SCP-4646 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-4646
Expected annual
$461K
One-time setup
$1.8M
Annual recurring
$444K
Personnel
2
Initial one-time setup and reserve spending are estimated at $1,762,000 driven by property acquisition, structural/security works and optional contingency/hush/amnestic programs; recurring annual costs are about $444,000/yr driven primarily by staffing, legal/cover-story maintenance, and monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.8M
Contingency Reserve $500K
[#24] Reserved contingency fund for large-scale escalation or breach response.
Hush Payments And Relief $262K
[#17] Community settlements/NDAs/relocation stipends for local population (optional alternative to amnestics).
Amnestic Program $250K
[#16] One-time cost estimate for a medical-grade amnestic program applied to a large number of residents (optional / contingency if chosen).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $225K
[#11, #13] Age/temporal screening lab setup and instruments (#11) and temporal-research instruments/high-speed dataloggers/atomic clocks (#13).
Facilities $205K
[#1, #2, #3] Property acquisition/title/legal work (#1), structural stabilization/hazard remediation (#2), and perimeter security installation (#3).
Equipment $175K
[#4, #5, #6, #9, #12] Fixed surveillance & sensors and installation (#4), remote monitoring/server hardware (#5), power redundancy equipment (#6), age/access hardware (biometric readers) (#9), and drone/robotic inspection purchase (#12).
Incident Response Equipment $75K
[#22] Rapid-deploy vehicle(s), hazmat suits, and escalation equipment reserve (one-time procurement).
Public Relations One Time $25K
[#18] Initial cover-story and PR campaign creation and materials.
Records Redaction $20K
[#26] One-time costs to redact/alter public historical records if required.
Secure Storage And Records One Time $15K
[#21] Secure physical/digital archive setup, falsified public records deposits (initial).
Recruitment Fees $10K
[#10] One-time recruitment fees to locate compliant staff born after 1981.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $444K/yr
Staff Wages $300K/yr
[#7, #14] Base recurring compensation: single assigned agent (Agent Cartwright) and 1 FTE temporal researcher/analyst as baseline staffing.
Insurance Legal $30K/yr
[#23] Annual insurance/indemnity/legal defense pool and budgeting for subpoenas/local legal challenges.
Ethics Oversight $20K/yr
[#28] Internal compliance audits, psychological/ethical oversight, and review of use of amnestics/hush methods.
Recruitment Salary Premium $15K/yr
[#10] Ongoing salary premium to attract compliant personnel (estimated +10% premium for small pool).
Facilities Maintenance $12K/yr
[#27] Seasonal site maintenance, snow removal, wildlife/vandalism repair, battery swaps and routine site visits.
Cover Story And Legal $10K/yr
[#18, #21] Ongoing PR/cover-story maintenance and minimal public-facing materials; ties to records management.
Incident Response Annual $10K/yr
[#22] Training refreshers, standby stipends, and consumable replenishment for rapid-reaction capability.
Research And Monitoring $9K/yr
[#5, #11, #13] Ongoing monitoring, data storage/archival, and lab operations for temporal screening and instrument upkeep.
Supplies And Consumables $8K/yr
[#15] Consumables: sample kits, PPE, spare cameras, batteries, reagents.
Drone Maintenance $6K/yr
[#12] Maintenance, spare parts, and battery replacement for UAVs/robots.
Logistics And Transport $5K/yr
[#20] Travel, lodging, per-visit vehicle/fuel costs for specialists and site staff.
Age Access Audits $5K/yr
[#9] Periodic audits, HR/legal counsel, and system maintenance for age/access enforcement.
Law Enforcement Cooperation $5K/yr
[#19] MOUs, training sessions, and small stipends to local law enforcement for diversion/cover duties.
Surveillance Maintenance $3K/yr
[#4] Annual maintenance/cloud bandwidth and tamper/alarm upkeep for fixed surveillance and sensors.
Power Maintenance $3K/yr
[#6] Fuel, generator maintenance and battery replacement program for power redundancy.
Records Maintenance $3K/yr
[#21] Ongoing classified records handling, secure archiving, and falsified public record upkeep.
Long Term Study Program $0/yr
[#25] Optional multi-year research program — set to $0/yr in baseline (captured in scenarios if activated).
Amnestic Program Annual $0/yr
[#16] Recurring med-team labor and follow-up if mass amnestics used; set to $0/yr in baseline unless activated.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $444K/yr
87.0% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year with minimal staffing, remote monitoring, routine maintenance, and cover-story upkeep.
no incidents regular monitoring only no large-scale amnestics or hush payments
🚨 Minor Incident $494K/yr
10.0% probability / year +$50K vs baseline
Localized incident requiring targeted response (small group amnestic administration or small settlements, extra legal work).
witnessing civilians requiring amnestics small-scale breach or PR exposure
🚨 Full 24 7 Coverage $764K/yr
2.0% probability / year +$320K vs baseline
Decision or necessity to institute continuous on-site coverage (3–4 FTEs) instead of a single assigned agent.
increased activation frequency higher risk posture operational directive to increase on-site staff
🚨 Major Breach $1.0M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$600K vs baseline
Large-scale exposure requiring mass amnestic administration or town-wide settlements and major incident response.
widespread public exposure civil suits/subpoenas requirement to amnestic/relocate many residents
👥 Personnel 2 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 1 Agent Cartwright assigned as single responsible on-site agent in baseline; maps to #7.
Research Scientist 1 1 FTE temporal physicist/analyst for monitoring and research duties; maps to #14.
📋 Confidence Notes
Costs for core containment (property, sensors, basic staffing) are reasonably bounded, but large uncertainty remains around optional choices (amnestic vs hush, long-term research, contingency appetite) and local legal/market variability, so confidence is medium.
← SCP-4645 ↑ All SCPs SCP-4647 →