SCP-3925 — SCP-3925 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-3925 Keter ? low confidence

SCP-3925

Expected annual

$1.8B

One-time setup

$965.9M

Annual recurring

$1.7B

Personnel

2500

One-time capital to stand up the global Subdivision 03 network is roughly $966M, with recurring annual costs of approximately $1.71B. The largest recurring drivers are payroll (core staff + 21,400 subcontractors), contingency reserves, and site-level operations/security/storage of large volumes of paper.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $965.9M

Facilities $540.0M

[#1] Acquisition/retrofit of six regional Subdivision 03 centres (New York, Brussels, Moscow, Beijing existing + planned India and MENA). Midpoint of $180M–$900M total range.

India Mena Centres $260.0M

[#25] Capital portion for opening India and MENA centres (midpoint of $120M–$400M per note).

Warehouse Capital $60.0M

[#2] Capital for large inert-paper storage warehouses (global program midpoint of $20M–$100M capex).

Incinerator Installation $33.0M

[#13] Capital for industrial incineration/shredding installations (approx. midpoint $1M–$10M per large facility aggregated).

Fire And Redundancy Capital $33.0M

[#14] Fire suppression, redundant power, secure HVAC capital (midpoint $1M–$10M per major site aggregated).

Equipment $31.5M

[#23] Specialized equipment capital (large-format scanners, industrial shredders, forklifts, armored vehicles, secure evidence lockers) aggregated across regions.

It System Buildout $5.5M

[#17] One-time secure IT/databasing/air-gapped backup buildout ($1M–$10M).

Mailroom Fitout $1.6M

[#11] One-time outfitting of secure mailrooms/monitored mailboxes across major sites (per-site $50k–$500k; aggregated midpoint).

Translation Integration $1.2M

[#16] One-time integration of machine-translation and localization systems ($0.5M–$2M).

Initial Research And Lab Setup $0

[]

Program Summary Reference $0

[#29] Top-level summary/range provided in analyst notes; this entry is a non-duplicative reference (recurring and one-time aggregated ranges noted but not double-counted).

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.7B/yr

Subcontractor Payroll $535.0M/yr

[#4] Payroll for 21,400 Level-0 subcontractors at local wages ($15k–$35k/yr each).

Staff Wages $425.0M/yr

[#3] Foundation core staff salaries (1,500–3,500 FTEs at $100k–$200k fully-loaded). Midpoint staffing projection used.

Contingency Reserve Allocation $275.0M/yr

[#24] Annual reserve allocation for high-iteration/mass-growth contingency ($50M–$500M/yr).

Stipend Payments $75.0M/yr

[#5] Salaries/stipends paid to affected individuals in custody (~3,000 ongoing events; $10k–$40k/person/yr).

India Mena Operational First Year $60.0M/yr

[#25] First-year operating costs for India and MENA centres (midpoint $10M–$50M each aggregated).

Cover Story And Legal $52.5M/yr

[#19] Legal, diplomatic and cover costs for maintaining plausible agencies and government cooperation ($5M–$100M/yr).

Security Staffing $44.0M/yr

[#22] Security staff and guard force for 24/7 coverage across major sites ($8M–$80M/yr global total midpoint).

Medical And Psychiatric $33.0M/yr

[#8] Medical and psychiatric care for detainees and staff ($2k–$20k/person/yr; aggregated midpoint).

Indefinite Detention Incremental $28.8M/yr

[#9] Incremental costs for indefinite/coerced detainees (additional $15k–$100k/person/yr; midpoint for 500 cases).

Research And Monitoring $27.5M/yr

[#15] R&D into containment strategies, automated assistance tools, AI-assisted completion programs ($5M–$50M/yr).

Ethics Reserve $27.5M/yr

[#27] Contingency reserves for oversight and remediation ($5M–$50M).

Public Relations Fund $25.5M/yr

[#20] PR/emergency exposure containment reserve ($1M–$50M/yr).

Logistics And Transport $18.0M/yr

[#6] Extraction & transport operations for ~2,400 extractions/yr (realistic mid-range chosen ~$12M–$24M/yr).

Extraction Transport $18.0M/yr

[#6] Redundant entry for transport-specific ops (included as operational logistics).

Monitoring And Intel $16.5M/yr

[#26] Monitoring & intelligence network costs for global detection ($3M–$30M/yr).

