SCP-3952 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-3952
Expected annual
$7.2M
One-time setup
$23.7M
Annual recurring
$6.6M
Personnel
40
Estimated up-front (one-time) capital and setup costs are approximately $23.73M, driven primarily by radar procurement, Avenger systems, large munitions stockpile and replacement/reserve funds. Annual recurring operations are estimated at ~$6.635M/year, driven mainly by personnel wages, maintenance (radar/Avenger systems), munitions recertification and capital replacement reserves.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $23.7M
Equipment $10.3M
[#3, #4, #5, #8, #13, #15, #16, #17, #20, #21, #24] Procurement and installation of primary long-range radar(s), backup optical/IR/ acoustic sensor suites, initial data/storage hardware, two AN/TWQ-1 Avenger systems, vintage aircraft airframes, initial parts inventory, UAVs, rapid-response vehicle fleet, telemetry/signal interception gear, communications hardware, and initial cybersecurity hardware.
Contingency Aircraft Losses Reserve $6.0M
[#29] One-time reserve for replacement/write-offs and major liability events (aircraft/fighter replacement / large compensation reserve).
Munitions Stockpile $4.4M
[#9] One-time procurement/replacement-equivalent cost to fully stock missiles (estimated 16 missiles at mid-range price).
Facilities $1.0M
[#2, #27] Site hardening and structural/modification work (secure ops rooms, magazines, HVAC, EMP filtering) and one-time environmental control installation for munitions/electronics.
Emergency Remediation Reserve $1.0M
[#18] One-time emergency remediation/salvage contingency reserve for cleanup, covert removal and hazardous response.
Avenger Initial Training $375K
[#10] Initial crew training and qualification costs for missile system operators and maintainers.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $300K
[#19] Initial research instrumentation, lab setup and specialist instrumentation for anomalous flight/temporal study.
Legal Contingency Reserve $300K
[#11] One-time contingency/slush reserve related to legal cover, regulatory contingencies and hush funds.
Site Setup Legal $30K
[#1] One-time legal and cover organisation setup fees for leasing and front organisation establishment.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $6.6M/yr
Staff Wages $2.9M/yr
[#6, #7, #12, #13, #19] Annual wages for monitoring/operators (radarmen, sensor techs), security guards, front-organisation cover staff, pilots/aircrew for cover aircraft, and research specialists.
Facilities Maintenance $935K/yr
[#3, #4, #15, #17, #27] Recurring radar/sensor maintenance, calibration and electricity, optical/IR maintenance, parts/aircraft maintenance budgets, vehicle upkeep, and HVAC/climate-control energy for munitions/electronics.
Cover Story And Legal $500K/yr
[#11, #12, #23, #25, #21] Legal retainer/compliance programs, front-organisation PR/events budget, public relations/cover maintenance and records-retention/legal-defense; also recurring telecom/licensing and secure link costs associated with cover communications.
Avenger Maintenance And Training $500K/yr
[#10] Annual maintenance, spares, periodic crew recertification and training for Avenger systems and maintainers.
Capital Replacement Reserve $500K/yr
[#28] Annual reserve to amortize future replacement of heavy capital (radar, Avengers, servers, vehicles).
Logistics And Transport $425K/yr
[#14, #22] Aviation fuel and support for cover aircraft and airspace coordination/FAA liaison costs including occasional airline compensations or reroutes.
Munitions Maintenance $350K/yr
[#9] Annual missile maintenance/recertification, environmental control and accountability costs.
Research And Monitoring $195K/yr
[#5, #16, #20] Recurring data storage/backups and processing fees, UAV operations and telemetry/data fees for ongoing monitoring and analysis.
Site Lease Airfield Access $150K/yr
[#1] Annual lease/rental cost for small airfield, hangars and office space under the cover 'Society for Conservation of Planes'.
Cybersecurity Program $100K/yr
[#24] Recurring cybersecurity, audits, penetration testing and endpoint protection subscriptions/licenses.
Supplies And Consumables $50K/yr
[#30] Office/shop consumables, PPE, small tools, batteries and day-to-day expendables.
Personnel Medical And Training $50K/yr
[#26] Annual medical checks, psychological screening and anomaly-awareness training for staff.
Emergency Remediation Replenish $0/yr
[#18] Recurring replenishment of emergency remediation reserve if used (set to 0 unless draws occur).
Aircraft Loss Replenishment $0/yr
[#29] Recurring replenishment for aircraft/fighter loss reserve if draws occur (set to 0 unless incident triggers replenishment).
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $6.6M/yr
83.0% probability / year
Normal year of operations with no major incidents; ongoing monitoring, maintenance, cover operations and reserves funded at baseline levels.
routine monitoring no public incidents scheduled maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $7.6M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Localized incident such as a crash/forced landing, limited public sighting requiring covert remediation, small legal/PR response and modest asset repair.
small crash/landing public sighting/leak limited salvage and PR response
🚨 Major Breach $26.6M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$20.0M vs baseline
Severe incident involving loss or compromise of munitions/Avengers, major public exposure, loss of high-value aircraft or large-scale salvage and legal action.
munition loss or detonation loss of Avenger/major asset public casualty or large exposure
👥 Personnel 40 total
Role Count Notes
Monitoring Operators / Sensor Technicians 8 [#6] 24/7 shift coverage for radar and sensor monitoring (6-10 recommended).
Security Officer / Armed Guards 12 [#7] Perimeter, gate and rapid-response security (8-16 guards range).
Research Scientist / Specialists 4 [#19] Specialists studying anomalous flight/telemetry (2-6 specialists range).
Cover Staff (curator/mechanics/reception) 6 [#12] Front organisation operating staff to maintain museum/PR cover (4-8 staff).
Pilots / Flight Crew (cover aircraft) 4 [#13] Pilots and flight crew to operate vintage aircraft fleet rotation.
Engineer / Maintenance / Avenger Technicians 3 [#10, #15, #17] Mechanics and technicians for Avenger maintenance, radar/support equipment and vehicles.
Administrative Staff / Legal Liaison 2 [#11, #25] Administrative, records and legal liaison staff for FOIA, compliance and cover story management.
Medical Officer 1 [#26] Medical/psychological screening and periodic checks for staff.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges for most costs (radar, missiles, Avengers, staffing), allowing mid-range estimates. Significant uncertainty remains around munitions pricing, choice between lease vs full purchase, and low-probability high-cost incidents (aircraft/fighter replacement), hence medium confidence.
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