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SCP-3587 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-3587
Expected annual
$10.8M
One-time setup
$35.2M
Annual recurring
$10.3M
Personnel
52
Initial capital outlay dominated by a dedicated offshore patrol vessel and associated retrofits (~$35.3M one-time). Annual operations (crew, maintenance, surveillance, R&D and contingency retainers) drive recurring costs (~$10.27M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $35.2M
Facilities $25.0M
[#1] Purchase of a dedicated offshore patrol vessel (OPV) 'SCPS Rainmaker' (capital purchase assumed).
High End Active Research One Time $5.0M
[#32] High-end aggressive research / breach campaign initial capital outlays (bespoke vessels/equipment) — lower-bound initial allocation for potential surge.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $2.5M
[#17, #20] Initial amnestic production/manufacture capacity setup and initial R&D program funding for bypass/remote-sample tools (lab/hardening and project start).
Equipment $2.5M
[#2, #5, #6, #8, #11, #13] Vessel retrofits and specialized shipboard equipment; long-range EO/IR sensor mast and optics; unmanned systems (UAV/USV/ROV) capital; remote buoy network capital; secure comms setup; RHIBs and intercept equipment.
Demobilization Asset Disposal $300K
[#30] Demobilization and asset disposal costs if operation terminates.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $10.3M/yr
Staff Wages $4.0M/yr
[#3, #12, #15, #19, #7] Crew salaries (ship crew), security/boarding teams, medical staff, research specialists, and UAV/ROV operators (aggregate wages).
Facilities Maintenance $2.8M/yr
[#3, #24] Vessel annual operating overhead excluding direct crew wages (maintenance, insurance-like overhead, port fees allocation).
Supplies And Consumables $760K/yr
[#4, #7, #9, #14] Fuel and underway consumables, UAV/ROV consumables/spares, buoy servicing consumables, intercept consumables/armory upkeep.
Research And Monitoring $760K/yr
[#10, #19, #20] Satellite imagery tasking/commercial ISR, research program ongoing funding, and analysis/monitoring operations.
Contingency Fund $500K/yr
[#28] Incident/accident contingency reserve for search-and-rescue, emergency replacement of gear, legal defense, and short R&D sprints.
Escalation Retainer $500K/yr
[#29] Retainers and contracts to maintain surge capacity (additional vessels/personnel charters) if SCP-3587-1 proliferation escalates.
Amnestic Administration $200K/yr
[#16] Cost of Class-A amnestic administrations (drug + administration + monitoring) modeled at expected administration rates.
Shore Debriefing Facility Ops $200K/yr
[#18] Ongoing operations for shore-based interrogation/debriefing, short-term holding, and clinic follow-up after amnestic administration.
Logistics And Transport $130K/yr
[#24, #13] Port infrastructure/berthing fees, shore transport and small logistics related to intercept boats and rotations.
Media Monitoring And Response $100K/yr
[#22] Local media/social monitoring, rapid response communications staff and software.
Training And Drills $80K/yr
[#27] Regular training, certifications, and drills (interception, amnestic administration, maritime emergency, ROV/UAV ops).
Cover Story And Legal $50K/yr
[#21] Legal/cover story operations and liaison to maintain the Lionel Hodgeson 'death from illness' narrative.
Payments And Compensation $50K/yr
[#23] Payments/compensation for affected civilians, boat repairs, lodging and handling of seized equipment.
Psychological Support $50K/yr
[#26] Counseling and mental-health services for ship and containment staff.
Data Storage And Archiving $40K/yr
[#25] Encrypted storage, backups, and restricted-access archiving for imagery, sensor feeds, and recordings.
Comms Bandwidth $30K/yr
[#11] Recurring satellite link and bandwidth costs for ship-to-shore encrypted data backhaul.
Minimal Baseline Option $0/yr
[#31] Reference to the low-activity/minimal-posture alternative (periodic satellite tasking + occasional patrols). Not additive to baseline; represented as an alternative posture rather than an additional recurring line item.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $10.3M/yr
78.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with regular patrols, monitoring, R&D and readiness; no major incidents.
regular nightly replication only no large civilian approaches no leadership-authorized surge
🚨 Minor Incident $10.8M/yr
20.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Increased civilian approach rate or small-scale incidents requiring extra sorties, amnestic administrations, and minor replacements/compensation.
multiple civilian approach/search parties increased amnestic administrations small equipment losses or repairs
🚨 Major Breach And Research Surge $30.3M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$20.0M vs baseline
Major escalation: breach/dispersion risk or leadership-authorized aggressive forced-entry program requiring surge assets, bespoke R&D and emergency legal/PR effort.
SCP-3587-1 dispersal beyond containment radius policy decision to fund force-entry/removal major equipment losses or public exposure
👥 Personnel 52 total
Role Count Notes
Vessel Crew 22 [#3] Core ship crew for 24/7 station-keeping, operations and watch rotations.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 [#12] Boarding/search/intercept teams for civilian interdiction and escort.
Research Scientist 6 [#19] Specialists (physicists/biologists/analysts) conducting continuous monitoring and analysis.
Medical Officer 2 [#15, #16] Shipboard medic(s) to administer amnestics, emergency care and monitoring.
UAV/ROV Operator 3 [#6, #7] Pilots and technicians for unmanned systems operations and maintenance.
Engineer / Maintenance 4 [#2, #3] Technical staff for vessel/equipment maintenance and retrofits.
Administrative Staff 3 [#21, #22] Cover-story, media monitoring, legal liaison and scheduling/rotations.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are order-of-magnitude based on typical OPV costs, maritime operations, and the analyst notes; ranges for many items are wide (vessel purchase vs refit, R&D scale, amnestic manufacture). Uncertainty in local jurisdiction, frequency of civilian approaches, and leadership choices reduces confidence.
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