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SCP-2843 Safe ✓ high confidence
SCP-2843
Expected annual
$916K
One-time setup
$463K
Annual recurring
$901K
Personnel
8.5
Initial containment and setup are moderate (one-time ~$463,000) driven by legal/quarantine establishment, fencing/trailer installation, and equipment (vehicles, cameras, remote monitoring). Annual operations are larger (~$900,700/year) dominated by staff wages (24/7 security and research staff), ongoing research, maintenance, and cover operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $463K
Equipment $129K
[#3, #9, #10, #11, #12, #18, #25, #27] CCTV/NVR system and installation (#3), vehicle purchase for transport (#9), radios and camcorders (#10), GPS tracker kit (#11), PPE bulk kit (#12), initial secure server (#18), incident response kit (#25), and remote/automated monitoring upgrades (#27).
Legal And Quarantine Setup $75K
[#1] Site acquisition/easement, legal work to fabricate/secure EAB quarantine, permits, counsel and one-time PR/official paperwork.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $73K
[#13, #16, #17] Amnestic development & initial stockpile (#13), entomology/specialist initial retainer/setup (#16), and sample storage freezer (-20/-80°C) and initial lab setup (#17).
Facilities $56K
[#2, #4, #5] Perimeter fence and gated access (#2), perimeter lighting and power feed installation (#4), and on-site shelter/operations trailer purchase/installation (#5).
Liability And Legal Reserve Initial $50K
[#24] One-time reserve for liability, legal contingency, amnesty payments or settlements to support cover narratives.
Records Redaction Initial $30K
[#28] Initial costs to alter/suppress local records, manage missing-persons reports and perform legal/PR labor to establish cover.
Heavy Equipment Contingency Initial $20K
[#21] Initial contingency set-aside for heavy-equipment rental/extraction/stabilization incidents.
Archival And Conservation Initial $20K
[#29] Initial conservation treatment and preparation for long-term archival/museum-type retention of tree section or specimens.
Training And Sop Development Initial $10K
[#23] Development of SOPs and initial staff training exercises/certification related to safe operations and non-pursuit policy.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $901K/yr
Staff Wages $545K/yr
[#6, #7, #8, #14] 24/7 security staffing and management (#6), scientific staff salaries (PI + field researchers) (#7), on-call/FT medic (#8), and mental health/counseling provider (#14).
Research And Monitoring $136K/yr
[#15, #16, #18, #20, #29] Forensic & pathology testing budget (#15), ongoing entomology studies and fieldwork (#16), secure data/cloud backup/service (#18), containment research program budget (#20), and archival climate-control/storage maintenance (#29).
Administrative Overhead And Contingency $96K/yr
[#30] Central administrative overhead, accounting, recruiting, insurance-like reserve and renewals on quarantine/legal orders (approx. 12% of operating costs per guidance in note #30).
Cover Story And Legal $55K/yr
[#19, #24, #28] Ongoing cover operations and PR (#19), incidental legal needs and small annual legal funds (#24), and continuing records management/redaction costs (#28).
Logistics And Transport $31K/yr
[#9, #26] Vehicle fuel/maintenance and transport logistics (#9), and general vehicle & equipment maintenance/fuel for security and field ops (#26).
Facilities Maintenance $14K/yr
[#4, #5, #22] Electricity/fuel for power feed and generator/solar hybrid (#4), shelter/trailer maintenance (#5), and environmental/site maintenance/erosion control (#22).
Supplies And Consumables $12K/yr
[#10, #11, #12, #13, #17, #25] Consumable batteries and camera consumables (#10), GPS monthly service fees (#11), PPE consumables (#12), medical consumables (#13), evidence packaging and consumables (#17), and incident kit restocking (#25).
Heavy Equipment Rental Reserve $5K/yr
[#21] Annual reserve allocation for potential emergency heavy-equipment rentals (cranes, lifts) per incident.
Training And Refresher $5K/yr
[#23] Annual refresher training, drills and SOP recertification specific to SCP-2843 operations.
Security System Storage And Maintenance $1K/yr
[#3] Ongoing camera/NVR storage, tamper-detection service and small maintenance for CCTV/evidence-grade video systems.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $901K/yr
88.0% probability / year
Routine year with scheduled research, maintenance, and no major incidents or public exposure.
routine_operations no_incidents_or_breaches
🚨 Minor Incident $971K/yr
10.0% probability / year +$70K vs baseline
Localized intrusion or equipment failure requiring emergency extraction or short-term heavy-equipment rental and additional medical/legal response.
unauthorized_local_intrusion small_extraction_or_equipment_failure limited_medical_response
🚨 Major Breach $1.3M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$400K vs baseline
Serious breach or public exposure with multiple casualties or high-profile media attention requiring large-scale recovery, legal settlement and escalated cover operations.
mass_civilian_exposure serious_injury_or_death widespread_media_attention major_equipment_deployment
👥 Personnel 8.5 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 4 [#6] Four full-time equivalent guards to maintain 24/7 coverage as described in analyst notes.
Research Scientist 2.5 [#7] One PI (senior researcher) plus ~1.5 FTE field researchers (total ~2.5 FTE) to run tests and supervise operations.
Medical Officer 1 [#8] One on-call/FT medic/paramedic for site medical coverage and emergency response.
Mental Health Specialist 1 [#14] One FT or contracted psychologist/psychiatrist for post-test monitoring and personnel mental health.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item estimates and clear mapping to containment procedures described in the article; many costs are standard (security, staff salaries, equipment) making cost estimates well-grounded. Residual uncertainty exists for low-probability incident magnitudes, but baseline operational costs are well-constrained.
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