SCP-3474 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-3474
Expected annual
$3.6M
One-time setup
$18.8M
Annual recurring
$3.0M
Personnel
19
Estimated one-time startup and resilience costs are approximately $18.8M (major drivers: land/buffer acquisition, contingency reserve, fireproof construction and suppression/equipment). Recurring annual operating costs are approximately $3.03M/yr driven by staffing, utilities, maintenance, insurance and ongoing research/monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $18.8M
Contingency Reserve $10.0M
[#20] Containment breach contingency reserve / catastrophic liability reserve (one-time funded reserve; lower-bound planning allocation).
Facilities $3.9M
[#1, #2, #3, #4] Land purchase for a ~500 m buffer, one-time vegetation/structure clearing portion, purpose-built fireproof containment cell, and non-combustible roaming area construction/retrofitting.
Equipment $2.6M
[#5, #6, #7, #8, #9, #10, #11, #15, #17, #23, #14] Initial purchase and installation of fire suppression hardware, HVAC/heat-exhaust systems, generators/UPS and fuel tanks, CCTV/thermal recording servers, distributed sensor hardware, thermal drones/remote vehicles, on-site firefighting vehicles, flame-resistant PPE initial stock, secure transport vehicle, initial data storage servers, and one-time medical/burn-treatment equipment.
Relocation Planning Reserve $1.0M
[#31] One-time planning/design reserve for an alternate remote facility or emergency relocation planning.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $800K
[#22] Controlled test chamber, high-speed cameras, calorimeters, spectroscopy and other research instrumentation and lab buildout for mechanism study.
Major Cleanup Reserve $250K
[#26] One-time large cleanup / hazardous ash disposal reserve for an exceptional incident cleanup.
Research Contingency Project Reserve $150K
[#30] One-time project contingency reserve for specialized destructive testing, animal models, or accelerated upgrades.
Amnestics Initial Cleanup $100K
[#18] Initial cleanup/cover infrastructure cost related to Event 3474-A (large one-time record/amnestic/clinic setup costs).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.0M/yr
Staff Wages $1.3M/yr
[#12, #13, #14] Ongoing salaries and benefits: dedicated containment security team (24/7 coverage), research & containment scientific staff, and recurring medical staffing/retainer for burn-care readiness.
Research And Monitoring $266K/yr
[#22, #23, #8] Ongoing experimental consumables and operating costs for research instrumentation, secure long-term data storage/analysis, and monitoring data/storage costs.
Facilities Maintenance $255K/yr
[#2, #5, #6, #9, #25] Annual clearing/firebreak maintenance, inspection/maintenance of suppression systems, HVAC maintenance, sensor upkeep, and routine facility structural/electronic maintenance.
Insurance Premiums $250K/yr
[#20] Annual insurance premiums or equivalent risk-transfer cost associated with catastrophic-loss coverage for large-radius incineration exposure.
Utilities $200K/yr
[#24] Electricity, water and sewage for continuous heavy HVAC, suppression testing and 24/7 systems.
Replacement Budget $200K/yr
[#28] Annual replacement budget for equipment and collateral losses from minor incidents and wear from high-heat events.
Cover Story And Legal $175K/yr
[#18, #19, #29] Annual costs for per-case amnestics/records management, PR/disinformation retainer and local media/legal engagement, and internal compliance/auditing/legal oversight.
Logistics And Transport $95K/yr
[#7, #10, #11, #17] Recurring costs for fuel/refills for generators, drone pilots/spare parts, emergency vehicle maintenance/fuel, and secure transport/transfer operations.
Juvenile Welfare $80K/yr
[#27] Ongoing psychological care, education, tutoring and welfare services appropriate for a juvenile subject.
Emergency Drills Training $50K/yr
[#21] Regular live-fire simulations, burn-treatment drills, evacuation exercises and PPE training.
Research Contingency Annual $50K/yr
[#30] Annual budget for ad-hoc research contingencies, project-specific approvals and ethical compliance costs.
Relocation Annual $50K/yr
[#31] Annual maintenance of emergency relocation plans, retention of contractor availability and periodic exercises.
Supplies And Consumables $45K/yr
[#15, #16, #26] PPE replacements and consumables, specialized non-flammable provisioning, and routine hazardous ash/biohazard disposal costs.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.0M/yr
77.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; routine research and maintenance activities proceed as planned.
normal_operations scheduled_research routine_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $3.5M/yr
20.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Localized ignition or equipment damage contained quickly; limited replacement, cleanup and amnestics required.
localized_fire equipment_damage small_scale_cleanup
🚨 Major Breach $28.0M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$25.0M vs baseline
Significant loss of containment leading to wide-area incineration damage, prolonged response, major replacement and liability costs.
suppression_failure multiple_systems_fail loss_of_containment
🚨 Political Exposure $5.0M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Media/local-government exposure or legal challenge requiring heavy PR, legal defense, further amnestics and potential operational suspension.
leak_or_media_exposure legal_challenge public_incident
👥 Personnel 19 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 [#12] 24/7 perimeter and internal security coverage; estimate based on 8–16 guards (chose 12) to support shift rotations and escorted roaming.
Research Scientist 4 [#13, #22] Lead researcher plus assistants/engineer/behavioral specialist to characterize pyrokinetic mechanism and run experiments.
Medical Officer 3 [#14] On-call burn surgeon and nursing/medic staff for burn-care readiness and treatment.
📋 Confidence Notes
Ranges in the analyst notes are wide for many major items (land price, construction complexity, insurance/contingency sizing) and the SCP's anomalous behaviour introduces operational uncertainty; many line items are well-identified but quantity/scale choices use mid-range assumptions, producing medium confidence.
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