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SCP-4048 Extraterrestrial ~ medium confidence
SCP-4048
Expected annual
$15.0M
One-time setup
$6.1M
Annual recurring
$14.5M
Personnel
100
One-time setup costs for covert training centers, surveillance installs, lab upgrades and vehicles are roughly $6.1M; baseline recurring annual costs are dominated by staff wages, monitoring/analysis, legal/PR and research at about $14.54M per year.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $6.1M
Initial Research And Lab Setup $2.7M
[#8, #13, #14, #15, #19, #30] Initial residential surveillance installs, BSL lab upgrades/equipment, stationary sensor arrays, initial predictive-modeling compute and secure IT/lab infrastructure and scientific program setup.
Contingency Fund Initial $2.0M
[#24] Initial contingency reserve for capture attempts, large-scale coverups, emergency equipment procurement or legal escalations.
Facilities $850K
[#1, #10, #25, #16] Two-site lease/fit-out and classroom/warehouse fit-out, medical/interview suite conversions, one-time permits/permissions and generators/UPS purchases.
Equipment $300K
[#2] Initial training fleet purchase (used forklifts), spare parts and one-time outfitting/maintenance contract initiation.
Vehicles $300K
[#9, #17] Mobile containment vans, unmarked logistics vehicles and one-time outfitting for RRTs and evidence transport.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $14.5M/yr
Staff Wages $6.0M/yr
[#3, #7, #8, #9, #15, #18, #22, #23] Salaries for instructors/administrative staff, monitoring analysts, RRT security & medics, data scientists/engineers, covert operatives/actors, data-manipulation staffing and local liaisons.
Research And Monitoring $2.5M/yr
[#8, #13, #14, #15, #30] Ongoing residential monitoring operations, BSL lab running costs, sensor/airspace sensing operations and analysts, predictive analytics, and scientific research program recurring budget.
Cover Story And Legal $2.1M/yr
[#4, #20, #21, #26, #28, #29, #32] Legal retainers & insurance premiums, public-relations/misinformation budget, records management/forgery operations, payments to cover discoveries, documentation and internal audit/compliance.
Litigation Reserve $1.0M/yr
[#4] Annual litigation/settlement reserve for lawsuits or large legal contingencies.
Supplies And Consumables $976K/yr
[#2, #9, #11, #12, #17] Amnestic administrations (drugs + medical staff), storage/QA, RRT consumables, long-term psych maintenance for subjects, and forklift maintenance supplies.
Facilities Maintenance $754K/yr
[#1, #10, #25, #16] Ongoing rent/operations for two training centers, medical suite operating costs, utilities, rooftop lease/permit fees and generator maintenance.
Training Accident Reserve $300K/yr
[#27] Reserve for training-related accidents, emergency medical transport and settlements.
Logistics And Transport $290K/yr
[#17, #33, #9] Vehicle operating costs for fleet, fuel/maintenance, travel and inter-city coordination and RRT deployments.
Data Manipulation Contingency $150K/yr
[#7] Non-staff costs for third-party cooperation, bribes and contingency payments to ensure public record consistency after Delta Events.
Interagency Bribes $150K/yr
[#28] Payments to municipal employees, clerks or private bodies to secure records or plausible documentation.
Training Recurring $125K/yr
[#22] Annual refresher training and recertification for Foundation medical/security staff involved in SCP operations.
Recruitment And Stipends $120K/yr
[#5] Advertising, recruitment outreach and stipends/tuition waivers to attract program participants.
Background Checks $60K/yr
[#6] Ongoing subscriptions, per-check costs and database access for background screening.
Employer Outreach $30K/yr
[#23] Outreach budget for partner employers/warehouses and coordination fees.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $14.5M/yr
88.0% probability / year
Uneventful year: normal monitoring, training programs run as planned, routine legal and PR activity.
no public exposure routine Delta Events no escalation to capture attempts
🚨 Minor Incident $16.0M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Localized publicity or a single public Delta Event forces extra PR, small settlements, additional surveillance flights and short-term increased staffing.
isolated public sighting lawsuit or media inquiry temporary spike in Delta Event frequency
🚨 Major Capture Attempt $29.5M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$15.0M vs baseline
Foundation attempts active capture or an escalatory public incident occurs requiring large-scale emergency response, experimental hardware procurements, major legal costs and expanded research operations.
decision to attempt capture large-scale public exposure multi-jurisdiction legal escalation
👥 Personnel 100 total
Role Count Notes
Instructor / Admin 12 [#3] Instructors, administrators and site training managers across both sites.
Monitoring Analyst 20 [#8] Analysts monitoring residential sensors and sleep data to detect Delta Events.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 16 [#9] RRT personnel for rapid post-Delta intercepts and site security.
Research Scientist 4 [#30, #15] Scientists running biological/astrobiological studies and supervising lab research.
Data Scientist / Engineer 4 [#15] Predictive analytics, sensor integration and compute operations staff.
Medical Officer 6 [#9, #11] Medical staff for screening, amnestic administration and short-term care.
Engineer / Maintenance 6 [#14, #17] Technicians maintaining sensor arrays, vehicles and site infrastructure.
Forensic / Data-Manipulation Technician 3 [#7, #13] Specialists performing record-scrubbing, forensic evidence handling and secure data operations.
Actor / Covert Operative 20 [#18] Covert personnel and controlled test subjects enrolled in programs to create predictable events.
Site Liaison / Local Liaison 4 [#16, #23] Local contacts, property owners and employer liaisons for rooftop access and employer coordination.
Administrative Staff 5 [#3, #29] Central admin, HR, records fabrication coordinators and payroll/finance staff supporting both sites.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges enabling a mid-confidence estimate, but large ranges on litigation/contingency, uncertain Delta Event frequency and variable staffing assumptions limit precision.
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