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SCP-384 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-384
Expected annual
$327K
One-time setup
$736K
Annual recurring
$284K
Personnel
1.3
Initial containment setup and hardening is estimated at $736,000 one-time; recurring annual costs are approximately $283,600/yr, driven mainly by staff wages (monitoring and oversight), monitoring operations/data retention, facilities maintenance, and contingency/reserve allocations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $736K
Facilities $260K
[#1, #2] Purchase/lease and site prep for a standalone Containment Unit-077 plus building modifications to enforce a single-door design (sealed penetrations, welded vents, door-exclusion structural work). Mid-range estimate chosen from $75k–$500k and $20k–$150k ranges.
Equipment $151K
[#3, #4, #5, #6, #10, #13, #16, #18] Reinforced primary access door & locking hardware, CCTV/NVR setup, UPS/generator purchase & installation, remote monitoring station hardware, dangerous-material search equipment (walk-through/X-ray/lockers), audio/intercom/timers, initial guard kits (body armor, radios, restraints) and off-site redundancy recorder/hot-swap hardware. Sum of mid-range estimates.
Incident Reserve Fund $150K
[#24] Operational rapid-response reserve fund for unanticipated events, recontainment, or urgent reconstruction; recommended reserve within provided $50k–$500k guidance.
Property Buffer Acquisition $100K
[#23] Dedicated mid-range contingency purchase of adjacent buffer/easement to mitigate door-transfer risk; urban costs could be much higher but mid-range reserve chosen.
Emergency Response Contingency $25K
[#17] Contingency for demolition, heavy equipment rental, or contractor work for emergency events or approved additional entries.
Decommissioning And Disposal $20K
[#26] Secure media destruction, environmental remediation and disposal of anomalous hardware if decommissioning is required.
Cover Story Front Company $15K
[#22] One-time legal/cover setup, local incorporation, permits and initial community liaison/signage costs.
Training And Sop Development $15K
[#11] One-time SOP development, initial personnel training and drills to institute conversation intervals, search procedures and lockdown protocols.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $284K/yr
Staff Wages $105K/yr
[#7, #9, #12] Ongoing monitoring operator wages (approx. 1.0 FTE), on-call security/overtime allocations for observation failures and restricted-entry events, and pro-rated Level 4 oversight / researcher time allocated to SCP-384 experiments.
Research And Monitoring $45K/yr
[#6, #14] Remote monitoring software/ops and data retention/transcription/analysis costs for recordings and experiment review.
Facilities Maintenance $34K/yr
[#5, #18, #19, #20] Generator fuel & yearly testing, off-site redundancy bandwidth & storage maintenance, HVAC/continuous climate-control energy costs, and routine building maintenance/janitorial/consumables.
Cover Story And Legal $32K/yr
[#21, #22] Administrative, compliance, audit overhead and ongoing cover-story / front-company operating costs (legal, permits, community liaison, taxes if applicable).
Logistics And Transport $15K/yr
[#8] Hourly escort/guard costs for experiments (two guards per session); estimate assumes modest experiment frequency (approx. weekly) as a mid-case.
Psychological Support $15K/yr
[#15] Ongoing psychological screening, counseling and incident support for personnel interacting with SCP-384.
Supplies And Consumables $12K/yr
[#4, #10, #13, #16] Camera storage & maintenance, search-room consumables/calibration, audio/intercom upkeep, and per-guard consumables/ammo maintenance.
Guard Training And Maintenance $10K/yr
[#16] Recurring guard qualifications, ammo, and equipment maintenance (per-guard recurring costs aggregated).
Incident Reserve Replenishment $10K/yr
[#24] Annual replenishment allocation to maintain the incident/rapid-response reserve.
Training And Drills $6K/yr
[#11] Recurring refresher training, SOP drills, and periodic conversation-protocol refreshers.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $284K/yr
82.5% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year with routine experiments and no major containment incidents.
routine_experiments normal_operations periodic maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $309K/yr
12.0% probability / year +$25K vs baseline
A non-catastrophic failure (e.g., localized CCTV/NVR failure, short observation gap requiring contractor repairs and overtime) requiring moderate remediation.
CCTV/NVR failure short generator/UPS outage on-site repair & overtime
🚨 Major Breach $1.0M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$750K vs baseline
Containment failure or destructive loss of surveillance leading to tar release or localized breach requiring significant recontainment and reconstruction.
deliberate device destruction unobserved opening leading to tar event local reconstruction
🚨 Large Scale Recontainment $1.8M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
SCP-384 transfers to a public or critical infrastructure door necessitating evacuation, property seizure, large-scale covert operations and major reconstruction.
transfer to public infrastructure urban breach massive reconstruction & legal operations
🚨 Urban Property Acquisition $884K/yr
3.0% probability / year +$600K vs baseline
A decision to purchase adjacent properties/easements and significantly scale cover and staffing due to urban placement risk.
urban placement urgent buffer acquisition scale-up of cover operations
👥 Personnel 1.3 total
Role Count Notes
Monitoring Operator 1 [#7] One full-time operator (or equivalent FTE) responsible for continuous CCTV observation and escalation.
Level-4 Research Oversight 0.1 [#12] Pro-rated Level-4 oversight/oversight salary allocation (0.05–0.2 FTE range; mid-case used).
On-call Security (overtime pool, FTE-equivalent) 0.2 [#8, #9] Equivalent FTE representing periodic on-call security/overtime allocations for observation failures and escort duties (wages accounted for in staff_wages/logistics).
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are medium confidence: analyst notes provided clear ranges for most line items, but many items (real estate, contingency events, frequency of experiments and guard usage) have wide ranges and depend heavily on site location and policy choices. Numbers use mid-range assumptions and explicit contingencies.
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