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SCP-5257 Euclid ? low confidence
SCP-5257
Expected annual
$6.0M
One-time setup
$8.0M
Annual recurring
$5.6M
Personnel
12
Estimated one-time setup costs are driven by facility retrofits, lab outfitting, and a contingency reserve (total ~8.0M). Recurring annual costs (~5.68M/yr) are dominated by staff wages, worker compensation/sick-pay reserves, and a modest in-house research program.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $8.0M
Contingency Reserve $5.0M
[#20] Recommended outbreak/escalation reserve for mass quarantine, emergency operations, or buyouts (mid-range reserve assumed).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $2.1M
[#10, #11, #12] Initial diagnostic testing for a base-case 100 individuals (~$1,250,000), secure cold-storage (~$50,000), and research equipment / lab upgrades (bench -> small dedicated thaum/biolab) (~$850,000).
Facilities $750K
[#1, #6] Includes quarantine/clinical isolation wing retrofit (~$600k) and moderate remodeling/laundering modifications at MC&D field sites (~$150k aggregate for several sites).
Equipment $75K
[#19] IT & secure recordkeeping one-time setup and other small equipment purchases (secure servers, encryption hardware, etc.).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $5.6M/yr
Personnel Compensation $1.8M/yr
[#17] Worker compensation, sick-pay reserves, productivity-loss allowances and accommodation costs (base-case 100 affected personnel; direct+indirect).
Staff Wages $1.1M/yr
[#7, #13] Salaries for dedicated medical care team (1–2 physicians, 3–4 nurses, 1–2 EMT/med techs) and small security detachment; includes on-call premiums and benefits.
Research And Monitoring $1.0M/yr
[#11] Dedicated research program (modest in-house thaumaturgical/biomedical research track) to pursue cure/mitigation — recurring operational research budget.
Cover Story And Legal $600K/yr
[#15, #16] Legal counsel, liaison work with MC&D, OPSEC/cover-story coordination and an annualized PR/controlled-disinformation contingency.
Epidemiological Monitoring $235K/yr
[#9] Staff and secure IT for exposure logging, contact tracing, and secure database maintenance (2–4 analysts + IT costs).
Diagnostic Testing Per Year $200K/yr
[#10] Ongoing per-sample diagnostic testing and specialized assays beyond initial workups (sequencing and repeat tests assumed).
Continence Supplies $143K/yr
[#4] Adult diaper / continence supply program for affected personnel; base-case scaling to ~100 people (~$780–$2,080/yr each; midpoint used).
Logistics And Transport $112K/yr
[#14] Secure transport, vehicle maintenance, drivers, and occasional air charters for urgent transfers (baseline frequency assumed).
Ppe $105K/yr
[#3] Personal protective equipment turnover, laundering and replacement costs for clinical/research staff (approx. $30–$75 per shift; scaled to clinical team).
Biohazard Waste $88K/yr
[#5] Biohazard medical waste handling and disposal contracts charged by volume/weight (base-case aggregate for extra waste from ~100 people).
Supplies And Consumables $60K/yr
[#21] Miscellaneous consumables and incidentals (cleaning agents, extra linens, general medical supplies).
Laundry Contract $60K/yr
[#6] Ongoing laundry contract costs for MC&D/field sites (scaled aggregate across a small number of hubs).
Facilities Maintenance $50K/yr
[#1, #6] Ongoing maintenance of negative-pressure rooms, HVAC servicing, and small facility repairs related to quarantine wing and site modifications.
Quarantine Operational $50K/yr
[#2] Operational costs for short-term quarantine cells (utilities, consumables, dedicated nurse/guard time) budgeted annually for intermittent usage.
Training $50K/yr
[#18] Procedural training, drills, decontamination protocol training, and OPSEC training for field and medical personnel.
It Maintenance $50K/yr
[#19] Ongoing maintenance, encryption key management, and secure recordkeeping service costs.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $5.6M/yr
75.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine monitoring, occasional quarantines, ongoing research, and no major public incidents.
no major outbreaks MC&D handles misinformation routine research and case management
🚨 Minor Incident $5.9M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$232K vs baseline
Localized outbreak or a small public leak necessitating extra quarantines, limited PR/legal response, and several emergency transports.
small-scale transmission within MC&D limited public exposure requiring local suppression
🚨 Major Breach $10.7M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Significant outbreak or public exposure requiring mass quarantine, activation of contingency reserve, large-scale PR/legal actions, and potential buyouts or emergency operations.
widespread transmission high-profile public leak need for mass-containment operations
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $7.7M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Successful research milestone that requires rapid scale-up of trials, equipment purchases, and expanded staffing to pursue a cure.
promising thaumaturgical/biomedical lead decision to scale in-house trials
👥 Personnel 12 total
Role Count Notes
Physician / Infectious Disease Specialist 2 [#7] Dedicated physicians for infectious/thaumaturgical care included in staff wages.
Nurse 4 [#7] Clinical nursing staff for quarantine/isolation care included in staff wages.
EMT / Medical Technician 2 [#7] EMTs/med techs for transports and acute care included in staff wages.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 4 [#13] Small dedicated security detachment for quarantines, escorts, and sample custody included in staff wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on analyst-provided ranges and a highly uncertain prevalence and triggering rate; many items (MC&D cost-sharing, incidence rates, and thaumaturgical research outcomes) are unknown, yielding low confidence.
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