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SCP-2954 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-2954
Expected annual
$6.1M
One-time setup
$8.6M
Annual recurring
$6.0M
Personnel
54
Initial capital expenses are substantial (~$8.6M) driven by site acquisition, hardened bunker construction, and sensor/communications equipment; ongoing annual costs are ~ $6.0M dominated by staff wages (security, rapid response, researchers) and recurring operational contracts (medevac, data storage, legal/cover).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $8.6M
Facilities $5.3M
[#1, #2, #3, #16, #25] One-time costs: site acquisition/long-term lease (#1), hardened observation bunker/command center (#2), perimeter physical works (#3 one-time portion), community relocation/purchase (#16 one-time portion), and archive/secure storage setup (#25 one-time).
Equipment $2.1M
[#8, #9, #10, #11, #12, #5] One-time hardware: remote sensing package (#8), drone fleet (#9), communications/servers (#10), generators/UPS (#11), observation-safety hardware (#12), and initial rapid-response equipment loadout (#5 initial equipment).
Insurance Reserve One Time $600K
[#22] Initial contingency/escrow reserve to cover large unforeseen liabilities or rapid payouts (one-time/seeding of reserve per #22).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $450K
[#18] Portable field lab and research instrumentation setup, forensic analysis equipment and initial sample-analysis contracts (#18 one-time).
Grid Isolation Hardware $50K
[#24] One-time purchase/installation of hardware for grid isolation and EMI shielding required for events (#24 one-time).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $6.0M/yr
Staff Wages $3.9M/yr
[#4, #5, #6, #7, #13, #19, #20] Salaries and benefits for full-time security guards and supervisors (#4), rapid-response team salaries (#5 recurring), scientific staff (#6), technical/maintenance staff (#7), on-site medics/ambulance staff (#13 recurring portion), data-analysis staff (#19), and cultural/translation staff (#20).
Cover Story And Legal $500K/yr
[#15] Legal retainers, government relations, local compensation budgets, and cover-story PR/placements (#15).
Research And Monitoring $402K/yr
[#8, #10, #18, #24] Ongoing monitoring and data costs: sensor maintenance/calibration (#8 recurring), communications/bandwidth/cloud backups (#10 recurring), lab consumables/testing contracts (#18 recurring), and electrical/grid coordination/EMI mitigation services (#24 recurring).
Medevac Contract $350K/yr
[#13] Annual helicopter/medevac lease or standby contract separate from on-site medic staffing (#13 recurring medevac contract).
Facilities Maintenance $275K/yr
[#3, #11, #12, #25, #23] Recurring upkeep: perimeter and access-road maintenance (#3 recurring), generator fuel/maintenance (#11 recurring), observation-safety maintenance (#12 recurring), archive storage maintenance (#25 recurring), and environmental/infrastructure repair fund (#23 recurring).
Insurance Reserve Annual $200K/yr
[#22] Annual contribution/replenishment to contingency/liability reserve (#22 recurring).
Supplies And Consumables $100K/yr
[#17] Consumables and expendables: training ammunition, PPE replacement, batteries, spare sensors and other consumables (#17).
Amnestic Program $100K/yr
[#14] Cost of Class-A amnestic agents, training and administration, travel for in-situ administrations; assumes 10–100 administrations/year (#14).
Community Liaison $62K/yr
[#16] Ongoing community liaison, small relocation/compensation fund and occasional local payments (#16 recurring).
Training And Drills $62K/yr
[#21] Periodic emergency drills, interdepartmental exercises, and travel to HQ for specialist training (#21).
Logistics And Transport $30K/yr
[#9] Drone operations, repairs, and transport logistics for UAV fleet (#9 recurring).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $6.0M/yr
83.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with weekly Tsuburaya Events observed remotely and routine operations.
scheduled weekly events no equipment loss no civilian exposure
🚨 Minor Incident $6.5M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Small containment incident or localized equipment loss requiring emergency response, limited repairs, extra amnestic administrations, and small public compensation.
single-sensor loss or damaged drone one-time medical evacuations 10s of amnestic administrations / small local exposure
🚨 Major Breach $8.5M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Significant breach or high-profile exposure requiring large equipment replacement, extensive repairs, major legal/cover payments, and large-scale containment response.
multiple asset destruction during an event civilian casualties or public witnesses need for large-scale emergency containment
👥 Personnel 54 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 30 [#4] Perimeter guards and gate staff for 24/7 coverage; count chosen within the 24–36 range.
Rapid Response / Tactical Team 8 [#5] On-call specialists for breaches and emergency interventions; chosen within 6–12 range.
Research Scientist 6 [#6] Field researchers, seismologists, and A/V specialists for event analysis; within 4–8 range.
Engineer / Maintenance 4 [#7] Sensor techs, electricians, and IT maintenance staff; within 3–6 range.
Data Analyst / Archivist 2 [#19] Post-event data processing and reporting; within 1–3 range.
Cultural / Linguistic Staff 2 [#20] Japanese-language specialists and translators; within 1–3 range.
Medical Officer 2 [#13] On-site medics/ambulance staffing; medevac contract is separate.
📋 Confidence Notes
Notes provide detailed, plausible line items and ranges, allowing a bounded estimate; uncertainty remains due to anomalous-specific replacement costs, local political variability in land/permit costs, and frequency/severity of incident-driven asset losses.
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