SCP-263 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-263
Expected annual
$4.7M
One-time setup
$1.4M
Annual recurring
$4.6M
Personnel
9
One-time setup costs dominated by facility build-outs and dedicated IT/DB hardware (~$1.44M). Recurring annual costs are driven by personnel, D-class maintenance, legal/incident reserves, and high per-test operations (approx. $4.59M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.4M
Equipment $1.0M
[#2, #4, #5, #6, #7, #8, #9, #10, #11, #21, #23, #25] Monitoring array, HEPA/fume hardware, DB server cluster and racks/UPS, network/firewall appliances, low‑latency cache hardware, sanitized client device inventory, RF/shielding fixtures, audiovisual recording and archive hardware, redaction software licensing/dev, initial cataloging system, censorship/enforcement software development, and PPE startup.
Facilities $425K
[#1, #3] Construction/retrofitting of a secure vault and dedicated fire‑resistant testing chamber (includes structural work and tie‑ins).
Sop Development And Rollout $18K
[#24] One-time SOP creation and initial training roll-out.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $4.6M/yr
Legal Cover Per Incident $1.0M/yr
[#15] Per‑incident legal/cover expenses aggregated (assumes multiple incidents/year at ~$50,000/incident aggregated).
Staff Wages $640K/yr
[#11, #12, #17] Salaries for redaction/review staff (1 senior + 2 censors), senior research oversight FTE(s), and security guards (4–6 FTEs aggregated).
Dclass Pool Maintenance $600K/yr
[#16] D‑class recruitment, housing, custody, and medical/security maintenance (20‑person pool estimate).
Termination Procedures $400K/yr
[#14] Per‑incident termination/forensic/cremation handling (assumes ~$20,000/incident × estimated 20 incidents/yr).
Amnestic Administration $350K/yr
[#13] Per‑administration costs + annual supplies and medical team upkeep (assumes ~$3,000/admin × ~100 tests + supplies/training).
Cover Story And Legal $300K/yr
[#15] Annual legal/cover story reserve and retention for routine exposures.
Post Test Cleanup $300K/yr
[#19] Chamber decontamination and refurbishment per test (assumes ~$3,000/test × ~100 tests/yr).
Logistics And Transport $250K/yr
[#18] Armored transfer and secure logistics per move (assumes ~100 transfers/yr at ~$2,500/transfer aggregated).
Contingency Reserve $250K/yr
[#27] Program reserve for unexpected leaks, large investigations, or major legal exposure (10–20% program reserve modeled).
Research And Monitoring $190K/yr
[#26, #22, #28, #21] Annual research program budget, anomaly/prize analysis, long‑term conservation/inspections, and asset storage/insurance baseline.
Db Maintenance And Operations $90K/yr
[#5] Dedicated DB cluster O&M: pro‑rata sysadmin, power/cooling, and support.
Prize Appraisal And Cataloging $75K/yr
[#21] Appraisal/cataloging costs for prizes (assumes ~30 prizes/yr × ~$2,500 avg appraisal).
Redaction Software And Maintenance $40K/yr
[#11, #23] Ongoing maintenance/security updates for redaction and automated censorship software.
Supplies And Consumables $35K/yr
[#25, #20, #10] PPE consumables replacement, hazardous waste disposal baseline, and archival storage costs.
Facilities Maintenance $25K/yr
[#1, #3, #4] Vault/site overhead, fire‑rated chamber maintenance, and baseline HEPA system maintenance.
Training And Audits $25K/yr
[#24] Recurrent training, tabletop exercises, SOP refreshers, and periodic audits.
Network Security Maintenance $10K/yr
[#6] Patch management, logging retention, and audits for network isolation appliances.
Performance Tuning And Benchmarking $10K/yr
[#7] SLA tuning, benchmarking, and cache maintenance to meet <200 ms retrieval SLAs.
Device Management $3K/yr
[#8] MDM, updates, and replacement budget for sanitized client devices.
Rf Enforcement Training $1K/yr
[#9] Training and enforcement budget for RF/shielding and size‑restriction checkpoints.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $4.6M/yr
90.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine testing cadence (~100 tests), regular maintenance, staffing, D‑class upkeep, and legal reserves; no major incidents.
routine_testing no_breach standard_staffing_levels
🚨 Minor Incident $5.1M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Localized incident (e.g., small information leak, single test legal exposure, minor damage to chamber) requiring incident response, legal payouts, and extra cleanup.
limited_exposure single_major_legal_claim targeted_remediation
🚨 Major Breach $9.6M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or public exposure requiring extensive legal settlements, large‑scale investigations, site remediation, and program scaling or suspension.
public_exposure catastrophic_data_leak multi‑site_response
👥 Personnel 9 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist / Senior Researcher 1 [#12] Senior oversight FTE(s) responsible for approvals and test authorization (pro‑rata of recurring cost).
Research Reviewer / Redaction Staff 3 [#11] 1 senior reviewer + 2 censors (staff accounted in redaction recurring labor costs).
Security Officer / MTF Agent 5 [#17] 24/7 guard coverage (4–6 guards aggregated to 5 FTEs) accounted in staff wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes are detailed on per-item ranges, but several large uncertainties remain (testing cadence, fraction of tests requiring termination, frequency of legal incidents, and prize monetization). These assumptions materially affect recurring totals, so confidence is medium.
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