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SCP-2881 Safe ✓ high confidence
SCP-2881
Expected annual
$147K
One-time setup
$165K
Annual recurring
$145K
Personnel
2.5
Estimated one-time setup costs ~ $165k driven by equipment purchases, administrative/legal setup, and a contingency reserve for removal/escalation. Annual recurring costs are ~ $145k/year dominated by security staffing, administrative overhead, insurance/PR, and ongoing research/monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $165K
Escalation Removal Contingency $50K
[#18] Contingency reserve for major escalation/removal or heavy-equipment work (tree removal, crane, permits, remediation) - mid-range reserve selected.
Equipment $45K
[#2, #5, #6, #7, #8, #11, #15] Signage and interpretive panels (~$1k), guard uniforms/radios/PPE (~$2.5k), surveillance system (cameras/NVR) (~$4k), solar power hardware (~$4k), data hardware/NVR (~$1k), rope-rescue gear (~$7.5k), and a used SUV/4x4 purchase (~$25k).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $32K
[#13, #10] Initial research instrumentation and experimental setup (~$30k) plus initial arborist/environmental assessment (~$2k).
Administrative Setup $21K
[#3, #14] Site access permits/MOUs and setup costs (~$6k) plus one-time legal/PR/agreements setup (~$15k).
Facilities $16K
[#1, #20] Perimeter fence installation including concrete footings, gate and wildlife-friendly features (~$6k) plus potential trail rerouting / boardwalks/public barriers (~$10k).
Medical Supplies Initial $1K
[#12] Initial on-site first-aid/oxygen/spine boards and emergency medical supplies (~$1.25k).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $145K/yr
Staff Wages $80K/yr
[#4] Security staffing: one officer during park hours (accounting for FTE load, benefits), annualized at ~$80k.
Administrative Overhead $20K/yr
[#19] Portion of an administrator / program manager to handle scheduling, compliance, coordination (~$20k/year prorated).
Research And Monitoring $12K/yr
[#10, #13, #8] Ongoing arborist/ecological monitoring (~$1.25k/year), continuing controlled tests and analyst time (~$10k/year), and cloud storage/managed backups (~$700/year).
Cover Story And Legal $11K/yr
[#3, #14] Recurring liaison/admin fees and permit inspections (~$3k/year) plus PR/legal/liability management and public information costs (~$8k/year).
Logistics And Transport $4K/yr
[#15] Vehicle fuel, insurance and maintenance for site visits and guard transportation (~$4.5k/year).
Medical And Ems $3K/yr
[#12] EMS standby agreements, potential callouts and medical consumables (~$3k/year).
Insurance And Liability $3K/yr
[#17] General liability and site insurance for visitors and equipment (~$3k/year baseline).
Incident Investigation $3K/yr
[#16] Average annualized cost for investigating anomalous events / forensic analysis (~$3k/year assumed average).
Supplies And Consumables $3K/yr
[#2, #5, #21] Sign replacement stock and weatherproofing (~$200), recurring PPE/uniform replacements and training consumables (~$1.5k), and minor consumables (batteries, locks, cleaning supplies) (~$1k).
Facilities Maintenance $2K/yr
[#6, #7, #9] Routine fence/site maintenance (~$1.25k), surveillance hosting/maintenance (~$800), and prorated battery/replacement costs for power (~$200/year).
Training And Replacement $2K/yr
[#5] Recurring guard and rescue training, equipment replacement and refresher courses (~$2k/year).
Elevated Extraction Rental $2K/yr
[#11] Occasional cherry-picker / aerial-lift rental days for emergency extractions (assumed a few days/year rental).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $145K/yr
93.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine maintenance, scheduled research, and no major incidents or escalations.
normal_operations scheduled_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $156K/yr
6.0% probability / year +$12K vs baseline
Vandalism, small-scale intrusion, or a non-catastrophic event requiring extraction, investigation and minor repairs.
vandalism minor_injury_or_EMS_callout equipment_damage
🚨 Major Escalation $245K/yr
1.0% probability / year +$100K vs baseline
Significant escalation requiring removal or large-scale remediation (tree removal, crane, extensive permits and restoration).
tree_removal large_scale_remediation
👥 Personnel 2.5 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 1.5 [#4] One officer during park hours; 1.3-1.6 FTE required to cover shifts, vacations and training.
Administrative Staff 0.5 [#3, #14, #19] Program administrator / liaison portion to handle permits, MOUs, record-keeping and PR (~pro-rated).
Research Scientist 0.2 [#13] Part-time research/analysis time for controlled tests and documentation covered by the research budget.
Engineer / Maintenance 0.2 [#6, #7, #9] Part-time technical support for surveillance, power systems and site maintenance.
Medical Officer 0.1 [#12] On-call/part-time medical coordination and EMS liaison; most acute care provided by local EMS agreements.
📋 Confidence Notes
High confidence: containment requirements and cost drivers are explicitly described (fence, one guard, cameras, permits, research), and analyst notes provide ranges for each line item allowing reasonable point estimates.
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