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SCP-4642 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-4642
Expected annual
$2.8M
One-time setup
$1.8M
Annual recurring
$2.7M
Personnel
16
Upfront retrofit and specialized equipment are the main one-time costs (~$1.78M), while recurring personnel (security + research), D-Class replacement and consumables drive annual costs (~$2.70M/year baseline).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.8M
Long Term Research Contingency $625K
[#25] Long-term scale-up / reclassification reserve (midpoint of $250k–$1,000k).
Facilities $450K
[#1, #5] Hangar containment retrofit and incinerator/piping upgrades (midpoint of estimates for welding/structural work and incinerator capacity upgrades).
Equipment $402K
[#2, #3, #4, #6, #14, #15] Floor anchors & restraint hardware (one-time), remote crank actuator, gas-detection/HVAC/scrubber hardware, monitoring sensor suite, initial data/server setup, and access/interlock hardware (midpoint sums).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $210K
[#11, #12, #13] Initial PPE stock, on-site autoclave / biological safety cabinets / decon equipment, and initial comprehensive sample analysis/setup (initial characterization instruments/outsourced work).
Contingency Fund Seed $88K
[#20] One-time portion of contingency / emergency repair fund (midpoint of $25k–$150k where a seed is chosen).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.7M/yr
Staff Wages $1.2M/yr
[#7, #8] Dedicated security staff (9 FTEs) and containment/research staff (1 senior researcher, 2 junior researchers, 1 lab tech, 1 medical officer, 2 decon attendants) salaries + benefits (midpoint sums).
D Class Costs $720K/yr
[#9] Procurement/transfer/processing/confinement for 3 D-Class per month (36/year) — conservative midpoint annual estimate.
Cover Story And Legal $150K/yr
[#19] Cover-up, legal, record-sanitization and amnestic liaison budget (midpoint estimate).
Research And Monitoring $111K/yr
[#6, #13, #14, #16, #17] Ongoing monitoring/storage, periodic sample analysis assays, data storage/secure logging subscriptions & maintenance, training/drills expenditure, and psychological monitoring programs (midpoint sums).
Supplies And Consumables $100K/yr
[#11, #23, #24] Recurring PPE replenishment, respirator/cartridge replacements and fit testing program, and experimental/documentation consumables (midpoint sums).
Medical Monitoring $95K/yr
[#10] Occupational health monitoring, prophylactic treatments, PEP and emergency treatment costs (midpoint).
Contingency Fund Annual $88K/yr
[#20] Annual set-aside for contingency / emergency repairs and rapid-response contractor callouts (midpoint).
Incineration Operating $52K/yr
[#5] Increased incinerator operating costs (fuel, staffing, throughput) due to containment drainage routed to incinerator (midpoint).
Contaminated Waste Management $48K/yr
[#18] Annual costs for hazardous waste handling, sharps disposal, paperwork and transport (midpoint).
Logistics And Transport $25K/yr
[#22] Transport and secure courier/shuttle costs for D-Class, personnel and samples (midpoint).
Utilities And Energy $25K/yr
[#21] Incremental electricity/water/heating and incinerator fuel surcharges due to continuous HVAC, cameras and decon equipment (midpoint).
Hvac And Scrubber Maintenance $18K/yr
[#4] Annual calibration, maintenance and spare parts for gas detection, ventilation, and scrubber systems.
Equipment Maintenance $14K/yr
[#2, #12, #15] Recurring maintenance/testing for floor anchors, autoclave/BSC maintenance and access/control system upkeep (sum of midpoints).
Floor Anchor Inspection $2K/yr
[#2] Periodic testing and inspection of floor anchors and restraints.
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.7M/yr
83.0% probability / year
Normal year with scheduled experiments, routine maintenance, and no major incidents.
scheduled_experiments routine_maintenance no_breach_or_major_incident
🚨 Minor Incident $2.8M/yr
12.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Localized equipment failure (HVAC/scrubber or sensor), small contamination event, or short experimental injury requiring repairs and additional medical/outreach costs.
HVAC_or_scrubber_failure localized_contamination equipment_replacement
🚨 Major Breach $3.4M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$750K vs baseline
Significant containment breach or accident (SCP mobility/uncontrolled movement, serious property damage or multiple injuries) requiring large repairs, replacements, amnestics and legal response.
uncontrolled_SCP_mobility multiple_injuries equipment_destroyed
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $3.7M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Discovery that SCP-4642 activity escalates or new properties discovered necessitating additional containment chambers, upgraded biosafety level and expanded staff.
escalation_in_activity new_anomalous_properties reclassification_and_scale_up
👥 Personnel 16 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 9 [#7] 3 guards per shift × 3 shifts = 9 FTEs for 24/7 coverage and experimental watch.
Research Scientist (Senior) 1 [#8] Senior researcher / lead responsible for experiment design and oversight.
Research Scientist (Junior) 2 [#8] Two junior researchers for monitoring and data collection.
Lab Technician 1 [#8] Lab tech for sample handling and equipment operation.
Medical Officer / EMT 1 [#8] On-site medical officer for immediate response and monitoring.
Decon Attendant 2 [#8] Two attendants to operate decon showers and assist with PPE donning/doffing during experiments.
📋 Confidence Notes
Line items are well-specified with provided ranges, enabling midpoint estimates; uncertainty remains due to the anomalous nature (unknown gas properties, potential escalation) and wide ranges on D-Class costs and contingency needs.
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