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SCP-4419 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-4419
Expected annual
$41.6M
One-time setup
$31.1M
Annual recurring
$40.8M
Personnel
60
Initial capital to establish secure labs, wards, and mobile assets is roughly $31M one-time, driven by lab buildouts and infrastructure; recurring annual operations are ~ $40.75M driven by staffing, long-term care, international operations, and a helicopter/drone/logistics budget.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $31.1M
Initial Research And Lab Setup $22.5M
[#3, #6, #20, #21] BSL-3/4-style biomedical research suite buildout, specialized imaging and preservation equipment, initial research program startup costs, and R&D/scale-up for amnestic stockpile.
Facilities $5.8M
[#5, #7, #8, #12, #15, #24] Secure-room buildouts, prosthetics workshop fit-out, mortuary build, city CCTV installs, emergency comms/hardening initial spend, and initial secure records/data center site work.
Equipment $2.8M
[#4, #13, #14] Purchase of mobile forensic/cleanup vans, acquisition of drone systems, and initial armored/PPE equipment for MTF squads.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $40.8M/yr
Staff Wages $6.0M/yr
[#1, #6, #7, #8, #9, #16, #20, #22, #25, #13, #24] Salaries/benefits for MTFs and medics, research staff, prosthetics/surgical team, mortuary and forensic staff, legal/ethics personnel, training instructors, drone ops and data-center operators; includes overtime and training allowances.
Long Term Care $5.0M/yr
[#19] Ongoing lifetime care, housing, prosthetics maintenance, and security for returned victims with chronic needs (estimated program-level annual outlay).
Crisis Reserve Contribution $5.0M/yr
[#30] Annual contribution to an emergency pooled crisis reserve for surge response to large-scale or high-leak events.
Witness Relocation And Followup $3.0M/yr
[#11] Relocation, identity changes, long-term amnestic follow-up, therapy, and reintegration support for witnesses/VIPs.
Helicopter Leasing $2.0M/yr
[#2] Dedicated helicopter/air-transport lease, pilots, maintenance, fuel, and hangar fees for rapid response.
International Liaison Fund $2.0M/yr
[#17] Covert diplomacy, bribery, and overseas operational liaison funding for international incidents.
Litigation Reserve $2.0M/yr
[#18] Annual set-aside for settlements, extended litigation, and special counsel for leaks or family lawsuits.
Research Program Funding $2.0M/yr
[#20] Ongoing program funding for studies into SCP-4419 behavior, field studies, and predictive mechanism research.
External Contractor Fund $2.0M/yr
[#28] Budget for hiring external covert retrieval teams, safehouses, and overseas high-risk ops.
Research And Monitoring $1.5M/yr
[#12, #20, #6, #21] Ongoing surveillance analytics, ML/predictive research funding, lab supplies for continued study, and imaging analysis operations.
Facilities Maintenance $1.2M/yr
[#5, #6, #12, #15, #24] Ongoing maintenance, utilities and redundancy for secure rooms, BSL lab upkeep, CCTV/sensor network maintenance, emergency communications maintenance, and secure records site upkeep.
Cover Story And Legal $1.0M/yr
[#9, #10, #18, #22, #23] Baseline legal/cover-story unit staffing and low-level PR; larger litigation, censorship, and compensation budgets are captured in dedicated recurring lines.
Compensation Payouts $1.0M/yr
[#23] Annual contingency for staged payouts and accident/malpractice-style settlements to avoid publicity or litigation.
Property Repair Fund $1.0M/yr
[#27] Fund for rapid repair and obfuscation of public infrastructure/property damage following incidents.
Replacement Reserve $1.0M/yr
[#29] Annual retirement/replacement reserve for vehicles, drones, and capital instruments (~5–10% of capital stock).
Supplies And Consumables $800K/yr
[#3, #4, #21, #26] General consumables including PPE, disinfectants, disposables, small equipment consumables, minor van/cleanup consumables, and imaging/reagent disposables; excludes large recurring stockpiles listed separately.
Secure Room Operations $800K/yr
[#5] Staffing, power, medical supplies, and monitoring for secure medical detention/observation rooms (example budget for ~10 rooms).
Evidence Forensics Team $600K/yr
[#16] Salaries and rapid-response budgets for specialists who obtain/alter/forensically manage CCTV and other digital evidence.
Ethics Legal Unit $500K/yr
[#22] Staffing and audits for clandestine bioethics/legal oversight and whistleblower mitigation.
Consumables Aggregate $500K/yr
[#26] Aggregate PPE, disinfectants, body-bags, fuels, and incident disposables across operations.
Mobile Cleanup Ops $400K/yr
[#4] Annual maintenance, consumables, and operations for the mobile forensic/cleanup van fleet.
Drone Fleet Operations $300K/yr
[#13] Fleet ops, maintenance, and operators for reconnaissance and scene documentation drones.
Training Program $300K/yr
[#25] Simulation, actor fees, ranges, and recurring regional training for medics, agents, and cleanup crews.
Amnestic Replenishment $200K/yr
[#3] Ongoing manufacture/replenishment and secure storage costs for Class-A/Class-B amnestics and delivery systems.
Imaging Consumables $200K/yr
[#21] Reagents, cryo-preservation supplies, and consumables for specialized imaging and tissue preservation.
Mortuary Disposal Ops $150K/yr
[#8] Per-body disposal, incineration capacity operations, and mortuary throughput costs.
Data Center Ops $150K/yr
[#24] Secure records hosting, deletion infrastructure ops, backups, and site ops.
Emergency Comms Ops $100K/yr
[#15] Telecom, encryption, and backup generator upkeep for hardened comms.
Armored Equipment Replacement $50K/yr
[#14] Annual replacement and consumables for heavy PPE, ballistic shields, and non-lethal equipment.
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $40.8M/yr
87.5% probability / year
Normal year with routine incidents and steady-state operations, no major leaks or mass-casualty surges.
routine manifestations no major public leak standard MTF deployments
🚨 Minor Incident $41.8M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
A high-visibility local incident requiring emergency takedowns, extra PR/legal work, and modest surge in relocations.
viral video or social media outbreak local litigation or investigation
🚨 Major Breach $60.8M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$20.0M vs baseline
A larger leak or multi-site incident forcing international operations, mass victim care, and significant legal/PR expenditures.
multi-victim outbreak international incident requiring covert diplomacy
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $115.8M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$75.0M vs baseline
A large-scale leaking event or surge (mass-casualty or viral global exposure) requiring full crisis reserve activation and multi-year emergency operations.
global viral exposure mass-casualty media leak
👥 Personnel 60 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 30 [#1] Field agents across multiple regional rapid-response teams (core containment/security workforce).
Field Medic / Paramedic 10 [#1] Medics embedded in MTF teams for triage, amnestic administration, and casualty handling.
Research Scientist 8 [#6, #20] Lab-based scientists and analysts studying pathology and predictive mechanisms.
Medical Officer / Surgeon 3 [#7, #8] Prosthetics, reconstructive surgery, and mortuary medical oversight.
Engineer / Maintenance 3 [#15, #29] Facilities, comms, and equipment maintenance staff.
Administrative Staff 2 [#24, #9] Administrative support for records, cover stories, and logistics.
Legal Counsel / Ethics Staff 2 [#9, #22] In-house legal and clandestine bioethics oversight personnel.
MTF Support / Logistics 2 [#1, #28] Logistics coordinators and short-term contractor liaisons.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes are detailed with ranges for most items, allowing mid-range aggregation; however many estimates are highly variable (incident frequency, international scope, long-term care needs, crisis reserve build rates), so overall confidence is medium.
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