number of simultaneous compromised personnel, and irreplaceable anomalous losses; hence overall confidence is low.
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