SCP-4643 — SCP-4643 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-4643 Unknown ~ medium confidence

SCP-4643

Expected annual

$2.5M

One-time setup

$4.1M

Annual recurring

$2.5M

Personnel

Upfront one-time capital and program costs are dominated by contingency reserves, lab/R&D setup and specialized equipment (~$4.1M); ongoing annual costs are driven by staff wages, monitoring/takedown operations and legal/PR activities (~$2.47M/yr).

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $4.1M

Contingency Reserve $2.0M

[#23] Reserved contingency/catastrophic response fund (held/insured); conservative reserve chosen within stated range.

Initial Research And Lab Setup $550K

[#7, #10] RAISA forensic lab instrumentation (frame scanners, spectral/audio analyzers, isolation rigs) #7 ($150k) plus initial R&D/program buildout for safe-analysis protocols and automation #10 ($400k).

Facilities $400K

[#1] Retrofit/outfitting of Site-103 vault with archival-grade climate control, humidity control, clean-agent fire suppression, anti-tamper locks and biometrics; midpoint estimate used ($400k) between retrofit and rebuild ranges.

Equipment $387K

[#4, #5, #8, #21] One-time purchase and installation of CCTV/intrusion systems (#4 ~$50k), archival backup media & locked drives (#5 ~$12k), specialized playback/containment booth hardware (#8 ~$125k), and specialized shielding / optical/EM isolation hardware (#21 ~$200k).

Ml Development $350K

[#22] One-time development of data-analysis / machine-learning detection models and on-prem/cloud integration to detect matching frames/visual signatures.

Internet Monitoring Dev $225K

[#11] One-time development and tooling for automated crawlers, reverse-image/frame search tooling and takedown tooling (development/initial tooling).

Emergency Destruction Equipment $150K

[#17] Mobile secure destruction / safe-destruction technology acquisition (shred/incineration or equivalent safe-disposal tech).

Intellectual Property Acquisition $80K

[#20] Purchase/buyout of master rights or tapes to reduce leak vectors; midpoint chosen from range.

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.5M/yr

Staff Wages $780K/yr

[#3, #9, #19] Security guards 6×(~$50k) = $300k (#3); RAISA audiovisual specialists 4×(~$90k) = $360k (#9); archivist(s) and cataloging staff ~$120k (#19) (aggregate salaries only).

Cover Story And Legal $475K/yr

[#12, #13] Rapid response content removal/PR cover-ops (~$300k/yr midpoint #12) plus legal & clandestine liaison budget (~$175k/yr midpoint #13) combined here for legal, PR and liaison costs.

Internet Monitoring Operations $250K/yr

[#11] Operations staff and ongoing costs for automated crawlers, human analysts, takedown operations and global monitoring (midpoint estimate).

Research And Monitoring $200K/yr

[#10] Ongoing R&D budget for developing detection tools, safe-extraction algorithms, and protocol testing (ongoing R&D estimate).

Site Overhead $175K/yr

[#25] Pro rata Site-103 overhead allocation (facility overhead, shared utilities, apportioned command/legal support).

Ml Ops $125K/yr

[#22] Ongoing compute, model retraining and maintenance for ML/video-analysis detection systems.

Logistics And Transport $120K/yr

[#6] Secure transport/evidence seizure operations (armored couriers, packaging, travel/lodging). Based on ~20 seizures/yr midpoint ~$120k.

Psychological Care Compensation $75K/yr

[#15] Counseling, hospitalization and compensation for affected personnel/families; midpoint estimate.

Medical Amnestics $60K/yr

[#14] Amnestic/medical countermeasure procurement and per-subject costs; midpoint for moderate annual subject count estimate.

Administrative Overhead $60K/yr

[#24] SOP updates, documentation, secure databases and admin support costs.

Incident Drills $50K/yr

[#16] Training, tabletop exercises and live drills with overtime and gear.

Redteam Audits $50K/yr

[#18] Independent audits, penetration testing and memetic-safety reviews.

Emergency Destruction Readiness $15K/yr

[#17] Annual readiness, compliance and minor consumables for destruction capability.

Facilities Maintenance $12K/yr

[#2] Vault environmental utilities, HVAC/humidity control electricity, filter replacements, twice-yearly environmental monitoring/calibration and certifications.

Electronic Surveillance Maintenance $6K/yr

[#4] Recurring maintenance, storage and logging costs for CCTV/intrusion sensors and alarm systems.

Shielding Maintenance $6K/yr

[#21] Maintenance and verification for optical/EM shielding and isolation protocols.

Playback Maintenance $5K/yr

[#8] Annual maintenance and calibration for specialized playback/containment booth and fail-safes.

Supplies And Consumables $3K/yr

[#5] Rotation/recertification of archival media and consumables for backups and seals (media rotation/recertification).

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.5M/yr

93.9% probability / year

Normal year with no major incidents: routine monitoring, takedowns, maintenance and staffing only.

no accidental playback no large-scale leak standard monitoring operations

🚨 Minor Incident $2.7M/yr

5.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline

Limited accidental exposure to a small number of personnel or a localized leak requiring medical/amnestic treatment, limited PR/legal action and minor repairs.

accidental local playback small media leak single-site exposure

🚨 Major Breach $4.5M/yr

1.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline

Significant breach or public leak requiring large-scale takedown, heavy legal/PR operations, use of contingency and extended R&D response.

widespread online spread media/public exposure multi-site compromise

🚨 Catastrophic Breach $10.5M/yr

0.1% probability / year +$8.0M vs baseline

Mass exposure or international incident requiring full contingency activation, major litigation, replacement/rescue operations and potential public-facing cover/settlement.

global viral dissemination multi-jurisdiction litigation failure of containment across sites

👥 Personnel 11 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	6	[#3] 24/7 guard coverage; 6 guards to cover rotations per analyst note.
RAISA Technician / Audiovisual Specialist	4	[#9] 3–6 specialists called for; midpoint of 4 used to match salary aggregate.
Archivist	1	[#19] Long-term archival custody and cataloging staff; 1–2 indicated, 1 used in personnel tally.

📋 Confidence Notes

Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges enabling mid-point estimates, but many costs depend on unknowns (transmissibility, leak frequency, legal outcomes) and wide ranges for contingency/R&D so uncertainty remains.

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