SCP-757 — SCP-757 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-757 Safe ✓ high confidence

SCP-757

Expected annual

$516K

One-time setup

$348K

Annual recurring

$510K

Personnel

One-time setup costs of roughly $349k (site enclosure, equipment, research setup, incinerator, insurance reserve) with baseline annual operating costs around $510k driven primarily by staff wages, ongoing research/monitoring, medical readiness, and legal/insurance provisioning.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $348K

Initial Research And Lab Setup $105K

[#16, #26] Initial research program setup (lab rental, sequencing, assays) and initial long-term sample storage/cold-storage setup.

Insurance Reserve $100K

[#22] Initial internal contingency/insurance reserve to cover potential lawsuits, compensation, replacements.

Historical Remediation Sunk $55K

[#23] Sunk costs: remediation from discovery (property cleanup, autopsies, demolition) - historical precedent; included as one-time sunk expense estimate.

Equipment $48K

[#3, #6, #8, #18] CCTV/PTZ and recording systems (+installation), access control hardware, small compliant incinerator (incl. equipment cost), UPS/generator (backup power).

Facilities $25K

[#1] Enclosure construction: reinforced fenced greenhouse/gazebo, airlock, screens, signage, fire-resistant materials, camera mounts.

Tree Transplant And Site Preparation $8K

[#2] Transporting and transplanting 3.6 m tree (tree spade/crane, flatbed, labor), root stabilization, soil amendments, immediate irrigation.

Quarantine Setup $6K

[#14] One-time retrofit/setup of secure medical isolation room if required.

Ppe Initial Kit $2K

[#7] Initial purchase of opaque face shields/visor covers, non-transparent goggles, blindfold kits, disposable coveralls, gloves, signage.

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $510K/yr

Staff Wages $265K/yr

[#4, #5, #10] Monitoring operators (2 FTEs), onsite security officers (3), horticultural technician (1) to perform biweekly cleanup/pruning and containment tasks.

Research And Monitoring $108K/yr

[#16, #19, #15] Ongoing research program costs (sequencing, assays, animal models), secure data storage/logging/backups, routine medical/pathology testing and imaging budget for cases and studies.

Emergency Medical Retainer $30K/yr

[#12] On-call trauma/surgical team retainer/availability for immediate response.

Cover Story And Legal $28K/yr

[#21] Legal retainer, PR/cover-story maintenance, permits and occasional compensation events.

Insurance Replenishment $25K/yr

[#22] Annual replenishment/augmentation of the internal contingency fund.

Containment Drills And Response $15K/yr

[#17] Annual drills, SOP updates, readiness exercises, and small rapid-response kit replenishment.

Quarantine Operational Costs $12K/yr

[#14] Annual operational costs for isolation room (nursing care, monitoring equipment leasing, consumables) when used/maintained.

Logistics And Transport $8K/yr

[#9, #11, #25] Incinerator operation fuel/maintenance or contracted pickups, biohazard waste transport/disposal, pest control and fertilizer services.

Facilities Maintenance $6K/yr

[#1, #8, #18] Routine maintenance of enclosure, incinerator servicing/permits, generator/UPS maintenance and small repairs.

Personnel Training $6K/yr

[#20] Specialized training, psychological screening, and counseling/debriefing for staff with exposure risk.

Supplies And Consumables $4K/yr

[#7, #24] PPE consumables (replacement blindfolds/goggles, disposable coveralls, gloves) and containment/testing consumables (disinfectants, vials, labels).

Long Term Storage Maintenance $2K/yr

[#26] Maintenance, power, and cataloging costs for archived biological samples and cold storage.

Access Control Maintenance $1K/yr

[#6] Annual maintenance and support for keycard/biometric locking systems and auditing software.

Backup Power Maintenance $600/yr

[#18] Annual fuel/testing/maintenance for UPS/generator to support cameras, alarms, and critical systems during outages.

Medical Treatment Per Incident $0/yr

[#13] Per-incident treatment/surgery costs are highly variable ($50,000–$250,000 per patient); budgeted through incident scenarios rather than baseline recurring line-item.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $510K/yr

96.5% probability / year

Routine year with no ingestion incidents or containment failures; normal maintenance, monitoring, and research continue.

no_incidents routine_maintenance

🚨 Minor Incident $600K/yr

3.0% probability / year +$90K vs baseline

Single accidental ingestion by staff or visitor requiring emergency surgery and follow-up care plus minor legal/response costs.

single_ingestion staff_noncompliance

🚨 Major Incident $1.1M/yr

0.5% probability / year +$575K vs baseline

Containment lapse causing multiple civilians or staff to ingest fruit, generating multiple surgeries, legal claims, and large emergency remediation.

multiple_civilians_ingest containment_lapse

👥 Personnel 6 total

Role	Count	Notes
Remote Monitoring Operator	2	[#4] 24/7 camera monitoring coverage (rotating operators) accounted in staff wages.
Security Officer / MTF Agent	3	[#5] Onsite patrols and emergency entry coverage; assumed dedicated guards for full coverage.
Horticultural Technician	1	[#10] Biweekly groundskeeping, pruning, and rotten-fruit collection; trained in biohazard handling.

📋 Confidence Notes

Containment requirements and cost drivers are described in detail in analyst notes, with explicit line-item ranges; estimates use midpoints and known staffing patterns. Uncertainty remains in per-incident medical costs, which are modeled via scenarios rather than baseline.

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