SCP-6843 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-6843
Expected annual
$2.4M
One-time setup
$6.0M
Annual recurring
$2.2M
Personnel
18
Estimated one-time setup is approximately $6.01M driven primarily by containment buildout and a recommended emergency cover reserve; recurring annual operations are about $2.16M driven chiefly by staff wages, medical coverage and legal/cover operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $6.0M
Emergency Reserve $5.0M
[#16] Recommended emergency cover fund / reserve to enable large-scale cover-up and mass-casualty response (reserve chosen at lower recommended multi-million scale).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $445K
[#7, #10, #11, #14] Initial concentrated research program and instrumentation, training/simulator development, authenticated walkthrough/document security setup, and development/legal hookups for local monitoring.
Facilities $400K
[#1, #21] Physical containment chamber upgrade (ballistic walls/airlock/CCTV pass-through bench and sealed ports) and minimal alternate vault for cold-storage relocation.
Equipment $165K
[#2, #6, #9, #20, #21, #22, #23] One-time purchase of UPS/HVAC, medical sustainment hardware, CCTV/NVR, ergonomic/anti-DVT seating, transport case, archival hardware, and Faraday/isolation installation.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.2M/yr
Staff Wages $1.2M/yr
[#3, #4, #5, #8] Salaries and benefits for ~8 Level-2 operators, ~6 posted guards, 2 full-time nurses, and 2 backup/completion specialists (prorated salaries).
Cover Story And Legal $325K/yr
[#15, #17, #18] Routine PR/soft cover operations, legal/compliance/oversight team costs, and liability/insurance budget.
Administrative Overhead $225K/yr
[#24] Misc admin/site overhead (pro rata janitorial, HR, procurement, utilities allocation).
Research And Monitoring $193K/yr
[#7, #9, #10, #14, #22, #23] Annual training refreshers, CCTV storage & maintenance, ongoing material science/software research, local population monitoring operations/subscriptions, long-term archival storage and compliance testing.
Supplies And Consumables $80K/yr
[#6, #11, #19] Per-play medical consumables/TPN/drugs and sterile supplies, archival printing/verification, PPE and cleaning supplies.
Medical Contracts $50K/yr
[#5] On-call physician / trauma surgeon contract (separate from nurse wages).
Logistics And Transport $30K/yr
[#5] Emergency transport / ambulance and trauma transport contract costs.
Emergency Drills $20K/yr
[#13] Semi-annual drills, coordination with local partners, travel and contingency exercises.
Psychological Care $16K/yr
[#12] Mandatory counseling, psychiatric screening and post-operation debriefs for operators.
Facilities Maintenance $2K/yr
[#2] Annual electricity/maintenance for redundant UPS, HVAC and chamber environmental systems.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.2M/yr
78.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful operational year with monthly plays and no major incidents.
scheduled_monthly_play no_operator_fatality no public exposure
🚨 Minor Incident $2.4M/yr
20.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Localized incident: operator death or medical emergency causing reset and requiring additional medical care, forensic review and PR response.
operator_mortality_during_run localized_fatality_reporting short-term PR/legal action
🚨 Major Breach $12.2M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Containment failure or failure to start/complete leading to multi-casualty event requiring large-scale cover, settlements and emergency response.
failure_to_start_or_complete_monthly_cycle exponential_fatality_growth public_exposure/mass_casualty
👥 Personnel 18 total
Role Count Notes
Level-2 Operator 8 [#3] Operators required to provide 24/7 coverage (minimum two onsite; ~8 to cover shifts/leave/training).
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#4] Posted armed/internal security to prevent unauthorized access (three shifts minimum).
Medical Officer / Nurse / EMT 2 [#5] Full-time nurses/EMT-level technicians for onsite rapid response and monitoring.
Backup Completion Specialist 2 [#8] Highly practiced specialists maintained to rapidly complete runs if primary operators fail (rostered staff).
📋 Confidence Notes
Many line items are explicitly estimated by analysts (staffing, medical, research), giving reasonable grounding, but large uncertainty remains around the size/frequency of catastrophic events and the chosen emergency reserve size.
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