It Operations $11.0M/yr

[#17] IT systems, secure data storage and forensic analysis operations ($2M–$20M/yr).

Recruitment And Vetting $10.5M/yr

[#28] Personnel turnover, recruitment and background vetting program ($1M–$20M/yr).

Cybersecurity $8.0M/yr

[#18] Cybersecurity and counter-intelligence operations ($1M–$15M/yr).

Warehouse Operations $7.0M/yr

[#2] Annual operations for large regional warehouses (global midpoint of $2M–$12M/yr aggregated).

Translation Localization $5.5M/yr

[#16] Ongoing translation, localization and linguistic staffing and MT systems ($1M–$10M/yr).

Training Programs $5.5M/yr

[#21] Training for clerical interaction, trauma-informed interviewing, restraint & de-escalation ($1M–$10M/yr).

Ethics Oversight $5.2M/yr

[#27] Ethics oversight and compliance operations ($0.5M–$10M/yr).

Fire And Redundancy Maintenance $3.3M/yr

[#14] Annual maintenance for fire, life-safety, redundant power, HVAC ($100k–$1M/yr per site aggregated).

Equipment Maintenance $3.3M/yr

[#23] Maintenance for scanners, shredders, forklifts, armored vehicles ($0.1M–$1M/yr per region aggregated).

Supplies And Consumables $2.8M/yr

[#12] Printing, paper supplies, and controlled digitization consumables ($0.5M–$5M/yr).

Amnestic Program $2.8M/yr

[#10] Amnestic production, administration and follow-up ($200–$5,000 per administration; hundreds/yr).

Intake Processing $2.0M/yr

[#7] Temporary housing & intake processing per event (24–72 hour observation; $200–$1,500 per intake × 2,400/yr).

Paper Disposal $1.0M/yr

[#13] Ongoing secure shredding/incineration costs across program ($20k–$2M/yr aggregated midpoint).

Mailroom Maintenance $660K/yr

[#11] Annual maintenance for secure mailroom/monitored mailbox infrastructure ($20k–$200k/site aggregated).

Facilities Maintenance $0/yr

[]

Program Summary Reference Recurring $0/yr

[#29] Top-level recurring summary is provided in analyst notes; this entry is a reference to avoid double-counting.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.7B/yr

87.9% probability / year

Normal operational year with no major incidents; routine extractions, detentions, R&D and reserve allocations proceed as budgeted.

no major breaches routine event rate (~2,400 extractions/yr)

🚨 Minor Incident $1.8B/yr

10.0% probability / year +$102.0M vs baseline

Localized exposure or multi-site incident requiring elevated PR/legal response, increased amnestic use and limited surge staffing.

limited public exposure whistleblower or local media event

🚨 Major Breach $2.2B/yr

2.0% probability / year +$482.0M vs baseline

Significant multi-site failure or mass-iteration event requiring large-scale emergency operations, disposal surge, and substantial contingency drawdown.

mass-generation of iterations simultaneous multi-site exposures

🚨 Catastrophic Breach $6.7B/yr

0.1% probability / year +$5.0B vs baseline

Extreme mass-growth scenario approaching uncontrolled iteration proliferation requiring global emergency response, extraordinary disposal or experimental dematerialization.

unchecked iteration growth beyond 60th iteration NK-class progression risk

👥 Personnel 2500 total

Role	Count	Notes
Research Scientist	900	[#3] Scientists studying SCP-3925 and R&D staff included in core Foundation payroll.
Security Officer / MTF Agent	500	[#3] Senior security leadership and site security personnel (core staff).
Administrative Staff	600	[#3] Administrative and records personnel supporting Subdivision 03 operations.
Medical Officer	200	[#3] Clinicians and mental-health staff included in core payroll.
Engineer / Maintenance	150	[#3] Facilities, HVAC, and maintenance staff included in core payroll.
IT / Cybersecurity Specialist	100	[#3] Core IT and forensic analysts (note: additional cybersecurity ops budgeted separately).
Site Director / Executive Staff	10	[#3] Senior management for regional centres.
Legal / Compliance	40	[#3] In-house legal and compliance staff; broader legal/diplomatic costs are budgeted separately.

📋 Confidence Notes

Estimates are based on wide analyst ranges and policy-dependent choices (detention vs community management, subcontractor usage, contingency posture). Many line items are large ranges tied to local property markets and contingency/reserve policy, producing substantial uncertainty.

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