SCP-476 — SCP-476 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-476 Safe ~ medium confidence

SCP-476

Expected annual

$1.9M

One-time setup

$1.0M

Annual recurring

$1.8M

Personnel

One-time setup costs total approximately $1.04M driven primarily by equipment, MTF kit purchases and a large contingency/reserve; recurring annual operations are approximately $1.80M/yr driven mainly by personnel (MTF and containment staff), field monitoring, forensic processing, telecom support, and insurance/overhead.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.0M

Contingency Reserve $500K

[#23] Recommended contingency/catastrophic response reserve (initial allocation).

Mtf Equipment $200K

[#10] Dedicated field task team initial equipment & vehicles.

Vehicles $90K

[#11] Purchase of 3 off-road vehicles (non-GPS navigation capable).

Forensic Lab $75K

[#14] Forensic/BSL-2 evidence handling buildout for anomalous mail/items.

Buyback Program $50K

[#18] Acquisition/buy-back program for 2006 road atlases and covert purchases.

Ops Center Setup $30K

[#8] Hardened ops center software/hardware and procedural development.

Telecom Infrastructure $25K

[#7] Field analog phone kit(s) + secure switchboard/test equipment.

Legal Policy $25K

[#22] One-time legal analysis and containment policy drafting for nonstandard comms.

Facilities $10K

[#1] Precious-item vault/locker installation and access controls.

Safety Gear $10K

[#12] Tether systems, high-visibility suits, PPE initial purchase.

Equipment $9K

[#2, #3] Conservation setup/supplies ($2,000) and CCTV/tamper sensors install ($7,000).

Personnel Vetting $6K

[#4] One-time background checks/vetting for 5 authorized staff.

Medical Kits $5K

[#15] Emergency med kits & initial training.

Documentation System $3K

[#16] Secure printing & controlled-distribution system setup.

Initial Research And Lab Setup $0

[]

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.8M/yr

Staff Wages $861K/yr

[#5, #10, #21] Level-2 oversight ($91k/yr), 6-person dedicated field team salaries+benefits (~$585k/yr), long-term research staff (~$185k/yr).

Research And Monitoring $195K/yr

[#9, #21] Field reconnaissance (quarterly visits & aerial imagery ~ $145k/yr) plus long-term research travel/analytics (~$50k/yr).

Supplies And Consumables $175K/yr

[#13] Experiment consumables and per-experiment costs (50 experiments/year estimated).

Insurance Reserve $125K/yr

[#19] Internal insurance/reserve for liability, med evac, asset replacement (mid-range).

Cover Story And Legal $100K/yr

[#17] Annual cover-up / legal & outreach contingency fund baseline.

Administrative Overhead $75K/yr

[#20] Finance, procurement and audit overhead (~10% program overhead estimate used).

Forensic Processing $60K/yr

[#14] Analyst time, consumables and processing for anomalous mail/items.

Logistics And Transport $55K/yr

[#6] Secure transport/armored courier for ~10 moves/year (mid-range estimate $55k/yr).

Mtf Training $50K/yr

[#10] Annual training and maintenance for dedicated field task team.

Vehicle Maintenance $30K/yr

[#11] Annual fuel and maintenance for off-road vehicles.

Medical Support $25K/yr

[#15] Medical surveillance and mental health services for exposed personnel.

Telecom Engineer $16K/yr

[#7] Telecom engineer contractor for field deployments (~20 days/yr).

Ops Center Maintenance $10K/yr

[#8] IT/ops maintenance for hardened operations center.

Legal Liaison $10K/yr

[#22] Recurring liaison & compliance with external agencies.

Safety Maintenance $5K/yr

[#12] Annual replacements and training for tether/safety gear.

Facilities Maintenance $4K/yr

[#2, #3] Vault HVAC/preservation power & maintenance ($1,500/yr) and CCTV monitoring/data retention maintenance ($3,000/yr).

Personnel Training $2K/yr

[#4] Recurring refresher training for 5 authorized staff ($500/person/yr).

Documentation $2K/yr

[#16] Printing & document control for maps/reports.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.8M/yr

91.0% probability / year

Normal operational year with no major incidents; routine monitoring, experiments, staff costs and maintenance.

routine_monitoring scheduled_experiments no_incidents

🚨 Minor Incident $2.0M/yr

6.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline

Localized incident (lost-sight event, small civil discovery, or limited anomalous mail event) requiring emergency response, limited payouts and overtime.

localized_public_exposure limited_cover-up_payments short emergency_deployment

🚨 Major Breach $2.8M/yr

2.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline

Significant containment event (atlas used to move multiple persons or discovered by civilians) requiring extended MTF operations, larger legal/PR payouts and replacement/forensic efforts.

multi-person_movement extended_extraction major_public_incident

🚨 Catastrophic Breach $4.3M/yr

1.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline

Worst-case scenario with broad public exposure, sustained operations, high-profile legal actions and full-scale contingency activation.

widespread_public_exposure prolonged_operations major_legal_liability

👥 Personnel 8 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	6	Dedicated 6-person response team (salaries included in staff_wages; 6 x ~$75k base). [#10]
Level-2 Personnel / Containment Specialist	1	One Level-2 required to oversee experiments and prevent misuse (salary included). [#5]
Research Scientist	1	Long-term researcher to catalogue locations and analyze data (salary included; represents 1–2 FTE depending on program scale). [#21]

📋 Confidence Notes

Cost categories and drivers are described in analyst notes and the SCP text, so hardware and recurring personnel/monitoring estimates are moderately well-grounded; several line items used midpoint estimates or assumed counts (e.g., number of field kits, moves/year, buyback volume) which introduce uncertainty, so confidence is medium.

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