SCP-7413 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-7413
Expected annual
$280K
One-time setup
$247K
Annual recurring
$275K
Personnel
4.4
Initial setup and forensic/containment modifications are modest (~$247k one-time) while the dominant recurring cost is site security and related staffing (~$275k/yr); a rare reclassification/upgrade event could add a large one-time expense.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $247K
Reclassification Upgrade Contingency $200K
[#20] Contingency reserve for upgraded containment suite, redundancies, additional systems/staffing if SCP behavior changes (conditional high-impact upgrade).
Cover Story Setup $15K
[#14] One-time establishment of cover story / PR materials, fabricated paperwork, and initial misinformation setup.
Facilities $10K
[#1] Containment-cell modification (lighting, flooring, reinforced lock, small locker) assuming minor works at Site-433.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $8K
[#9] Initial forensic/material analysis and subcontracted lab tests (X-ray/CT, chemical swabs, paint/ink analysis).
Administrative Setup $6K
[#13] Initial secure file creation, classification/redaction setup, FOIA shielding paperwork and legal/admin setup costs.
Equipment $6K
[#2, #3, #4, #5, #10] Floodlight and electrical tie-in, camera hardware and NVR installation, UPS purchase, secure locker purchase, sensors hardware/install.
Physical Archive Setup $1K
[#17] Physical archival shelving/filing for preserved physical evidence.
Evidence Armory Transfer $350
[#6] One-time cataloging and transfer of butcher's knife into armory; paperwork/evidence bagging costs.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $275K/yr
Staff Wages $222K/yr
[#7, #8] Security staffing allocation (~4.2 FTE guards) and fractional containment technician/researcher time (0.1–0.3 FTE).
Insurance And Legal Reserve $28K/yr
[#18] Annual legal/insurance reserve for liability, worker's comp, legal defence funds.
Cover Story And Legal $8K/yr
[#13, #14] Ongoing administrative/legal upkeep, redaction, FOIA shielding and cover-story maintenance / PR incidental costs.
Research And Monitoring $6K/yr
[#16] Ongoing small research follow-ups, behavioral testing budget, controlled observational experiments.
Logistics And Transport $6K/yr
[#15] Annual set-aside for secure transport, overtime crews, contingency response funds.
Facilities Maintenance $3K/yr
[#11] Routine cell maintenance/housekeeping, lightbulb replacement, seal checks, controlled cleaning.
Capital Replacement Reserve $1K/yr
[#19] Amortized reserve for camera/locker/cell infrastructure replacement every 5–10 years.
Record And Evidence Storage $1K/yr
[#17] Digital secure storage/backups and archival digital retention costs.
Supplies And Consumables $600/yr
[#12] PPE, evidence bags, disposable coveralls, cleaning supplies.
Equipment Maintenance $588/yr
[#3, #4, #10] Annual IT/storage maintenance for camera (NVR/cloud), UPS battery replacement amortized, sensors calibration/maintenance.
Evidence Inventory Audits $300/yr
[#6] Recurring armory/evidence inventory audits for butcher's knife and logged items.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $275K/yr
88.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with routine operations and no incidents.
no_incident routine_operations
🚨 Minor Incident $283K/yr
10.0% probability / year +$8K vs baseline
Small incident such as a knife-handling incident, brief transport event, or localized equipment failure requiring overtime and extra forensics.
knife_handling_accident emergency_transport small_equipment_failure
🚨 Major Reclassification $475K/yr
2.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
SCP changes behavior or is reclassified requiring upgraded containment suite, significant infrastructure, and additional staffing.
sudden_mobility_or_hostility behavioral_change reclassification_to_elevated_class
👥 Personnel 4.4 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 4.2 [#7] Continuous coverage allocation (~4.2 FTE for 24/7 guard coverage).
Containment Technician / Research Scientist 0.2 [#8] Fractional FTE for weekly inspections, paperwork, and small experiments/observations.
📋 Confidence Notes
Detailed line-item estimates provided by analyst give reasonable accuracy for routine costs (security, monitoring), but ranges and conditional high-impact events introduce uncertainty, so confidence is medium.
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