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SCP-4784 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-4784
Expected annual
$1.4M
One-time setup
$1.6M
Annual recurring
$1.3M
Personnel
10
Initial/one-time setup is dominated by contingency reserves, cover-story setup, and equipment/sensor procurement (~$1.6M). Annual costs are driven by staff wages (security + research), rapid-response readiness, and legal/PR/medical retainers (~$1.34M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.6M
Contingency Escalation Fund $500K
[#25] One-time escalation/reserve fund for unpredictable anomalous behavior, major breach response, litigation, or replacement of durable anomalous items.
Equipment $360K
[#4, #7, #8, #9, #10, #15, #16, #18] Patrol vehicles, SCRAMBLE protection kits, weighted blackout tarp & anchors, remote observation/sensor suite, robotic observation/retrieval assets, protective suits, secure communications kit, and local data servers/NVR.
Facilities $260K
[#1, #2, #3, #17, #23] Land acquisition/lease, prefab containment building/site prep, initial perimeter fence upgrade, initial power infrastructure (generator/solar), and environmental assessment.
Cover Story And Shell Setup $200K
[#22] One-time spend to establish shell entities, legal setup, and initial cover-story expenditures.
Decommissioning Fund $125K
[#26] One-time long-term decommissioning and land rehabilitation reserve (midpoint of $50k–$200k range).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $112K
[#28] Specialized non-contact scientific instrumentation and initial lab/test rig acquisitions (midpoint of $75k–$150k range).
Evidence Contingency Fund $50K
[#21] One-time contingency fund for evidence containment, morgue contingency, and contracted autopsy/disposal if needed.
Psych Screening Setup $20K
[#12] One-time setup costs for psychological screening program and vendor onboarding.
Initial Vetting And Training $8K
[#5] One-time background checks, initial covert-ops vetting and training for security hires.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.3M/yr
Staff Wages $820K/yr
[#5, #11, #13] Security staffing (4 FTE), research team salaries (multidisciplinary testing team), and on-site medic retainer/salary.
Rapid Response Readiness $120K/yr
[#6] Standby/rapid-response unit readiness, squad training and equipment replacement (annual readiness costs).
Cover Story And Legal $100K/yr
[#22] Ongoing legal retainer, PR suppression funds, buyouts/municipal liaison and incident legal expenses.
Logistics And Transport $88K/yr
[#4, #14, #20] Vehicle fuel & maintenance, emergency medevac retainer, and road/footpath seasonal maintenance.
Research And Monitoring $58K/yr
[#9, #10, #18, #27, #28, #23] Remote sensor/data servicing, robotic maintenance, cloud redundancy/maintenance, incident documentation/archival & audits, instrument calibration/maintenance, and environmental monitoring.
Personnel Insurance $50K/yr
[#29] Worker compensation and liability insurance covering injuries and psychological claims.
Psychological Health Program $30K/yr
[#12] Ongoing counseling, monitoring, trauma debriefing and contracted clinician services.
Supplies And Consumables $25K/yr
[#7, #8, #24, #13, #15, #16] SCRAMBLE kit upkeep/spares, tarp replacement amortization, general consumables/PPE, medic supplies, protective-suit repairs, and communications service fees.
Training And Exercises $20K/yr
[#19] Annual containment, don/doff, robot ops, rescue and scenario drills.
Facilities Maintenance $12K/yr
[#3, #17] Perimeter fence maintenance/repairs and routine power/generator/solar maintenance & fuel.
Evidence And Biohazard Services $10K/yr
[#21] Contracted autopsy/disposal and biohazard services (annual contracted services).
Miscellaneous $10K/yr
[#30] Minor recurring operating costs (office supplies, small repairs, batteries, small tools).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.3M/yr
87.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with routine operations, monitoring, and no major incidents.
no breach routine maintenance scheduled testing only
🚨 Minor Incident $1.4M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$50K vs baseline
Small containment incident (one or two entranced subjects interrupted early) requiring local extraction, medical treatment, and limited repairs/PR.
partial trance interruptions single medevac/repair event
🚨 Major Breach $1.8M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Larger-scale breach or multiple entrancements requiring extended MTF deployment, large-scale medical response, replacement of equipment and significant PR/legal costs.
multiple dematerializations extended recovery operations
🚨 Political Exposure $1.6M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
Local discovery or leak leading to sustained media/political attention, requiring buyouts, extra legal work and increased containment posture.
local leak municipal discovery hostile media coverage
👥 Personnel 10 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 4 [#5] Undercover perimeter officers covering dawn/dusk checks (4 FTE for reliable coverage).
Research Scientist 3 [#11] Generalist researchers on the multidisciplinary testing team (2–4 researcher FTEs; assigned 3 here).
Neuroscientist / Psychologist 1 [#11] Specialist for cognitive/behavioral testing and subject evaluation.
Materials Specialist 1 [#11] Specialist for non-contact materials/forensics and instrument operation.
Medical Officer 1 [#13] Part-time/on-call medic or paramedic retainer (counted as 1 headcount for staffing planning).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges for most costs, but several items have wide ranges (contingency, decommissioning, specialized instruments) and probabilities of anomalous incidents are inherently uncertain, so estimates use midpoints where ranges are given.
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