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SCP-286 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-286
Expected annual
$2.2M
One-time setup
$3.8M
Annual recurring
$2.1M
Personnel
12
First-year one-time costs are approximately $3.82M, driven by containment construction, contingency reserve and equipment purchases; ongoing annual costs are about $2.13M/yr, dominated by security wages, psychiatric monitoring, medical/emergency readiness and administrative/legal overhead.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.8M
Facilities $1.7M
[#1, #2, #15, #20] Containment cell construction ($1,500,000 estimate), one-time perimeter/fencing/physical barrier installation ($150,000), conservation/climate-control setup ($35,000), and one-time perimeter clearing ($10,000).
Incident Contingency Reserve $1.0M
[#17] Recommended one-time contingency/catastrophic reserve ($1,000,000).
Equipment $705K
[#4, #5, #6, #7, #12] One-time procurement of access control hardware ($80,000), surveillance and sensor suite ($175,000), robotic/remote-handling equipment ($300,000), automated lighting/shade control ($50,000), and initial data/storage cluster hardware ($100,000).
Transport Procurement $200K
[#13] Reinforced transport container and armored vehicle procurement ($200,000).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $125K
[#8] Initial research contract/instrument access and lab analysis setup estimated at $125,000.
Emergency Equipment $50K
[#9] One-time emergency medical/response kit and extraction equipment ($50,000).
Training And Clearance Initial $40K
[#18] Initial background checks and clearance/setup training ($40,000).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.1M/yr
Staff Wages $810K/yr
[#3] Round-the-clock guard staffing (12 guards × ~$50k + 30% benefits ≈ $780k) plus uniforms/equipment (~$30k) = $810,000/yr.
Psychiatric Monitoring $225K/yr
[#10] Ongoing psychiatric counseling, behavioral monitoring and follow-up programs (~$225,000/yr).
D Class Program $200K/yr
[#11] D-Class recruitment, processing, housing and supervision costs (~$200,000/yr).
Sociocultural Monitoring $150K/yr
[#22] Long-term open-source intelligence, community monitoring and de-escalation programs (~$150,000/yr).
Medical And Emergency $135K/yr
[#9] Part-time medic coverage, supplies, training, and consumables (~$120,000 + $15,000 consumables = $135,000/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $125K/yr
[#16] Legal retainer, PR liaison and contingency/liaison expenses (~$125,000/yr).
Administrative Overhead $100K/yr
[#19] Apportioned Site-level administrative, procurement and record-keeping overhead (~$100,000/yr).
Specialized Translation $60K/yr
[#21] Linguists, translation, and transcription contracts for multi-language Sigma event recordings (~$60,000/yr).
Staff Training And Vetting $55K/yr
[#18] Ongoing background checks, psychological screening renewals and special training (~$55,000/yr).
Research And Monitoring $50K/yr
[#8] Ongoing materials analysis and instrument access / research contracts (~$50,000/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $39K/yr
[#2, #15, #20] Annual maintenance: perimeter/fence and sensor upkeep (~$15,000), HVAC/conservation maintenance and conservator visits (~$9,000), perimeter landscaping/clearing upkeep (~$15,000).
Logistics And Transport $35K/yr
[#13] Vehicle upkeep, fuel, drills and transport logistics (~$35,000/yr).
Insurance And Compliance $30K/yr
[#23] Insurance premiums and regulatory compliance costs (~$30,000/yr).
Robotics Maintenance $28K/yr
[#6] Maintenance, calibration and spare tooling for remote manipulators (~$27,500/yr).
Data Storage Maintenance $28K/yr
[#12] Storage cluster maintenance, backups and data-analysis workstation upkeep (~$27,500/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $25K/yr
[#14] PPE, consumables, spare parts and routine replacements (~$25,000/yr).
Surveillance Storage And Maintenance $20K/yr
[#5] Camera/sensor maintenance and storage costs for forensic recordings (~$20,000/yr).
Access Control Maintenance $8K/yr
[#4] Software licensing and ongoing maintenance for biometric/badge systems (~$8,000/yr).
Lighting Maintenance $5K/yr
[#7] Maintenance for programmable lighting and motorized shades (~$5,000/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.1M/yr
93.5% probability / year
Normal year with containment in place and no major incidents or active large-scale experiments.
no incidents routine maintenance and monitoring
🚨 Minor Incident $2.3M/yr
4.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Localized incident (unauthorized approach, small-scale summoning) requiring medical response, short-term legal/cover actions and replacement/repair.
unauthorized human summoned medical evacuation and temporary public cover-up
🚨 Major Breach $4.1M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or public exposure with mass summons or sociocultural fallout requiring large emergency mobilization, legal settlements, mass amnestics and extended monitoring.
public outing mass summons or cult formation
🚨 Research Restart And Scaleup $2.6M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Agency resumes active experimentation with human-contact trials and expanded research, increasing staffing, translation and medical/psych expenditures.
policy decision to resume experiments funding approved for scale-up
👥 Personnel 12 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 [#3] Twelve full-time guards estimated for continuous 24/7 coverage (three 8-hr shifts), costs included in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Line-item ranges in analyst notes are detailed, allowing plausible mid-point estimates, but significant uncertainty remains around low-probability high-impact events (contingency sizing), long-term sociocultural costs, and whether active experimentation resumes.
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