SCP-4014 — SCP-4014 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-4014 Neutralized ~ medium confidence

SCP-4014

Expected annual

$8.1M

One-time setup

$182.7M

Annual recurring

$7.9M

Personnel

Total one-time costs are dominated by optional satellite procurement and a large salvage operation; recurring costs are driven by staff wages, satellite operations, and ongoing data/monitoring pipelines.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $182.7M

Satellite Procurement And Launch $150.0M

[#17] Procurement/build and launch of dedicated orbital asset (MIMIR-1): satellite bus, sensors optimized for LEO debris tracking, and launch costs.

Salvage And Recovery Operation $15.0M

[#1] Deep-sea salvage vessel charter/operation, tugs/barges, helicopters, ROVs, dive crews, fuel/consumables, med support, HAZMAT readiness for a 2–4 week dedicated operation.

Contractor Compensation And Settlements $5.0M

[#21] Opportunity/mission-cancellation compensation to NASA or commercial contractors to maintain cooperation and plausible deniability.

Facilities $3.5M

[#3] Hardened hangar/warehouse construction or upgrade (blast doors, EMP shielding, secure vaults, CCTV and access control).

Anomalous Contingency Reserve $2.0M

[#24] Rapid-response reserve for unexpected anomalous reappearance or emergency escalation (one-time reserve allocation).

Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.8M

[#6] Purchase and fitout of forensic/materials analysis equipment (SEM, mass spec, metallography), cleanrooms, initial reagents and PPE.

Transport And Port Handling $1.5M

[#2] Heavy-lift transport, crane/barge hire, port fees, containerization, long-haul secure transport to facility and temporary storage.

Insurance And Contingency Reserve $1.0M

[#11] Reserve fund / insurance premium for salvage accidents, environmental damage, injuries and cost overruns (one-time reserve component).

Legal And Diplomatic Fees $800K

[#14] One-time legal, diplomatic coordination, NDAs, international liaison fees and settlement preparations.

Covert Pr Initial $500K

[#12] Initial coordinated covert PR campaign with NASA: press releases, staged briefings, paid op-eds and narrative seeding.

Witness Protection And Compensation $500K

[#15] Relocation, identity changes, counseling and settlements for exposed individuals.

Training And Specialized Equipment $300K

[#20] Initial training courses, certifications, PPE, specialty gear for divers, ROV pilots and EVA-like retrieval operations.

Decontamination And Hazardous Waste Handling $200K

[#8] Specialized cleaning, hazardous-waste disposal, permits and environmental remediation for contaminated fragments.

Fabricated Scientific Literature $200K

[#13] Ghostwritten papers, journal fees, paid reviewers/editors to seed false scientific record explaining phenomena.

Archival Setup $150K

[#9] Secure cataloguing, accessioning, barcoding, archival boxes, climate-stable storage setup and restricted database hosting initial costs.

Public Records Redaction $150K

[#23] Redaction/cleanup of public records, press photos and mission logs; planting alternate narratives in archives/databases.

Disposal And Decommissioning $100K

[#10] Incineration, secure landfill disposal, permits and transport costs for non-anomalous wreckage discard.

Equipment $0

[]

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $7.9M/yr

Satellite Operations $3.0M/yr

[#18] Mission control, ground-station time, data downlink, tasking and anomaly response for MIMIR-1 (if asset exists).

Staff Wages $2.8M/yr

[#5, #7] Salaries and loaded costs for security teams and expert personnel (onsite 24/7 security, project leads, materials scientists, engineers, forensic techs and program managers).

Data Analysis And Sharing $500K/yr

[#19] Secure data pipelines, analysts to vet and redact data, archival storage and redundancy, and coordination with NASA.

Supplies And Consumables $400K/yr

[#6] Ongoing consumables for forensic & materials analysis (reagents, sample prep, PPE) and lab running costs.

Facilities Maintenance $300K/yr

[#4] Lease/mortgage, utilities, HVAC/climate-control, filters, routine maintenance and insurance for secure storage facility.

Cybersecurity And Media Monitoring $300K/yr

[#16] Continuous media monitoring, takedown operations, secure comms and forensic tracking of information flows.

Insurance Premium $200K/yr

[#11] Recurring insurance premiums or replenishment of operational contingency funds.

Long Term Monitoring $200K/yr

[#22] Periodic overflights, satellite tasking and occasional re-investigation/archival reviews after neutralization.

Cover Story And Legal $130K/yr

[#12, #14] Ongoing PR maintenance with NASA and legal retainer/FOIA/redaction support (yearly cover-story maintenance and legal retainers).

Archival And Cataloguing $50K/yr

[#9] Ongoing restricted database hosting, backups, accessioning and climate-controlled archival maintenance.

Training Refreshers $50K/yr

[#20] Annual refresher training and certification costs for divers, ROV pilots and recovery teams.

Research And Monitoring $0/yr

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Logistics And Transport $0/yr

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Contingency Replenishment $0/yr

[#24] Recurring replenishment of contingency reserve only if expended; set to 0 in baseline.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $7.9M/yr

96.0% probability / year

Normal year with no major incidents; routine operations, monitoring, staff wages, satellite operations and data pipelines run as planned.

no_major_incident routine_monitoring

🚨 Minor Incident $8.9M/yr

3.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline

Localized contamination, small wreckage drift, or limited leak requiring short-term recovery and legal/PR response.

localized_contamination small_recovery_operation

🚨 Major Breach $25.9M/yr

1.0% probability / year +$18.0M vs baseline

Significant operational failure or leak, public exposure or large-scale contamination requiring full salvage reactivation, large settlements and emergency PR/legal operations.

public_leak large_scale_contamination major_reentry_fragmentation

👥 Personnel 25 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	12	[#5] Onsite 24/7 protection, supervisors and transport/escort teams (example staffing: ~12 personnel).
Research Scientist	4	[#7] Senior materials/aerospace scientists assigned to project.
Project Director / Program Manager	1	[#7] Program lead/PD overseeing recovery and analysis.
Forensic Technician / Lab Tech	8	[#6, #7] Laboratory technicians for sample prep, instruments, and routine analysis.

📋 Confidence Notes

Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges but several items (satellite procurement, salvage scale, contractor settlements) have very wide ranges and depend heavily on existing assets; therefore medium confidence in aggregated figures.

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