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SCP-5861 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-5861
Expected annual
$3.0M
One-time setup
$9.9M
Annual recurring
$2.9M
Personnel
29
Initial one-time setup and contingency reserves dominate up-front costs (~$9.9M), driven primarily by containment module construction, redundant backups and a large contingency fund; recurring expenses (~$2.91M/yr) are driven by staffed security and specialist research/personnel plus legal/cover operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $9.9M
Containment Failure Reserve $6.5M
[#19] Recommended restricted contingency/reserve fund for containment failure, remediation, relocation, and long-term neutralization research.
Decommissioning Fund $1.2M
[#20] One-time emergency neutralization / decommissioning fund for destruction, remediation and specialized procedures.
Facilities $925K
[#1, #3, #5] Containment module purchase/retrofitting (#1), hermetic integration/airlocks/EM shielding (#3), and second redundant containment module (#5).
Equipment $695K
[#2, #4, #13, #15, #16] Environmental controls and precision sensors one-time purchase (#2), secure A/V & memetic-filtering hardware and development (#4), PPE/emergency decon one-time purchase (#13), memetic/machine-assisted monitoring development one-time (#15), and secure data storage hardware/archival one-time (#16).
Audit Warehouse Origin Investigation $300K
[#17] One-time full audit/origin investigation costs (personnel time, off-site investigations, retrieval and legal clearances).
Legal And Cover Setup $100K
[#18] One-time legal/cover story setup and retainer establishment.
Training Development $50K
[#11] Development of approved-argot training materials and certification programs.
Secure Transport And Installation $48K
[#6] Specialist secure transport, crane/lift, sealed transfer vehicle, permits and certified movers for installation.
Hr Policy Setup $40K
[#10] One-time setup for monolingual staffing enforcement: testing, HR policy, and initial vetting tools.
Misc Operational Controls One Time $5K
[#24] One-time signage and sweep equipment to implement no-foreign-objects and approved-argot controls.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
Totals Summary $0
[#25] Analyst totals/rough-order-of-magnitude summary only; no additional direct line-item cost.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.9M/yr
Staff Wages $1.9M/yr
[#7, #8] On-site security staffing (12 guards, shift coverage, hazard pay) (#7) and core project personnel salaries (project lead, linguists, techs, containment engineer, safety officer) (#8).
Research And Monitoring $418K/yr
[#4, #11, #12, #14, #15, #16, #17] Secure A/V operations & updates (#4), refresher training (#11), psychological/medical monitoring (#12), rapid-response team readiness/drills (#14), memetic software maintenance (#15), secure data archival maintenance (#16), and audit follow-up costs (#17).
Logistics And Transport $300K/yr
[#9] D-Class invocation workforce & logistics (housing, supervision, medical checks, rotation and escorts).
Cover Story And Legal $252K/yr
[#18, #23] Ongoing legal retainer and cover operations (#18) plus administrative/compliance, inspections, reporting and insurance-related recurring costs (#23).
Supplies And Consumables $62K/yr
[#13, #21, #24] PPE/consumables and replacement schedule (#13), routine consumables and preventative maintenance parts (#21), and small recurring costs for signage/access-sweep enforcement (#24).
Facilities Maintenance $20K/yr
[#2, #22] Environmental controls maintenance/calibration (#2) and power & facility overhead (shared site costs) (#22).
Monolingual Rescreening $10K/yr
[#10] Recurring rescreening and linguistic checks for new hires / periodic rechecks to enforce monolingual staffing policy.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.9M/yr
93.5% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; routine containment, scheduled training, and upkeep only.
no breaches scheduled maintenance routine training and audits
🚨 Minor Incident $3.4M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Localized equipment failure, small semantic/spill event requiring short-term use of backup module and overtime staffing.
HVAC/sensor failure small containment breach temporary staff overtime and forensic analysis
🚨 Major Breach $5.4M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Significant containment failure or semantic propagation requiring large remediation, external contracting, relocation and use of contingency reserves.
semantic outbreak loss of primary containment public exposure requiring large-scale remediation
🚨 Political Exposure $3.9M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Legal/FOIA leak or public exposure requiring intensive legal, PR and cover operations plus possible additional containment/security costs.
media leak failed cover story high-profile FOIA or legal action
👥 Personnel 29 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 [#7] Minimum 12 guards (3 shifts × 4) as specified for 24/7 on-site security coverage.
Project Lead / Senior Researcher 1 [#8] Senior project lead to oversee containment and research.
Research Scientist / Linguist 2 [#8] Two senior linguists / memetics specialists as specified.
Research Assistant / Technician 4 [#8] Three–four research assistants/technicians; budgeted at 4 for staffing continuity.
Containment Engineer 1 [#8] Containment engineer responsible for module integrity and systems.
Safety Officer / Medical Liaison 1 [#8, #12] Safety officer role; coordinates with medical/psych monitoring requirements.
Class-D Personnel 8 [#9] Rotation of 6–12 D-Class for invocations; budgeted at 8 active subjects for continuity.
📋 Confidence Notes
Line-item estimates are detailed and based on analyst ranges, giving reasonable precision for budgeting; however the anomalous, memetic nature of SCP-5861 and the large contingency/reserve introduce substantial uncertainty in potential incident costs, so confidence is medium.
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