SCP-4268 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-4268
Expected annual
$106K
One-time setup
$660K
Annual recurring
$91K
Personnel
0.9
One-time contingency and optional property-acquisition drive high upfront cost (~$660k if purchase pursued); baseline annual costs are modest (~$109k/yr) dominated by site security allocation, site-level cover/legal payments (including the $900/mo allotment), and allocated staff/research costs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $660K
Property Purchase $500K
[#10] Optional purchase of 645 Canyon Road (or equivalent) to remove recurring estate payments; midpoint estimate from $300k–$1M range.
Medical Reserve $50K
[#15] One-time medical & liability reserve to cover potential treatments/claims; funded as an upfront reserve.
Property Emergency Reserve $30K
[#11] One-time contingency reserve for emergency property repairs if Foundation retains property control.
Contingency Seed $30K
[#14] Initial contingency response fund seed for activation incidents (rapid response, capture gear, medical, transport).
Destruction Research $20K
[#20] Optional one-time research & execution budget for permanent neutralization/destruction if pursued.
Property Closing Fees $10K
[#10] One-time closing and legal fees associated with property acquisition.
Legal Setup $9K
[#13] One-time legal work for trust/seizure/resale/initial compliance and cover arrangements.
Equipment $3K
[#3, #6] Sensor/CCTV/glovebox/remote-manipulator initial hardware and installation (vibration/temp/humidity/tamper sensors, low-res CCTV, small remote tooling, initial PPE tooling).
Facilities $3K
[#1] Tamper-proof letterbox fabrication & installation, mounting and tamper-evident fittings; includes spares/keys.
Cover Setup $3K
[#9] One-time setup of shell entity/trust/legal paperwork to make covert payments appear legitimate.
Conservation Setup $1K
[#16] Initial conservator assessment and initial preservation measures for balsa wood and paint.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $91K/yr
Site Security Allocation $30K/yr
[#4] Pro-rated share of Site-1 24/7 security staffing & systems allocated to SCP-4268 containment.
Cover Story And Legal $20K/yr
[#8, #9, #13, #17] $900/mo allotment to estate ($10,800/yr) + shell entity upkeep/bookkeeping (~$1.5k/yr) + ongoing legal counsel (~$5k/yr) + documentation/redaction/admin (~$3k/yr).
Staff Wages $20K/yr
[#5] FTE allocations: ~0.1–0.25 FTE researcher + 0.1 FTE technician pro-rated salary/benefits; used $20k/yr estimate.
Research And Monitoring $11K/yr
[#3, #16, #18, #19] Sensor logging/monitoring storage, conservation maintenance, annual research/testing budget, digital archival storage.
Contingency Replenish $6K/yr
[#14] Annual replenishment target for contingency/response fund after use.
Facilities Maintenance $2K/yr
[#2] Incremental cold-storage electricity and compressor maintenance attributable to SCP-4268 storage.
Logistics And Transport $1K/yr
[#7] Secure courier/transport for tests/relocations (~2 trips/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $350/yr
[#6] Ongoing PPE consumables, cleaning supplies, small replacement tooling.
Medical Replenish $0/yr
[#15] Medical/liability reserve is funded one-time; recurring replenishment is zero until used.
Property Maintenance If Owned $0/yr
[#11] Recurring property maintenance/taxes/insurance if property is purchased — set to 0 in baseline (covered in acquisition scenario).
Vacancy Management If Owned $0/yr
[#12] Vacancy deterrence (alarms/boarding/patrols) if property is owned — set to 0 in baseline.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $91K/yr
92.0% probability / year
Normal year with continued $900/mo allotment, standard monitoring, pro-rated security, and routine research; no activation or property acquisition.
no_activation monthly_payment_continued routine_operations
🚨 Minor Incident $129K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$38K vs baseline
Small activation or fragment activity causing minor injuries/exposure needing rapid response, medical treatment, and overtime; limited property impact.
fragment_activation minor_injury localized_response
🚨 Major Breach $259K/yr
1.0% probability / year +$168K vs baseline
Widespread fragment animation or civilian exposures requiring large containment response, legal settlements, expedited destruction research, and significant medical/legal costs.
multiple_fragment_activation civilian_exposure property_damage
🚨 Property Acquisition $626K/yr
2.0% probability / year +$534K vs baseline
Foundation decides to acquire 645 Canyon Road (or equivalent), paying purchase/closing costs and assuming property maintenance instead of the $900/mo allotment.
management_decision purchase_closing
👥 Personnel 0.9 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 0.2 [#5] Fractional FTE allocated for periodic testing and oversight (0.1–0.25 FTE).
Technician / Custodian 0.1 [#5] Fractional technician time for checks, handling, and maintenance.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 0.5 [#4] Pro-rated portion of Site-1 security allocation assigned to SCP-4268 containment.
Administrative Staff 0.1 [#17] Part-time administrative/OPSEC effort for documentation, redaction, and bookkeeping related to the cover payments.
📋 Confidence Notes
Containment and operational costs are well-documented in analyst notes (sensors, cold storage, monthly allotment), so line-item estimates are moderately reliable; uncertainty remains around optional property purchase, legal cleanup variability, and low-probability incident costs.
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