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SCP-4771 Safe ✓ high confidence
SCP-4771
Expected annual
$588K
One-time setup
$280K
Annual recurring
$553K
Personnel
1.25
One-time setup costs are estimated at $279,500 for secure storage, research instrumentation, remote observation kits, initial SOP and indemnity seed fund; recurring annual costs are estimated at $553,000/year driven mainly by research staffing and program funding, incident/amnestic reserves, and legal/cover operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $280K
Compensation Indemnity Reserve $125K
[#23] One-time seed fund for large payouts/indemnities and extraordinary cover-up costs.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $90K
[#9, #19] Research-specific capital: high-sample-rate microphones/anechoic capture and related lab buildout (#9) plus initial forensic/audio software/licenses setup (#19).
Equipment $42K
[#4, #11, #13, #18, #21] One-time hardware: secure transport case (#4), remote/robotic observation kit (#11), PPE kit (#13), initial secure audio storage hardware/setup (#18), spare/non-anomalous whistle (#21).
Facilities $12K
[#1] Secure anomalous item locker (safe-class) purchase/installation at Site-19.
Sop Development And Training $11K
[#7] One-time SOP development, training materials and quick reference guides.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $553K/yr
Research And Monitoring $222K/yr
[#8, #12, #18, #19, #20, #24] Ongoing research and monitoring costs: annual refresher training (#8), remote equipment maintenance/consumables (#12), secure audio hosting/maintenance (#18 recurring), ongoing DSP/licenses/cloud compute (#19 recurring), equipment calibration/replacement (#20), and long-term fundamental research program annual funding (#24).
Staff Wages $120K/yr
[#3, #10] Salaries/benefits for custodial/access security/admin time (#3) and research staff (audio/neurology/physicists) (#10).
Cover Story And Legal $77K/yr
[#16, #22] Annual amnestic operations/witness management reserve (#16) and legal counsel/internal compliance costs (#22).
Incident Response Reserve $50K/yr
[#14] Annual reserve for MTF rapid-response deployments, vehicles, overtime, and tactical gear.
Medical And Mental Health $30K/yr
[#17] Medical and mental-health care budget for subjects and collateral personnel (emergency care, counseling).
Property Damage Cleanup $20K/yr
[#15] Annual reserve for property damage repair, scene cleanup and decontamination after manifestations.
Facilities Maintenance $12K/yr
[#2] Site allocation & pro-rata overhead (space, utilities, general security posture) attributable to SCP-4771 storage/access.
Vetting And Authorization $12K/yr
[#6] Background checks, psychological screening, consent forms and waivers for applicants/authorized users.
Logistics And Transport $6K/yr
[#5] Per-movement secure transfer costs (internal escort, vehicle, chain-of-custody) aggregated annually.
Supplies And Consumables $3K/yr
[#25] Minor administrative supplies, logging, FOIA/cover-story paperwork, office supplies.
Ppe Upkeep $1K/yr
[#13] Annual replacement/consumables/upkeep for specialized PPE and hearing mitigation.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $553K/yr
85.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with routine training, research activity, and reserved incident budgets but no major manifestations or public exposure.
no_major_manifestation routine_research_and_training
🚨 Minor Incident $673K/yr
8.0% probability / year +$120K vs baseline
Single-site or single-subject manifestation requiring MTF response, limited property damage, localized amnestic/medical action.
local_manifestation single_subject_injury minor_property_damage
🚨 Major Breach $1.1M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Public exposure or multi-casualty event requiring extensive amnestic operations, large indemnity payouts, legal action and extended MTF deployments.
public_exposure multiple_casualties widespread_media_coverage
🚨 Research Scaleup $853K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
Significant research breakthrough or discovery that necessitates rapid scale-up of instrumentation, dedicated trials, and temporary staff hires.
significant_research_breakthrough need_for_large_scale_study
👥 Personnel 1.25 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 0.5 [#3] ~0.25-0.5 FTE security/admin time for access control, escorts, custody logs.
Research Scientist 0.75 [#10] 0.5-1.0 FTE (audio/neurology/physics) for analysis, modeling, and experiment supervision; midpoint used.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges for capital, recurring, and incident-driven costs allowing a well-supported budget; residual uncertainty remains in incident frequency/severity but overall estimates are well-grounded.
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