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SCP-5348 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-5348
Expected annual
$54K
One-time setup
$258K
Annual recurring
$49K
Personnel
1
One-time setup and risk reserves total approximately $258,200, driven largely by potential buyouts, contingency reserves, and initial research/instrumentation; baseline annual operating costs are modest at about $49,300/year driven by a small research FTE, monitoring, and logistics.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $258K
Initial Research And Lab Setup $107K
[#9, #10, #12, #13] Includes initial full-analysis runs, small targeted research project costs, purchase/access for specialized instruments (magnetometer/fluxgate, GC-MS access), and initial lab consumables/equipment allocation.
Escalation Contingency Reserve $100K
[#24] Reserve for large-scale buyouts, public-health response, or mass suppression if SCP-5348 becomes widely popular (low-probability high-impact).
Buyout Menu Removal $15K
[#3] Payment estimate for negotiating removal/buyout of menu item from an independent Ambrose location (mid-range selection).
Legal Fees Initial $10K
[#4] Initial legal drafting/enforcement/NDAs/takedown legal action (one-time portion).
Public Relations Cover $10K
[#18] One-time PR/cover payments or reimbursements to cooperating restaurant(s) to offset lost sales or rebrand.
Insurance Reserve $10K
[#21] One-time reserved contingency for liability/indemnities/legal contingency setup.
Sop Development And Training Initial $3K
[#20] One-time creation of containment SOPs, training materials, and initial staff briefings.
Document Archiving $2K
[#5] One-time cataloging/transfer and secure storage setup for Document 5348.2.
Sample Storage Initial $1K
[#8] One-time labeling, dedicated shelving/lockable mini-fridge purchase or setup for short-term sample storage.
Facilities $0
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Equipment $0
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🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $49K/yr
Staff Wages $30K/yr
[#11] Salaries for research staff (chosen: one mid/low-level researcher or equivalent 0.5–1.0 FTE to run analyses, logs, and liaison duties).
Logistics And Transport $7K/yr
[#1, #2, #7, #15, #23] Routine covert procurement purchases, undercover operator travel/per diem, cold-chain shipments of perishable samples, approved waste/composting disposal transport, and miscellaneous transfer logistics.
Research And Monitoring $4K/yr
[#14, #17] Ongoing medical screening/health monitoring for consuming agents and digital monitoring/takedown services for recipe circulation.
Cover Story And Legal $4K/yr
[#4, #18, #21] Ongoing legal monitoring/enforcement, small recurring PR efforts for cooperating restaurants, and insurance/premium costs.
Supplies And Consumables $1K/yr
[#13, #16, #8] Recurring lab reagents/consumables, PPE, and minor sample-storage maintenance.
Document Destruction Operations $1K/yr
[#6] Routine removal and destruction/confiscation operations for outside copies (travel, covert confiscation, shredding, secure disposal).
Surveillance Physical $1K/yr
[#19] Covert surveillance and plainclothes monitoring at key Ambrose locations.
Training Refreshers $600/yr
[#20] Annual refresher training and briefings on SOPs and handling procedures.
Facilities Maintenance $500/yr
[#5, #22] Ongoing archive maintenance/cataloging and small incremental energy/utilities attributable to sample/storage space.
Escalation Recurring $0/yr
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⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $49K/yr
87.5% probability / year
Normal year with routine covert procurement, small-scale testing, and standard monitoring/enforcement.
routine procurement and testing no significant leaks or popularity spikes
🚨 Minor Incident $59K/yr
10.0% probability / year +$10K vs baseline
Localized leak or social post increases suppression and legal activity for a short period.
viral social post/photo local recipe leak requiring extra takedowns
🚨 Major Buyout $89K/yr
2.0% probability / year +$40K vs baseline
Decision/year in which Foundation negotiates a buyout/menu removal with Ambrose (one-time buyout + legal/PR costs).
sustained popularity at one or more locations restaurant cooperation negotiated
🚨 Mass Exposure $549K/yr
0.5% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Wide public popularity or replication leading to large-scale suppression, public-health response, or major buyouts.
national media attention black-market replication or mass distribution
👥 Personnel 1 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 1 [#11] Chosen staffing: one combined researcher (0.5–1.0 FTE equivalent) to manage analyses, reporting, and liaison with field ops; salaries included in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges allowing reasonable mid-range estimates; uncertainties remain around probability of buyouts/escalation and choice of research depth, so confidence is medium.
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