SCP-2876 — SCP-2876 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-2876 Euclid ~ medium confidence

SCP-2876

Expected annual

$8.2M

One-time setup

$15.2M

Annual recurring

$7.9M

Personnel

Initial containment and preparedness require large one-time investments (primarily a contingency reserve and lab/ward/setup) totaling multiple millions; ongoing annual costs are dominated by staff wages (MTF and cyber/OSINT) and sustained cyber/forensic operations (~$7.94M/yr). Main cost drivers are MTF operations, cyber monitoring/takedown, and a large outbreak contingency.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $15.2M

Large Scale Outbreak Reserve $10.0M

[#27] Large-scale outbreak contingency reserve (order-of-magnitude one-time fund).

Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.9M

[#5, #6, #22] Site modification and instrumentation (EEG, cameras, EM monitoring) and secure forensic lab/air-gapped sandbox VMs; initial research program setup.

Incident Response Reserve $1.0M

[#13] Incident response reserve & emergency deployment fund (one-time reserve funding).

Device Scanning Tool Development $800K

[#9] Development and provider-integration negotiation costs for mobile device scanning/removal utility (development + integration).

Dclass Ward Setup $350K

[#23] Secure clinical ward / D-class housing setup (one-time).

Legal Initial Surge $300K

[#10] Initial surge legal/takedown/coordination budget (one-time contingency/negotiation fees).

Crawler Development $275K

[#8] Initial development of automated crawler & takedown infrastructure (one-time development).

Facilities $200K

[#1] Hardened Faraday/activation cell construction and outfitting at Site-77.

Amnestic Stockpile Setup $175K

[#15] Stockpile & secure pharmacy setup for Class-C amnestics (one-time).

Recordkeeping Setup $125K

[#19] Secure recordkeeping/encrypted archival one-time setup.

Portland Safehouse Setup $65K

[#12] One-time setup for Portland monitoring detachment safehouse/equipment.

Equipment $20K

[#2] Redundant armored/tamper-evident transport containers (unit purchase).

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $7.9M/yr

Staff Wages $4.5M/yr

[#3, #7, #11, #12] Monthly activation labor (pro-rated), dedicated cyber/OSINT team salaries (8 FTE), MTF Mu-4 operator salaries (12 operators), Portland monitoring detachment salaries.

Cover Story And Legal $800K/yr

[#10, #18] Ongoing legal/takedown budgets plus public-relations / disinformation / media-management baseline.

Victim Reimbursement $500K/yr

[#16] Annual contingency for reimbursements and property damage settlements for Pattern IV/consumer incidents.

Research Program $300K/yr

[#22] Ongoing neuroscience/dream-mechanics research program operating budget.

Device Scanning Maintenance $200K/yr

[#9] Maintenance and distribution costs for device scanning/removal utility.

Liability Insurance And Remediation $200K/yr

[#20] Retainer for vehicle/property remediation and insurance coverage.

External Cyber Retainer $200K/yr

[#25] Retained outside cyber specialists and per-engagement contingency.

Medical Treatment $200K/yr

[#14] Expected annual medical treatment and rehabilitation costs (per-incident averaged into an annual figure).

Facilities Maintenance $190K/yr

[#4, #12] Site-77 pro-rated facility overhead and Portland safehouse lease/ongoing equipment costs.

Research And Monitoring $130K/yr

[#5, #6] Annual maintenance, calibration, licenses and compute for instrumentation and forensic lab monitoring.

Cyber Tooling $125K/yr

[#7] Tooling/infrastructure for cyber/OSINT team (cloud services, automation, signatures).

Crawler Operational $125K/yr

[#8] Operational costs for automated crawler & takedown (servers, bandwidth, storage).

Training $125K/yr

[#21] Training, simulations, and tabletop exercises for MTF, medical, and cyber teams.

Dclass Operational $120K/yr

[#23] Per-D-class operational costs (housing, security, medical monitoring) estimated for minimal ongoing testing.

Energy And Compute $60K/yr

[#26] Power and compute costs for continuous monitoring, sandboxing, and activation chamber.

Recordkeeping Annual $50K/yr

[#19] Annual storage, backup, and maintenance for encrypted archives and legal hold.

Mortuary Coverup Annual $50K/yr

[#17] Annual expected mortuary/cover-up costs averaged across probable low-frequency fatalities.

Supplies And Consumables $35K/yr

[#3, #24] PPE, disposables, small consumables for monthly activations and baseline consumables/decontamination.

Amnestic Annual Replacement $30K/yr

[#15] Annual replacement and consumables for Class-C amnestic administrations and pharmacy maintenance.

Logistics And Transport $0/yr

[]

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $7.9M/yr

88.0% probability / year

Uneventful year with regular monthly activations, ongoing cyber monitoring, and routine research/training; no major outbreaks or public exposure.

no_major_outbreak regular_monitoring routine_activations

🚨 Minor Incident $8.2M/yr

8.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline

Localized cluster or app-listing resurgence requiring additional MTF deployments, targeted takedowns, extra medical & PR response.

localized_outbreak small_cluster app_store_resurgence

🚨 Major Outbreak $10.4M/yr

3.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline

Multi-site outbreak and coordinated propagation requiring sizeable additional MTF/cyber operations, legal/PR surge, and drawing on emergency reserves.

multi_site_outbreak rapid_propagation coordinated_suppression_required

🚨 Catastrophic Breach $27.9M/yr

1.0% probability / year +$20.0M vs baseline

Widespread global propagation / mass downloads requiring mass amnestic production, international coordination, large MTF mobilization and major drawdown of contingency reserves.

global_propagation mass_downloads public_exposure

👥 Personnel 30 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	12	Mobile Task Force Mu-4 operational personnel (12 operators) accounted in recurring staff wages. [#11]
Cyber/OSINT Analyst / Reverse Engineer	8	Dedicated cyber/OSINT team (8 FTE) for detection, takedowns and reverse engineering. [#7]
Surveillance / Local Agents	6	Portland monitoring detachment agents (rotating local surveillance team). [#12]
Research Scientist	2	Researchers involved in monthly activations and observation (pro-rated labor included in recurring activation costs). [#3]
Security Guard	2	Security staff supporting monthly activations (pro-rated labor included). [#3]

📋 Confidence Notes

Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges enabling a structured estimate, but many costs depend strongly on unknown prevalence and frequency of incidents (per-incident costs and scale/reserves). Estimates use midpoints and reasonable assumptions where ranges or frequencies were unspecified.

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