SCP-2686
Euclid
~
medium confidence
SCP-2686
Expected annual
$56.6M
One-time setup
$252.0M
Annual recurring
$54.5M
Personnel
20
One-time capital to establish dedicated lunar comms, emergency rescue readiness, and sensor/rover hardware is estimated at roughly $252M; annual operations are dominated by logistics (resupply and rover missions), facilities maintenance, and staffing totaling about $54.5M/yr. Main cost drivers are launch/resupply frequency, whether weekly traversal is crewed or uncrewed, and the scale of dedicated communications and rescue assets.
One-Time Capital Costs
Total: $252.0M
Annual Recurring Costs
Total: $54.5M/yr
Cost Scenarios
📊
Baseline
(baseline)
$54.5M/yr
Normal operational year with Outpost Thoth-1 active, uncrewed weekly rover visits, routine maintenance and scheduled resupply.
routine_operations
scheduled_resupply
no anomalous escalation
🚨
Minor Incident
$59.5M/yr
Loss or damage of multiple sensor nodes and a required recovery/resupply mission plus extra PR/legal work.
sensor_loss
minor_anomalous_displacement
targeted_media_exposure
🚨
Major Breach
$219.5M/yr
Significant anomalous escalation requiring emergency rescue/resupply launches, large equipment replacement, surge research and major cover operations.
crew_endangerment
large_scale_equipment_loss
public_detection
Personnel
20 total
| Role | Count | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Research Scientist | 4 | Scientists conducting interviews, analysis, and remote experiment planning; included in staff_wages [#12]. |
| Mission Controller / Remote Ops | 6 | Earth-side operators and image analysts running rover missions and 24/7 telemetry monitoring; included in staff_wages [#11]. |
| Engineer / Maintenance | 4 | Life-support, rover and sensor technicians for lunar and ground systems; included in staff_wages [#10]. |
| Security Officer / MTF Agent | 3 | On-site security and access control (lunar and ground); included in staff_wages [#10, #19]. |
| Site Director / Executive Staff | 1 | Program lead and decision authority for Outpost Thoth-1 operations; included in staff_wages [#10]. |
| Medical Officer | 1 | Medical monitoring and quarantine oversight for returning personnel; included in staff_wages [#15]. |
| Administrative Staff | 1 | Program administration, logistics coordination and liaison duties; included in staff_wages [#26]. |
Confidence Notes
Ranges in the analyst notes are wide and many costs depend on policy choices (crewed vs uncrewed traversal, use of dedicated satellites/RTGs, frequency of launches). Estimates are mid-range choices based on the provided ranges and the assumption that Outpost Thoth-1 is already operational.