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SCP-7414 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-7414
Expected annual
$1.4M
One-time setup
$2.5M
Annual recurring
$1.4M
Personnel
13
Initial one-time setup is approximately $2.52M, driven mainly by land control, facility buildout, archive suppression, and contingency reserves. Recurring annual costs are about $1.41M/yr, driven by staff wages (security + researchers), cover/legal/PR operations, logistics/rapid-response, and ongoing monitoring/storage.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.5M
Facilities $1.5M
[#1, #4, #5, #23] Land purchase/lease and physical construction/site prep (island/coastal parcel, modular outpost), perimeter fencing and coastal preservation/stabilization work.
Equipment $340K
[#8, #9, #10, #11, #18] Surveillance/sensor install, secure communications hardware, off-grid power hardware, vehicles/boats purchase, and initial secure server hardware.
Archive Suppression $200K
[#3] One-time costs to remove/alter records, create forgeries, and pay/compensate archivists or related resistance costs.
Contingency Fund Initial $200K
[#21] Initial contingency / incident response reserve for unexpected exposures, legal actions, bribery, or rapid cover-up needs.
Legal Retainer Initial $100K
[#2] Initial retainer and setup fees for Swedish legal/diplomatic cover to establish the "archaeological investigation" front.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $90K
[#12, #22, #27] Scientific/recording instruments (drones/LiDAR), forensic/analytical testing fees, and long-term archival setup for transcripts and recordings.
Amnestic Stock $50K
[#15] Initial purchase/production stock of amnestics for civilian remediation and staff use.
Training And Sop Development $20K
[#20] Development of SOPs and initial staff training sessions and drills.
Medical Supplies Setup $5K
[#14] One-time setup of emergency medical supplies for on-site first-response and amnestic administration.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.4M/yr
Staff Wages $700K/yr
[#6, #13] 24/7 on-site security staffing (approx. 6 guards) plus small research team (3–5 FTE equivalent) and minimal on-site admin/rotation overhead.
Cover Story And Legal $305K/yr
[#2, #16, #19, #24, #28] Ongoing legal retainers and counsel, cover project funding (fake grants/publications), permits/environmental compliance fees, community compensation/hush payments, and reputation management/PR/litigation retainer.
Logistics And Transport $185K/yr
[#7, #11, #25] Armed rapid-response/evacuation retainer (air/sea), vehicle/boat maintenance/insurance/fuel, and travel/transportation for rotating staff.
Research And Monitoring $77K/yr
[#8, #9, #12, #17, #18, #20, #27] Bandwidth/cloud storage and maintenance for surveillance, secure communications service costs, equipment replacement/replacement parts for recording gear, archive/media monitoring, data storage/analysis recurring costs, training refreshers, and archival maintenance.
Supplies And Consumables $65K/yr
[#14, #15, #26] Medical/psychological care contracts and consumables, amnestic usage replenishment, PPE, batteries, fuel, and winterization supplies.
Contingency Replenishment $50K/yr
[#21] Annual replenishment to contingency/incident fund as used to maintain reserve.
Facilities Maintenance $30K/yr
[#10, #23] Ongoing energy/fuel/maintenance for off-grid systems and coastal/substrate maintenance to mitigate erosion and preserve site.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.4M/yr
91.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; routine operations, monitoring, and maintenance only.
no_incidents routine_maintenance scheduled_research
🚨 Minor Incident $1.6M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Single civilian exposure or small media leak requiring rapid response, medical/amnestic deployment, PR/legal action, and limited repairs.
civilian_exposure single_rapid_response_activation small_media_leak
🚨 Major Breach $3.4M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Large-scale exposure or political inquiry requiring emergency land purchase/hardening, large legal/PR payouts, major relocation/hardening, and prolonged investigation.
mass_exposure government_inquiry facility_hardening_or_relocation
👥 Personnel 13 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#6] 24/7 guard coverage (three shifts) to prevent civilian approach; local hires or Foundation security.
Research Scientist 4 [#12, #13] Archaeologist/runologist/anthropologist/psychologist team (3–5 FTE equivalent) conducting study and remote documentation.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#4, #2] On-site manager responsible for operations, liaison with legal/cover teams, and overall containment execution.
Engineer / Maintenance 1 [#10, #11] Responsible for off-grid power systems, vehicles/boats maintenance, and winterization/structural upkeep.
Administrative Staff 1 [#16, #17] Administrative/cover-role staff to manage fake grants/publications, community payments, and media monitoring coordination.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are anchored to the analyst's itemized ranges and typical Swedish coastal costs but remain sensitive to site-specific variables (exact parcel price, archive resistance, frequency of tourist visits) and the unpredictable nature of cover/legal expenditures.
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