SCP-4647 — SCP-4647 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-4647 Euclid ~ medium confidence

SCP-4647

Expected annual

$7.6M

One-time setup

$18.5M

Annual recurring

$7.3M

Personnel

Initial one-time capital and contingency reserves are the largest drivers (~$18.5M), primarily from sensor/vehicle/container procurement and large emergency reserves; annual operations (surveillance, staffing, aircraft contracts, legal, remediation) run roughly $7.32M/yr.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $18.5M

Permanent Bypass Construction Contingency $5.0M

[#2] Contingency for permanent rerouting / major civil engineering if detours fail (midpoint of $2–8M range used).

Equipment $4.8M

[#3, #4, #6, #7, #8, #10, #11, #14, #20, #21] Sensor towers, seismic/magnetic sensors, vehicle fleet, UAV fleet, containment containers, capture/immobilization systems, mirror-cover/training equipment, servers, and power generation/backups.

Emergency Escalation Reserve $3.5M

[#25] Reserve for military-grade rapid response mobilization ($2–5M range; midpoint used).

Facilities $2.2M

[#5, #8, #9, #16] Central operations buildout, secure storage modifications/acquisition and disposal facility mods (ops center buildout, storage mods, secure facility acquisition/mods, hazardous disposal mods).

Emergency Remediation Reserve $1.0M

[#15] One-time emergency remediation reserve for major incidents (severe cleanup, environmental remediation, wildfire mitigation).

Long Term Neutralization R And D $750K

[#27] One-time R&D for neutralization / decommissioning (midpoint of $500k–1M range).

Victim Compensation Reserve $500K

[#18] Contingency reserve for major multi-vehicle compensation events.

Initial Research And Lab Setup $450K

[#12] Laboratory research buildout, test vehicles and mirror test rigs.

Road Access Control $200K

[#1] Initial detour signage, temporary barriers, permits and coordination with state DOT for detours and nightly roadblocks.

Secure Storage Facility Acquisition $0

[]

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $7.3M/yr

Staff Wages $2.9M/yr

[#5, #6, #12, #14] Central ops staffing (~12–16 personnel), field rapid-response team staffing/overtime, research team salaries, and amnestic agents' salaries (salary + benefits totals).

Research And Monitoring $700K/yr

[#12] Ongoing research program salaries, consumables and testing budget for trigger mechanics, mirror interaction, mitigation testing.

Helicopter Contracts $600K/yr

[#7] On-call contracted helicopters for interceptor/observation support.

Cover Story And Legal $450K/yr

[#17] Legal retainer, PR/public messaging, and coordination funding for local agencies and FOIA mitigation.

Logistics And Transport $300K/yr

[#6, #24] Vehicle operations/maintenance/fuel for rapid-response fleet and routine transport of captured instances.

Medical Response $300K/yr

[#13] Emergency medic contracts and expected per-incident medical costs.

Incident Cleanup $250K/yr

[#15] Typical annual debris removal, mirror-shard cleanup and localized remediation.

Mirror Mitigation $210K/yr

[#11] Night checkpoints, enforcement staffing and mirror-cover replacement program costs.

Facilities Maintenance $200K/yr

[#9] Secure storage facility operations and routine facility maintenance/operations.

Surveillance Maintenance $200K/yr

[#3] Maintenance, communications and data link costs for sensor towers/radar/thermal/optical systems.

Victim Compensation $200K/yr

[#18] Baseline annual payments/reimbursements for damaged/destroyed civilian vehicles and goodwill payments.

Insurance And Liability $175K/yr

[#19] Estimated annual premiums for personnel, fleet and facility coverage (midpoint of $100–250k).

Supplies And Consumables $150K/yr

[#10, #23] Consumables for capture/immobilization (foam cartridges, replacement nets) plus general PPE, spare parts and maintenance consumables.

Aerial Drone Operations $150K/yr

[#7] Drone operations budget for high-resolution tracking and night operations.

Public Misinformation And Foia $100K/yr

[#26] Annual budget for active misinformation, FOIA mitigation and journalist/citizen inquiry management.

Road Access Control $60K/yr

[#1] Recurring traffic control staffing, permit renewals and nighttime detour operations.

Sensor Calibration And Maintenance $50K/yr

[#4] Calibration and maintenance for seismic/magnetic and glass-break sensors.

Containment Storage Utilities $50K/yr

[#8] Utilities and basic operations for on-site containment storage.

Amnestic Training $50K/yr

[#14] Ongoing training and simulations for agents administering amnestics.

Energy Maintenance $50K/yr

[#21] Fuel, generator maintenance and battery upkeep for remote power systems.

Training And Drills $50K/yr

[#22] Regular exercises, SOP development and refresher training.

Communications And Cybersecurity $45K/yr

[#20] Bandwidth, offsite backups and cyber defenses for high-bandwidth sensor data (midpoint of $30–60k).

Hazardous Waste Handling $25K/yr

[#16] Ongoing secure disposal/handling costs for anomalous glass and contaminated materials.

Amnestic Supplies $20K/yr

[#14] Procurement and controlled storage of amnestic compounds.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $7.3M/yr

85.0% probability / year

Normal operating year with routine captures and no major incidents.

nightly_surveillance routine_captures no_major_breach

🚨 Minor Incident $7.8M/yr

12.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline

Isolated multi-vehicle incident or a small localized mirror emergence requiring extra cleanup, medical response and limited public mitigation.

single_vehicle_crash isolated_SCP-4647-1_manifestation limited_public_exposure

🚨 Major Mirror Cascade $14.3M/yr

3.0% probability / year +$7.0M vs baseline

Large-scale cascade of multiple SCP-4647-1 manifestations (mirror cascade) requiring emergency remediation, large compensation, extended aircraft/heavy-asset mobilization and possible facility expansion.

mirror_cascade multiple_simultaneous_manifestations widespread_environmental_damage

👥 Personnel 39 total

Role	Count	Notes
Operations Operator / Dispatchers / Supervisors	14	[#5] Central operations monitoring staff (12–16 across three shifts).
Field Rapid-Response Team (drivers, capture technicians, medics, agents)	8	[#6] Trained capture teams deployed for retrieval and immobilization operations.
Amnestic Agents	6	[#14] Undercover agents tasked with administering amnestics and related field work.
Research Scientist / Lab Tech	4	[#12] Laboratory research team studying triggers, mirror interaction and mitigation.
Medical Officer	2	[#13, #6] On-call medics for field stabilization and casualty response.
Engineer / Maintenance	2	[#21, #4] Maintain power systems, sensors, towers and field equipment calibration.
Security Officer / MTF Agent	2	[#6, #17] Security presence for field operations and coordination with local law enforcement.
Administrative Staff / Site Director	1	[#5, #17] Administrative oversight, legal coordination and site management.

📋 Confidence Notes

Many line items are explicitly estimated in analyst notes (improving confidence), but several items are wide ranges or contingency reserves (bypass, escalation reserves, R&D), producing moderate overall uncertainty.

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