SCP-4086 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-4086
Expected annual
$2.8M
One-time setup
$2.4M
Annual recurring
$2.7M
Personnel
10
First-year one-time costs are approximately $2.45M driven primarily by fish-screen installation, surveillance/vehicles, and covert housing purchase; ongoing annual costs are roughly $2.75M/yr dominated by security payroll, contingency reserve, biological procurement, and covert/legal operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.4M
Facilities $1.3M
[#1, #14] Fish-screen design & installation (structural/spillway retrofit) and initial public-access control/fence/signage installation.
Equipment $465K
[#5, #7, #18] Capital vehicles (utility SUVs/pickup), surveillance & sensor array hardware, and robotics/drop-delivery systems (one-time acquisition).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $300K
[#17] Initial scientific monitoring instrumentation, micro-samplers, lab setup and initial analytical equipment.
Covert Housing Purchase $300K
[#22] One-time purchase option for covert housing/compound near site (mid-range estimate).
Background Identities Initial $50K
[#23] Initial setup for false identities and initial clandestine training costs.
Energy Infrastructure $40K
[#24] Solar + battery backup installation (one-time reliability upgrade).
Summary Estimate Note $0
[#29] First-year aggregate/planning figure provided in notes; not separately added to totals.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.7M/yr
Staff Wages $1.0M/yr
[#3, #4, #12] On-site security (6 guards + 1 supervisor) and 2 technical/maintenance staff; includes salaries, benefits, overtime, hazard pay, and embedded Bureau of Reclamation operative stipend.
Contingency Reserve $500K/yr
[#25] Annual contingency & escalation reserve for unforeseen anomaly behavior, larger sealing operations, or relocation/escalation.
Cover Story And Legal $350K/yr
[#13, #20, #21] Covert funding/grants/cover payments, public-relations/cover-story budget, and legal counsel/records suppression reserves.
Research And Monitoring $200K/yr
[#17] Ongoing environmental sampling (eDNA), lab analysis, modeling, and research staff time.
Heavy Equipment Contractors $125K/yr
[#16] Contractor mobilization standby (cranes, pumps, concrete pumps) and occasional heavy-equipment rentals for sealing/stabilization.
Biological Procurement $120K/yr
[#9] Monthly acquisition of ~908 kg living biological material (wholesale live-fish sourcing, handling and purchase).
Annual Audit And Admin $100K/yr
[#26] Internal auditing, accounting, administrative overhead and interdepartmental coordination.
Emergency Response Reserve $50K/yr
[#15] Per-incident deployable sealing kits and rapid-response consumables reserved for 1–4 incidents/yr (operational reserve).
Communications And Data Om $40K/yr
[#8] Bandwidth, cloud storage, cybersecurity, software licenses, sensor calibration and periodic replacement O&M.
Covert Housing Lease $36K/yr
[#22] Lease option for covert housing / accommodation for on-site staff (monthly lease estimate).
Medical And Forensic Support $30K/yr
[#19] Medical, forensic and legal handling reserve for personnel injuries or discovered remains.
Logistics And Transport $27K/yr
[#6, #10] Vehicle operating costs (fuel/maintenance/insurance) and transport logistics for monthly biological shipments.
Facilities Maintenance $25K/yr
[#2, #14] Periodic fish-screen inspection/maintenance and fence/access maintenance.
Veterinary And Compliance $25K/yr
[#11] Veterinary consulting, permits, animal-welfare oversight, and compliance/legal mitigation.
Psychological Support $25K/yr
[#27] Counseling, rotation costs, and periodic leave to mitigate operational stress.
Supplies And Consumables $15K/yr
[#28] PPE, small tools, bait/holding tanks, batteries, consumables and small replacements.
Robotics Maintenance $15K/yr
[#18] Annual maintenance, spare parts, and software updates for drop-delivery and robotic systems.
Background Identities Renewal $12K/yr
[#23] Ongoing costs to renew/maintain false identities, secure comms, and periodic clandestine training refreshers.
Energy Utilities $8K/yr
[#24] Grid power, site lighting, server power and battery upkeep (monthly utilities estimate).
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.7M/yr
85.0% probability / year
Normal year with scheduled maintenance, monthly biological procurement, routine operations and reserves; no major incidents or escalations.
no incidents scheduled maintenance routine procurement
🚨 Minor Incident $3.0M/yr
12.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
One or a few localized incidents requiring emergency response, modest contractor mobilization and repair/replacement of equipment or screen panels.
localized breach or external growth storm damage requiring unscheduled repairs small-scale public exposure
🚨 Major Breach $3.9M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$1.2M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or expansion requiring heavy civil work, large contractor mobilization, legal escalation and increased covert operations.
spread of SCP growth outside intake major public incident or investigative scrutiny need for large civil remediation
👥 Personnel 10 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#3] Six FTE guards to provide 24/7 coverage (two per shift).
Security Supervisor / Site Supervisor 1 [#3] One FTE site supervisor/lead.
Research Technician / Technical Staff 2 [#4] Two technicians for sensors, cameras, small machinery and monitoring kit upkeep.
Embedded Agent / Liaison 1 [#12] One embedded Foundation operative placed in the Bureau of Reclamation as cover/liaison.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges for most items (security payroll, screen, surveillance, procurement), enabling a mid-range estimate; however significant unknowns remain (site-specific engineering complexity, species sourcing variability, escalation frequency), so confidence is medium.
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