SCP-2687 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-2687
Expected annual
$42.7M
One-time setup
$137.0M
Annual recurring
$40.6M
Personnel
98
Estimated one-time setup costs are approximately $137.0M driven largely by liability/reserve establishment, lab outfitting, production capacity and contingency reserves; annual recurring costs are ~ $40.2M/yr driven by staff wages, patient monitoring, ongoing R&D and covert cover-up/legal budgets.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $137.0M
Liability Reserve $100.0M
[#25] Large one-time liability/insurance reserve recommended (prudent reserve within analyst range) set here at $100,000,000.
Equipment $8.6M
[#3, #4, #6, #9, #10, #12, #15, #17, #29] Aggregated capital equipment: bespoke containment crates and trolleys ($150,000), incinerator + scrubber capital ($1,250,000), production capacity equipment ($3,000,000), MTF/vehicle procurement ($2,500,000), field recovery vehicles ($525,000), initial PPE stock ($60,000), initial A-model production ($50,000), hardened IT hardware ($600,000), and specialized medical formulary initial stock ($500,000).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $5.5M
[#5] Research Lab #14 infrastructure build-out (BSL/GMP upgrades, clean rooms, sequencers, bioreactors, cold storage) estimated at $5,500,000.
Stockpiling Scp 2687 C $5.0M
[#6] One-time initial stockpile of SCP-2687-C (chosen moderate stockpile) estimated at $5,000,000.
Contingency Reserve $5.0M
[#23] Initial contingency / remediation reserve for accidental activations or major facility decontaminations set at $5,000,000.
Crisis Pr Reserve $3.0M
[#28] One-time large-response PR / crisis communications reserve estimated at $3,000,000.
Mitigation Rnd Initial $2.8M
[#22] Initial capital for mitigation R&D prototype programs (e.g., enzyme projects, prototypes) estimated at $2,750,000.
Facilities $2.3M
[#1, #2, #7, #11] Includes reinforced storage suite ($450,000), environmental control installation ($40,000), clinic conversion ($300,000), and a high-spec emergency containment room ($1,500,000).
Coverup Initial $2.0M
[#19] Initial covert suppression/buyouts/sweeps reserve for aggressive initial suppression estimated at $2,000,000.
Personnel Relocation Vetting $1.6M
[#8, #18] One-time relocation/settlement and advanced vetting/background checks for recovered Prometheus staff and new hires (~$1.6M aggregated).
Mnestic Rnd $600K
[#13] One-time R&D/formulation/regulatory internal work for Class W mnestic estimated at $600,000.
Surveillance System Setup $350K
[#20] One-time field surveillance / registry system setup estimated at $350,000.
Training Sop Development $300K
[#21] One-time SOP development and initial training simulation suites estimated at $300,000.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $40.6M/yr
Research And Monitoring $16.6M/yr
[#5, #6, #13, #21, #22, #14] Recurring lab maintenance, production/QA for SCP-2687-C, mnestic program operations, training refreshers, ongoing mitigation R&D and long-term patient monitoring costs.
Staff Wages $10.1M/yr
[#7, #8, #9] Salaries for research staff, clinical staff, MTF personnel, engineers and administrative staff. Aggregates research scientists, lab techs, clinicians, MTF agents and support personnel.
Cover Story And Legal $8.8M/yr
[#19, #25, #28] Annual covert cover-up/public-affairs budget, communications/PR operations, and recurring liability reserve top-ups aggregated here.
Opportunity Cost $1.2M/yr
[#27] Estimated annual indirect cost from reduced external collaboration and lost grant/funding opportunities.
Mtf Training Ops $650K/yr
[#9] Annual MTF-specific operations and specialized training budget (separate from personnel wages).
Supplies And Consumables $455K/yr
[#12, #15, #26, #29] Recurring PPE replacements, routine lab/office consumables, replacement A-model manufacturing budget and specialized medical supply replenishment.
Incinerator Operating $400K/yr
[#4] Operating costs for incineration (operators, filters, fuel, ash disposal) estimated in the mid-range.
Field Surveillance $400K/yr
[#20] Annual surveillance, epidemiology analysts, data feeds and registry maintenance.
Audit Compliance $375K/yr
[#30] Internal audits, memetic-safety reviews and oversight unit staffing and operations.
Mnestic Program Ops $350K/yr
[#13] Annual operations for Class W mnestic program (manufacture logistics, medical oversight, administration costs).
Logistics And Transport $260K/yr
[#10, #3] Recurring fuel, vehicle maintenance and transport logistics for hazmat/field recoveries and containment crate upkeep.
Training Programs $250K/yr
[#21] Annual refresher training, drills and SOP updates for operators and clinicians.
Secure It Operations $200K/yr
[#17] Ongoing secure-server operations, audits and memetic-resistant documentation workflows.
Facilities Maintenance $150K/yr
[#2, #11] Ongoing HVAC/dehumidification/power/calibration and containment-room upkeep (environmental control power/calibration and remote-room maintenance).
Waste Management $150K/yr
[#16] Recurring biohazard permits, emissions testing and hazardous-ash handling contracts.
Psychiatric Care $150K/yr
[#24] Ongoing psychiatric and encephalological care programs for staff and recipients.
Containment Crates Replacement $10K/yr
[#3] Annual replacement/maintenance budget for bespoke containment/transport crates and trolleys.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $40.6M/yr
82.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with routine monitoring, production, training and covert operations; no major containment failures.
routine_operations regular_production_and_monitoring
🚨 Minor Incident $42.7M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$2.1M vs baseline
Localized activation or small containment breach requiring targeted remediation, limited patient surge and extra field operations.
localized_activation single-site_containment_breach small_patient_surge
🚨 Major Breach $100.2M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$59.6M vs baseline
Multi-site activation or public exposure leading to major remediation, large-scale incinerations, mass treatment campaign and significant legal/PR response.
multi-site_activation mass_public_exposure large_scale_remediation
👥 Personnel 98 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 12 [#5, #8] Senior researchers and scientists assigned to Lab #14 (BSL/GMP operations).
Lab Technician 6 [#5, #6] Technical support for production, QC and bioreactor/fermenter ops.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 60 [#9] MTF Gamma-41 operational roster for recoveries, containment and field incineration readiness.
Clinical Staff 10 [#7, #14] Clinicians and nursing staff for administration of SCP-2687-C and patient monitoring.
Engineer / Maintenance 6 [#4, #11, #17] Engineers for incinerator, containment-room, HVAC and remote manipulator maintenance.
Administrative Staff 4 [#17, #20, #30] Admin, registry managers, and compliance liaisons supporting operations and covert programs.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide granular line items and ranges, enabling a moderate-confidence aggregate estimate; however wide ranges on stockpiling, liability reserves, and R&D outcomes (and the anomalous nature of SCP-2687) leave substantial uncertainty.
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