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SCP-2535 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2535
Expected annual
$1.7M
One-time setup
$2.7M
Annual recurring
$1.7M
Personnel
21
Estimated one-time capital/setup and contingency costs are approximately $2,745,000; ongoing annual operations are approximately $1,660,000/yr. Major recurring cost drivers are staff wages, facilities energy/HVAC, and legal/insurance/cover maintenance; major one-time drivers are site acquisition, HVAC/fire-suppression upgrades, lab setup, and a contingency reserve.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.7M
Facilities $1.3M
[#1, #2, #3, #11, #12, #13, #15] Includes purchase of the two‑story site, initial sealing and perimeter hardening, conversion/fit‑out of an adjacent observation building, interior soundproofing, HVAC/server‑room heat extraction upgrades, fire suppression installation, and vault fit‑out.
Contingency Reserve $500K
[#24] Contingency reserve for forced entry, demolition, large‑scale remediation, or major breach response (recommended minimum reserve).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $410K
[#19, #20] Capital purchase/access for laboratory instrumentation (microscopes, sequencing, mass spec, SEM/TEM or partner‑lab access) and initial forensic panel/testing setup.
Equipment $330K
[#9, #10, #14, #30] Purchase of non‑intrusive imaging and remote inspection equipment, remote robotics/manipulators, monitoring/CCTV/hardware, and initial cyber/physical security measures.
Specialist Contracts Initial $50K
[#28] Initial budget for specialist short‑term contracts (bio/neuro/materials vendors) for immediate analysis or tooling.
Legal Initial Setup $50K
[#21] Initial legal/cover story setup costs, permits, translation and one‑time PR/legal work to secure site closure under health/safety pretext.
Family Settlements Initial $50K
[#22] One‑time settlements/compensation or initial payments to families/contacts to establish cover and reduce investigation risk.
Transportation Initial Moves $15K
[#23] Secure transport/armored moves for initial removal and cataloging of devices and biological samples.
Archival Initial Digitalization $5K
[#27] One‑time digitalization of records/artifacts for archive.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.7M/yr
Staff Wages $1.2M/yr
[#4, #5, #6, #7, #8] Salaries and benefits for continuous on‑site agents (6 agents), perimeter/interior security guards (4), containment technicians/maintenance (3 FTE), research team (5 researchers), and medical/ethical oversight staff.
Cover Story And Legal $160K/yr
[#21, #22, #25, #29, #30] Recurring legal liaison, local government relations, family cover payments, insurance/reserved funds, PR/cover continuity, and ongoing cyber/data security maintenance/record retention.
Research And Monitoring $80K/yr
[#9, #14, #19, #20] Recurring research consumables and per‑sample sequencing/analysis, data storage/network/software maintenance for monitoring and forensic testing.
Electricity And Fuel $80K/yr
[#17, #12] Additional electricity for continuous HVAC/cooling to offset persistent 47.6°C heat sources, monitoring loads, and generator fuel/maintenance.
Adjacent Site Lease $72K/yr
[#3] Recurring lease cost for the adjacent provisional observation building (if leased rather than owned), used for staff stationing and storage.
Hazardous Waste Handling $25K/yr
[#16] Daily hazardous biological waste handling, PPE replacement related to waste handling, licensed transport and disposal/incineration costs.
Supplies And Consumables $15K/yr
[#18] PPE, decontamination supplies, laundering and routine consumables.
Training And Drills $15K/yr
[#26, #10] Regular containment drills, staff training, and periodic specialist/operator refresher training for remote robotics and safe procedures.
Facilities Maintenance $12K/yr
[#2, #13] Maintenance of perimeter sealing, locks, lighting, and annual testing/inspection of fire suppression and related fixed systems.
Logistics And Transport $3K/yr
[#23] Small recurring secure shipments and cataloging labor for transported samples/evidence.
Facilities Lease Option $0/yr
[#1] Lease option for main site is available ($60k–$240k/yr); estimate set to 0 because baseline assumes site purchase (one‑time).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.7M/yr
94.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; ongoing containment, research, and cover operations proceed as planned.
no breach routine operations scheduled maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $1.8M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Small containment incident or equipment failure requiring overtime, limited remediation, additional testing, and short‑term legal/PR response.
localized breach or equipment failure limited public exposure emergency remediation and overtime
🚨 Major Breach $3.7M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Major containment breach or discovery requiring demolition/large‑scale remediation, extended legal settlements, relocation costs and heavy decontamination.
catastrophic access to server room mass major public exposure requirement for controlled demolition or full remediation
👥 Personnel 21 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#4] Continuous on‑site staffing requirement (minimum two agents on duty; 3 shifts + backups).
Security Guard 4 [#5] Perimeter and interior guards for access control and rapid response.
Engineer / Maintenance 3 [#6] Containment technicians and maintenance staff (electrical/HVAC/biological).
Research Scientist 5 [#7] Scientific research team (biology, neuroscience, materials, electrical engineering).
Medical Officer 2 [#8] On‑call physician and psychologist/ethicist for monitoring conscious individuals and medical oversight.
Administrative Staff 1 [#21, #29] Site coordinator/administrative support covering legal liaison, records and cover operations.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on analyst ranges and SCP text; staffing and recurring items are well‑bounded, but major uncertainties remain in HVAC/energy scaling, frequency of specialist contracts, and true contingency requirements for forced entry or demolition, so medium confidence is assigned.
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