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SCP-6132 Keter ? low confidence
SCP-6132
Expected annual
$24.2M
One-time setup
$95.5M
Annual recurring
$22.3M
Personnel
39
One-time setup ~ $95.5M driven by sensor integration, fleet purchases, and remote station construction; recurring baseline ~$22.3M/yr driven by staff wages, satellite operations, logistics/transport, and ongoing monitoring and covert operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $95.5M
Equipment $69.7M
[#1, #2, #3, #5, #6, #7, #8, #13, #17, #20, #22, #24, #28] Sensor payload integration, compute/storage setup, web-crawler/software deployment, MTF PPE/field kit, vehicle/aircraft fleet purchases, ice-penetration sensors, UAV/ROV systems, corpse-disposal capability setup, memetic-countermeasure prototypes, hardened communications hardware, cryo-transport containers, data-redaction system, and cybersecurity tooling.
Facilities $16.2M
[#9, #10, #18] Remote hardened observation/containment stations, medical-suite retrofits, and training facility buildouts in remote Arctic regions; major driver is site construction/logistics.
Contingency Reserve $5.0M
[#25] One-time reserve fund for high-severity events (set at modest mid-range for baseline contingency).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $4.6M
[#11, #12] Establishment of research labs (neurology/memetics/pathology) and secure pathology/forensics suites with cryo-storage and autopsy facilities.
Icebreaker Purchase $0
[#21] Icebreaker purchase option recorded but not exercised in baseline capital plan (baseline assumes charters or rental if needed).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $22.3M/yr
Logistics And Transport $5.2M/yr
[#6, #26, #27] Fleet charter/operations and transport tempo costs, local contracting/logistics in foreign jurisdictions, and insurance/medevac premiums.
Staff Wages $4.7M/yr
[#4, #11, #2, #3, #10, #1, #18] Salaries and benefits for MTF Pi-1, research scientists, satellite/ground ops technicians, content/imagery analysts, medical officers, and training instructors (headcount breakdown provided separately).
Satellite Operations $3.0M/yr
[#1] Ground-station airtime, mission planning, telemetry, sensor ops staff and long-term satellite tasking/ops for Delta-88 and allied assets.
Research And Monitoring $2.5M/yr
[#2, #3, #11, #12, #17, #24] Ongoing compute/cloud costs, web/satellite monitoring, non-salary research expenses (trials, fMRI time), autopsy/forensic running costs, memetic-countermeasure updates, and data-redaction/archive operations.
Facilities Maintenance $2.0M/yr
[#7, #8, #9, #19, #20] Maintenance and upkeep for sensors, UAV/ROV systems, remote stations (fuel, generators, heating), power/fuel shipments, and communications airtime/hardware maintenance.
Covert Ops And Liaison $1.8M/yr
[#14] Covert in-country operations, diplomatic liaison, bribes/cover costs, temporary housing and extraction logistics in foreign jurisdictions (e.g., Russia).
Cover Story And Legal $1.1M/yr
[#15] Ongoing legal, PR, takedown budgets, witness payouts, and strategic disinformation efforts to suppress public exposure.
Supplies And Consumables $705K/yr
[#10, #12, #22, #29] Medical consumables, autopsy consumables/freezer power, cryo-transport consumables, and field consumables (batteries, dry ice, replacement parts).
Cybersecurity And Insider Mitigation $600K/yr
[#28] Ongoing cybersecurity tooling, monitoring, insider-threat mitigation, and secure-logging to prevent internal/external memetic spread.
Training And Exercises $350K/yr
[#18] Recurring training, memetic-exposure drills, VR/AR maintenance, and instructor costs.
Audit And Oversight $175K/yr
[#30] Independent reviews, oversight travel, and compliance/archival auditing.
Personnel Mental Health $150K/yr
[#16] Counseling, resiliency programs, debriefing, and attrition/replacement support for exposed personnel.
Corpse Disposal Per Incident $0/yr
[#13] Per-incident covert disposal costs (budgeted per-incident; baseline year assumes none or handled ad hoc).
Per Incident Response Fund $0/yr
[#23] Public-safety response and payout budgets (per-incident; baseline assumes reactive draws from contingency rather than steady fund).
Contingency Replenishment $0/yr
[#25] No automatic annual replenishment in baseline; replenishment occurs only if contingency is drawn.
Icebreaker Ops $0/yr
[#21] Icebreaker crewing/maintenance or daily charter costs are set to zero in baseline (used only in escalatory scenarios as needed).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $22.3M/yr
89.5% probability / year
Uneventful year with standard monitoring, occasional investigations, and routine deployments; no major multi-site incidents.
isolated_manifestation routine telemetry and takedown work no large-scale media exposure
🚨 Minor Incident $23.5M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$1.2M vs baseline
Single localized manifestation requiring MTF deployment, medical isolation, limited covert payouts and local logistics.
single civilian exposure one-off local MTF deployment localized media/takedown
🚨 Major Incident $62.3M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$40.0M vs baseline
Clustered regional manifestations requiring extended deployments, ice-capable charters, expanded covert operations, and large-scale research surge.
multiple simultaneous manifestations need for icebreaker/extended ship support major regional media exposure
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $222.3M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$200.0M vs baseline
Mass-exposure or multi-region escalation requiring emergency mass response, purchase/long-term charter of heavy assets, large research scale-up, and major cover operations.
widespread or repeating clustered manifestations mass civilian exposures international political incident
👥 Personnel 39 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 [#4] Core interception team (Pi-1) sized ~8–16 operators; salaries/benefits included in staff_wages.
Research Scientist 6 [#11] Neurology/memetics/pathology research staff; salaries included in staff_wages.
Satellite Ops Technician / Analyst 6 [#1] Ground-station and satellite operations personnel; salaries included in staff_wages.
Image/Content Analyst 8 [#2, #3] Imagery/web monitoring analysts for verifying memetic hits and takedowns; salaries included in staff_wages.
Medical Officer 3 [#10] Medical staff for isolation wards and victim care; salaries included in staff_wages.
Engineer / Maintenance 4 [#7, #8] Technical staff for sensors, UAV/ROV, and field equipment maintenance; salaries included in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are low-confidence due to wide ranges in analyst notes, uncertain manifestation frequency/severity, and variable foreign logistics/charter costs; many costs are scenario-dependent and based on midpoint assumptions.
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