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SCP-2529 Thaumiel ~ medium confidence
SCP-2529
Expected annual
$4.4M
One-time setup
$3.2M
Annual recurring
$4.3M
Personnel
25
Initial establishment costs are dominated by a recommended contingency reserve and lab/containment outfitting (~$3.23M one-time). Ongoing yearly costs are driven by staff wages, Bellerophon management, fountain management, and logistics/legal cover operations (~$4.31M/year).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.2M
Contingency Reserve Establishment $2.0M
[#20] Establishment of a dedicated reserve fund for catastrophic response, mass amnestic campaigns, or rapid procurement (~recommended minimum $2M).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $450K
[#6] Core analytical instruments (GC–MS, ICP, spectrometers, portable EEGs) and lab buildout for initial capability.
Facilities $412K
[#2, #17] Structural campus hardening (fences, reinforced doors, Dorm F perimeter, HVAC containment modifications).
Equipment $370K
[#3, #10, #16, #5, #17] PA-system hardening/installation, tele-robotics and remote imaging rigs, IT/hardware segmentation, seizure/disability kits, and backup generator hardware.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $4.3M/yr
Staff Wages $2.1M/yr
[#1, #4, #11, #12] Security staff salaries & benefits (12–16 guards), medical staffing/rapid-response (EMTs, on-call neurology), dedicated research team salaries (3–6 investigators + techs), and psychological services/counseling payroll.
Logistics And Transport $1.0M/yr
[#8, #13, #14] Fountain draining operations & hazardous-waste transport, Bellerophon controlled feeding logistics/cover costs, cadet replacement/incident response and related transport/handling.
Facilities Maintenance $328K/yr
[#17, #19] HVAC/generator maintenance and fuel, campus-wide facilities upkeep, utilities, janitorial and groundskeeping.
Cover Story And Legal $250K/yr
[#15] Legal retainers, local liaison, covert PR and reactive cover operations, permits and compliance-related expenditures.
Contingency Replenishment $200K/yr
[#20] Annual allocation to replenish the contingency/catastrophe reserve after drawdowns or to maintain fund liquidity.
Research And Monitoring $188K/yr
[#3, #6, #9, #16] PA-system testing & maintenance, contracted imaging & instrument maintenance, event-specific monitoring (Dorm F), and IT/AV monitoring/updates.
Supplies And Consumables $175K/yr
[#5, #7, #18] Seizure kit replenishment and PPE training materials, lab consumables and hazardous disposals, routine biohazard/remains handling disposals.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $4.3M/yr
82.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; routine containment and pedagogical use of SCP-2529 continues.
routine_operations scheduled_draining_and_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $4.6M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
Localized breach/event (e.g., larger-than-normal Dorm F incident, an unusually hazardous fountain fill) requiring surge staffing, extra drains, and emergency medical response.
localized_breach multiple_fountain_drains medical_surge
🚨 Major Breach $6.8M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Campus-scale anomalous breach or a high-impact Bellerophon-related crisis requiring mass amnestics, large-scale emergency operations, and probable use of contingency funds.
mass_casualty_breach uncontrolled_memetic_leak large_amnestic_campaign
🚨 Political Exposure $5.3M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
External discovery or media/legal exposure forcing a large covert PR/legal response, expanded cover operations, and potential settlements or major liaison costs.
public_exposure local_official_scrutiny lawsuits_or_investigations
👥 Personnel 25 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 14 [#1] 12–16 guards estimated for 24/7 coverage, includes overtime and benefits; main component of security wages.
Research Scientist 5 [#11] 3–6 investigators dedicated to SCP-2529 research and oversight; includes senior researchers and project leads.
Research Technician / Lab Technician 2 [#6, #11] Technical staff for sample processing, instrument operation, and contracted testing coordination.
Medical Officer / Paramedic 2 [#4] 1–2 full-time medics for on-site immediate response and coordination with on-call neurology.
Mental Health Professional / Counselor 1 [#12] Counseling and psychiatric support for cadets and staff; may be supplemented by contractors.
Administrative Staff 1 [#11] Administrative overhead for program management, procurement liaison, and record-keeping.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on detailed analyst line items and realistic institutional costs, but large uncertainty remains due to policy choices around Bellerophon (legal/cover approach), frequency of active interventions (fountain drains, Dorm F events), and contingency spending decisions.
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