SCP-4007 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-4007
Expected annual
$12.4M
One-time setup
$136.0M
Annual recurring
$11.9M
Personnel
43
Initial capital costs are dominated by secure containment construction and BSL-4 laboratory buildout (~$136M one-time). Recurring annual costs are driven by personnel, facility operations, intelligence/monitoring, and logistics (~$11.91M/yr baseline).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $136.0M
Initial Research And Lab Setup $61.4M
[#3, #14, #29] Buildout of high-level biosecurity labs (BSL-4 chosen for conservative containment), initial forensic/archival acquisition costs, and capital for multi-year research project starts (lab instruments, animal models, clinical-grade setup).
Facilities $41.5M
[#1, #2, #19] Includes construction of reinforced human-holding suites for up to 5 individuals (cells), build-out/upgrade of a dedicated wing or leased facility for up to 5 anomalous individuals (administrative/medical/observation spaces), and secure climate-controlled evidence/sample vaults.
Contingency Reserve Fund $20.0M
[#20] One-time reserve to seed an immediately available rapid-response fund for large-scale breach, mass-casualty, or emergency mobilization.
Equipment $8.1M
[#11, #12, #13, #8, #23] One-time procurement/retrofit of vehicular and aviation assets, specialized countermeasure hardware (EM shielding, dampeners), armory/weapons stockpiles, initial covert tracking/implant installation costs, and IT/hardware capital for secure networks and compute.
Diplomatic Reserve $5.0M
[#28] One-time diplomatic/fallout insurance and legal-defense reserve for major exposure incidents or inter-state indemnities.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $11.9M/yr
Staff Wages $5.0M/yr
[#5, #6, #9, #15, #25, #31, #7] Salaries and benefits for ~25 security personnel, multidisciplinary research staff (parapsychology/biomed/forensics), asset handlers, translators/cultural liaisons, ethics/oversight staff, medical/geriatric personnel and related on-site specialist wages.
Facilities Maintenance $2.2M/yr
[#3, #2, #19, #23] Recurring operational cost for BSL lab operation (HVAC, waste handling, autoclaves), general site maintenance/upkeep of the dedicated wing, vault climate control, and IT system maintenance.
Logistics And Transport $1.8M/yr
[#11, #4, #26, #22, #30] Recurring maintenance/fuel/pilot costs for aviation/vehicular assets, MTF deployment and field ops budget, travel/housing/safehouse costs for overseas operations, recurring training & simulation exercises, and public-safety/cleanup team operations.
Research And Monitoring $1.4M/yr
[#29, #14, #8, #10] Ongoing research grants and project funding (long-term studies), recurring forensic/archival research costs, continuous remote telemetry/asset monitoring fees, and intelligence data/imagery licensing (SIGINT/HUMINT/satellite tasking).
Cover Story And Legal $860K/yr
[#16, #17, #18] Annual cover-story/PR and front-organization maintenance, legal/diplomatic contingency funds and small-scale bribery/discretionary allowances, plus witness relocation and amnestic program budgeting.
Supplies And Consumables $300K/yr
[#13, #12] Annual replacement of training and duty munitions, non-lethal stocks, consumables for countermeasure systems and field sedation/chemical supplies.
Replacement Attrition $100K/yr
[#27] Annual allowance (~10–20% style reserve) for replacing specialized personnel and equipment attrition/losses.
Pension Liability $100K/yr
[#21] Ongoing annual budget for long-term care/pension-like maintenance costs for anomalous subjects (scaled per observed surviving subjects); NPV and large multi-decade liabilities are handled separately in capital planning.
Remediation Reserve $50K/yr
[#24] Modest annual reserve to fund small remediation events, biohazard disposal and site cleanups; larger remediation costs are expected to draw on contingency_reserve_fund.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $11.9M/yr
78.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with ongoing monitoring, containment procedures, and routine deployments; no major incidents.
routine_surveillance scheduled_research minor_MTf_deployments
🚨 Minor Incident $12.7M/yr
20.0% probability / year +$800K vs baseline
Localized engagement or capture operation requiring additional MTF deployment, targeted intelligence tasking, limited remediation and witness relocation.
localized_breach targeted_capture_operation public_witnesses
🚨 Major Breach $26.9M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$15.0M vs baseline
Significant containment failure or high-profile exposure requiring large-scale rapid response, emergency medical care, international diplomatic action, and large remediation effort.
containment_breach mass_casualty_or_exposure international_diplomatic_response
👥 Personnel 43 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / Guard 25 [#5] 24/7 guarding, four shifts and quick reaction force as described in analyst notes.
Research Scientist / Technician 8 [#6] Multidisciplinary research team (parapsychology/physics/biomed/forensics), 5–12 FTEs estimated.
Medical Officer / Geriatric Specialist 2 [#7] Ongoing medical and geriatric care for anomalous individuals.
Engineer / Maintenance 2 [#11, #23] Facility, vehicles and BSL systems maintenance staff.
Administrative Staff 3 [#2] Site administration, logistics, and records/archives handling.
Asset Handler / Liaison 2 [#9] Dedicated handler(s) for SCP-4007-4 and liaison duties; 1–3 recommended.
Psychologist / Ethics Officer 1 [#25, #31] Oversight of interrogation ethics, compliance and internal audits.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on analyst ranges and canonical containment practices but many line items have wide ranges (BSL-4 vs BSL-3, overseas operations, intelligence costs). Unknowns about SCP mobility, locality of SCP-4007-5, and potential reality-altering requirements reduce certainty.
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