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SCP-7087 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-7087
Expected annual
$18.6M
One-time setup
$49.0M
Annual recurring
$18.2M
Personnel
20
Estimated initial capital/setup costs are large due to contingency reserves, vessel procurement options, and specialized marine equipment (one-time ~$49.0M). Recurring annual costs are dominated by compensation to maritime stakeholders, personnel and MTF mission/charter expenses (recurring ~$18.18M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $49.0M
Research Contingency Reserve $20.0M
[#29] Reserved contingency for invasive study or emergency retrieval (heavy-lift, specialized submersible, quarantine, international coordination).
Containment Breach Reserve $15.0M
[#30] Rapid escalation fund for large-scale containment breach response and public safety measures.
Vessel Purchase Capital $6.0M
[#5] One-time purchase option for a dedicated research/patrol vessel (capital purchase midpoint estimate).
Equipment $4.3M
[#3, #7, #8, #10, #11, #12] Perimeter sensor/communication buoys (incl. mobilization), RHIBs, ROV/AUV fleet, high-res camera network, initial communications hardware, and in-situ spectrometers.
Facilities $1.5M
[#21, #22] Retrofit/establishment of emergency quarantine facility or offshore module and decontamination/biosecurity facility setup.
Insurance Contingency Reserve $1.0M
[#27] Establish initial insurance / liability contingency reserve.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $750K
[#13] Laboratory upgrades for marine biochemistry and secure data analysis (wet lab buildout).
Legal And Regulatory Setup $200K
[#1] Establishment of Marine Controlled Zone (MCZ), navigational notices, chart updates, and statutory/regulatory arrangements.
Training And Sop Development Initial $200K
[#18] Initial development of specialized training, SOPs, and emergency maritime drills.
Psych Program Setup $100K
[#17] Initial psychological screening program setup and preventive psychiatric program initiation.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $18.2M/yr
Compensation And Rerouting Payments $4.0M/yr
[#2] Compensation to commercial shipping/fisheries for rerouting and lost access within 20-mile radius (major recurring cost driver).
Mtf Mission And Rotation $3.2M/yr
[#16] MTF Sub-3 mission costs, rotations, expedition expenses, hazard pay and associated mission logistics.
Cover Story And Legal $3.0M/yr
[#25, #26] Cover-story/public relations/black-budget expenditures plus legal defense/retainer for maritime/international law issues.
Staff Wages $2.5M/yr
[#15] Full-time scientific, technical and security staff (15–25 FTE; modeled as ~20 FTE at loaded cost ~125k each).
Vessel Charter $2.4M/yr
[#5] Long-term charter alternative for dedicated research/patrol vessel (annual charter midpoint estimate).
Logistics And Transport $1.1M/yr
[#6, #28] Vessel operations (fuel, maintenance, insurance, dockage excluding crew salaries) and logistics/base resupply (fuel depot, spares, rotation transport).
Research And Monitoring $550K/yr
[#9, #11, #23, #24] ROV/AUV operator support & spare parts, ongoing communications/bandwidth & archival storage, environmental impact monitoring, and satellite imagery/subscriptions.
Supplies And Consumables $381K/yr
[#14, #19, #22] Consumables for sequencing/proteomics, blindfolds/PPE stocks, and decontamination consumables/staffing.
Medical Evacuation And Emergency Response $275K/yr
[#20] Medevac on-call retainer, standby helicopter agreements, and emergency medic staffing.
Facilities Maintenance $250K/yr
[#4] Buoy operations, maintenance and routine servicing (biofouling, storm repairs, partial replacements).
Quarantine Facility Operations $200K/yr
[#21] Ongoing operations cost for quarantine/refurbished medical vessel or island facility (staffing, utilities, maintenance).
Insurance Premiums And Reserve Allocation $200K/yr
[#27] Annual insurance premiums / allocated risk budget for accidents, vessel loss, injuries, or environmental claims.
Psych Care And Medication $125K/yr
[#17] Ongoing preventive psychiatric care, screening refreshes, and medication costs.
Legal And Regulatory Liaison $50K/yr
[#1] Ongoing liaison with maritime authorities, NAVTEX/NOTAM updates and regulatory coordination.
Training And Sop Refreshers $50K/yr
[#18] Annual refresher training, drills and onboarding for new personnel.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $18.2M/yr
87.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine monitoring, no major incidents; operations include charter/patrol, buoy maintenance, personnel and ongoing research.
routine maintenance scheduled MTF rotations normal research activity
🚨 Minor Incident $19.7M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Localized equipment failures or storm damage requiring expedited repairs, additional MTF deployments, and temporary compensation/payments.
severe storm damages buoys/ROV vessel mechanical failure small-scale containment incident
🚨 Major Breach $28.2M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or public incident (mass panic, high-profile disappearance or international dispute) requiring large-scale response, activation of escalation reserve and major cover operations.
widespread mirage-induced panic loss of personnel / missing researcher international regulatory/legal escalation
👥 Personnel 20 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 6 [#15] Marine biologists and lab researchers responsible for monitoring, data analysis and supervised expeditions.
ROV/AUV Operators / Technicians 3 [#9, #15] Operators and technicians to run ROV/AUVs, perform maintenance and manage data feeds.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 5 [#15, #16] On-site security and rotation-capable MTF personnel (MTF Sub-3 oversight and interdiction duties).
Vessel Crew (captain, engineers, deckhands) 4 [#6, #15] Permanent vessel crew for patrol/research vessel operations (crew salaries portion allocated within staff wages).
Engineer / Maintenance 1 [#4, #15] Technical maintenance staff for buoys, communications, ROVs and on-site equipment.
Medical Officer 1 [#20, #15] Medical/psych support for deployments, medevac coordination and on-site care.
📋 Confidence Notes
Many line items are given as wide ranges (vessel purchase vs charter, compensation to stakeholders, contingency reserves) and depend on posture decisions (purchase vs charter, scale of secrecy operations). Equipment and personnel estimates are better constrained, but contingency/cover costs are highly uncertain, so overall confidence is medium.
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