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SCP-4015 Eparch ~ medium confidence
SCP-4015
Expected annual
$35.3M
One-time setup
$188.2M
Annual recurring
$33.4M
Personnel
195
Initial capital costs are dominated by a centralized archive, vault retrofits and a catastrophic contingency reserve (~$188M one-time); recurring annual operations for a medium program (10 active sites) are ~ $33.4M/yr, driven by site salaries, contracted security, archive operations, and covert information suppression.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $188.2M
Catastrophic Contingency Reserve $100.0M
[#30] Recommended reserve for truly catastrophic anomaly activation (planning-level reserve; lower-bound planning chosen).
Facilities $69.2M
[#2, #3, #4, #15, #29] Field station buildout for 10 sites (~$500k/site => $5.0M), central archive construction (~$45.0M), vault retrofits (~$15.0M), power infrastructure installs for sites (~$1.75M), and one major front/museum setup (~$2.5M).
Equipment $5.0M
[#5, #16, #19] Mobile task force initial kit (~$3.75M), remote monitoring hardware initial for 10 sites (~$0.275M), and initial specialized containment supplies (~$1.0M).
Site Erasure Reserve $5.0M
[#28] Reserve for disposal / non-recovery operations and major erasure operations (per guidance, mid-range contingency).
Conflict Zone Reserve $5.0M
[#23] One-time regional reserve fund for instability (midpoint of $1M–$10M guidance).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $3.9M
[#10, #11] Archival digitization and database initial costs (~$0.375M) and regional laboratory equipment and setup (~$3.5M).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $33.4M/yr
Research And Monitoring $6.1M/yr
[#3, #10, #11, #13, #17, #18, #21] Archive operations/staff/power (~$4.0M), digitization maintenance (~$0.15M), lab consumables overlap (~$0.3M), conservation (~$0.2M), translation/philology program (~$0.55M), forensic/materials research amortized (~$1.0M), and literature monitoring (~$0.2M).
Cover Story And Legal $5.6M/yr
[#7, #8, #9, #20, #27, #29] Diplomatic liaisons and country-level cooperation (~$1.6M), covert cover-story program (~$1.0M), information suppression/cyber ops (~$1.0M), insurance/legal retainers (~$0.5M), public crisis management/PR (~$1.0M), and ongoing front operations (~$0.5M).
Staff Wages $5.5M/yr
[#1, #12] Field excavation team salaries for 10 active sites (~$350k/site => $3.5M) plus central high-clearance research/archivist team (~$2.0M).
Armed Security And Contracted Protection $4.8M/yr
[#6] Armed security contracts per site (~$475k/site => 10 sites => $4.75M).
Facilities Maintenance $3.2M/yr
[#2, #4, #15, #16] Field station/site maintenance (~$0.75M), vault monitoring & maintenance (~$1.5M), power/genset fuel and maintenance (~$0.9M), and remote monitoring connectivity/maintenance (~$0.075M).
Logistics And Transport $2.5M/yr
[#5, #14] Mobile task force ongoing readiness / maintenance and flight hours (~$2.0M) plus routine secure transport budget (~$0.5M).
Conflict Zone Premium $2.0M/yr
[#23] Recurring premium for operating in high-risk zones (20–30% uplift to contract and logistics costs; planner-selected mid value).
Inactive Sites Maintenance $1.5M/yr
[#26] Periodic inspections and minimal maintenance for ~100 inactive/satellite sites (~$15k/site avg => $1.5M).
Local Community Engagement $1.0M/yr
[#22] Community compensation/mitigation programs (~$100k/site => 10 sites).
Supplies And Consumables $800K/yr
[#11, #19] Laboratory consumables/contracted testing (~$0.3M) and containment supplies/replacements (~$0.5M).
Psychological And Memetic Safety $200K/yr
[#24] Memetic safety unit, psychological screening, training and isolation protocols.
Emergency Medical And Mortuary $200K/yr
[#25] MEDEVAC insurance, trauma care contracts, decontamination readiness, mortuary handling.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $33.4M/yr
82.8% probability / year
Normal year with routine digs, monitoring, and no major containment incidents.
routine excavations scheduled maintenance intelligence monitoring
🚨 Minor Incident $35.4M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Localized site incident (artifact destabilization, small containment breach, brief media leak) requiring emergency response, repairs, and targeted PR.
localized containment failure small public exposure artifact transport accident
🚨 Major Breach $58.4M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$25.0M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or regional exposure requiring sustained mobilization, vault repairs, reconstruction, larger cover-up and legal actions.
multi-site breach large public leak armed conflict impacting sites
🚨 Catastrophic Activation $233.4M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$200.0M vs baseline
A contained anomaly activates at scale (entity or effect escapes field containment) requiring mass evacuations, national-level military coordination or construction of hardened containment and major denial operations.
entity reactivation widespread public hazard failure of field containment cascade
👥 Personnel 195 total
Role Count Notes
Senior Archaeologist 20 [#1] ~2 senior archaeologists per active site (10 active sites).
Field Technician / Conservator Assistants 40 [#1] ~4 field technicians per active site handling excavation work and artifact processing.
Conservator 10 [#1] 1 conservator per active site for artifact stabilization.
Field Medic 10 [#1] Medic deployed per active site (6-month campaigns).
Local Labor / Camp Staff 100 [#1] Local hires and camp staff supporting 10 active sites (approx. 10 each).
Research Scientist / Senior Archivist 15 [#12] Central high-clearance research and archivist team (linguists, materials scientists, containment engineers).
📋 Confidence Notes
Many line items are provided as ranges and the program is inherently uncertain (anomalous activity, political risk). Midpoint assumptions and a 10-site medium-scale program were used; deviations in site count, security environment, or a decision to fund larger archives/vaults will materially change estimates.
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