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SCP-7713 Unknown ? low confidence
SCP-7713
Expected annual
$118.5M
One-time setup
$5.3B
Annual recurring
$67.8M
Personnel
49
Total one-time costs are dominated by contingency and dedicated surveillance hardware at roughly $5.31B, while ongoing annual operations run at roughly $67.85M driven by personnel, long-range asset ops, covert insertion operations, and PR/legal/ground-station access.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $5.3B
Contingency Interceptor $5.0B
[#17] Initial contingency allocation and reserve toward interceptor/deflection R&D and rapid-response planning (order‑of‑magnitude allocation ~$5B; full program cost could be orders of magnitude higher).
Equipment $179.0M
[#2, #4, #6, #9, #11, #16, #18, #19] One-time development/test benches and Binary_Star.aic toolchain ($4.0M), initial ground-station compromise placements (~$625k), small dedicated surveillance payload estimate (~$150M), secure classified infra hardware (~$1.25M), one-time shell org setup (~$1.0M), HPC hardware (~$600k), smallsat cluster purchase (~$20M), and secure transport seizure equipment (~$1.5M).
Insurance And Contingency $100.0M
[#21] One-time recommended program reserve / insurance for catastrophic disclosure / legal judgments (~$100M chosen within $50–200M guidance).
Facilities $30.3M
[#14, #22] One-time buildout of secure planetary-protection / sample containment facilities (~$30M) and initial training/setup costs (~$300k).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
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🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $67.8M/yr
Long Range Asset Operations $17.5M/yr
[#7] Ongoing mission operations, telemetry links and engineering support for long-range assets (Beholder-25 style assets) (~$5–30M/yr; midpoint used).
Covert Diplomatic Funds $10.0M/yr
[#12] Recurring allocation for clandestine diplomatic/black-ops payments and influence (~$10M/yr assumed for ongoing interactions; larger-scale campaigns would be additional contingency).
Cover Story And Legal $8.0M/yr
[#11, #25] Ongoing public-relations, disinformation, and legal cover programs (~$5.0M/yr) plus emergency legal/political retainer and preparedness (~$3.0M/yr).
Staff Wages $7.3M/yr
[#1, #15, #20] Fully-burdened personnel costs: intelligence & mission-monitoring team (~12 @ $150k = $1.8M plus tooling included elsewhere), specialist research team (estimated $4.0M), and program personnel overhead/admin/security (~$1.25M) consolidated into wages.
Research And Monitoring $5.6M/yr
[#5, #13, #16, #18, #24] Dedicated observational campaigns or instrument partnerships (~$2.0M/yr assumed), monitoring & moderation of amateur/academic channels (~$500k/yr), HPC/cloud recurring (~$125k/yr), smallsat cluster ops (~$1.0M/yr), and public science/grant seeding (~$2.0M/yr).
Covert Insertion Operations $5.0M/yr
[#3] Per-mission covert insertion operations budget modelled for ~5 target missions/year; mid-range annual estimate ~$5.0M/yr.
Facilities Maintenance $3.5M/yr
[#9, #14] Ongoing ops & maintenance for secure classified infrastructure (~$500k/yr) and sample-containment facilities recurring ops/staffing (~$3.0M/yr).
Ground Station Access $3.5M/yr
[#4] Ongoing negotiated/compromised access and operational control of ground-station/DSN telemetry streams (~$1–6M/yr; midpoint used).
Supply Chain Audits $3.0M/yr
[#23] Ongoing vendor audits and supply-chain protection to maintain Binary_Star.aic effectiveness (~$1–5M/yr; midpoint used).
Data Scrubbing And Forensics $2.0M/yr
[#8] Standing forensic/data-scrubbing rapid-response team and yearly capability (~$1–3M/yr; midpoint used), per-incident costs noted separately in item.
Smallsat Swarm Ops $1.0M/yr
[#18] Operations for smallsat / cubesat surveillance clusters (~$0.5–2M/yr; midpoint used).
Cybersecurity Program $750K/yr
[#10] Active cybersecurity, red-team testing and monitoring program (~$300k–$1.2M/yr; midpoint used).
Secure Transport Ops $500K/yr
[#19] Recurring maintenance/ops for secure transport/evidence-disposal capability (~$200k–1M/yr; midpoint used).
Training Exercises $125K/yr
[#22] Recurring exercises and drills (~$50–200k/yr; midpoint used).
Supplies And Consumables $0/yr
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Logistics And Transport $0/yr
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⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $67.8M/yr
93.9% probability / year
Normal year: routine monitoring, suppression, and maintenance with no major incidents or orbital deviations.
no leaks no orbital deviation routine ops
🚨 Minor Incident $70.3M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Localized leak or amateur detection requiring accelerated forensic response, targeted PR/legal actions, and extra covert payments.
amateur image leak small viral disclosure limited whistleblower
🚨 Major Breach $117.8M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$50.0M vs baseline
Multi-source discovery or international media exposure requiring large-scale legal/political escalation and expanded covert action.
multi-national disclosure governmental investigation coordinated whistleblower
🚨 Orbital Deviation Response $50.1B/yr
0.1% probability / year +$50.0B vs baseline
SCP-7713 deviates from expected orbit requiring active deflection/interception program and emergency international-level response.
measurable orbital deviation identified impact risk containment class escalation
👥 Personnel 49 total
Role Count Notes
Intelligence Analyst / Liaison 12 [#1] Dedicated continuous SIGINT/OSINT and mission-monitoring analysts and liaison officers (12 staff as in analyst note; used in staff_wages).
Research Scientist 12 [#15] Specialist astro/xeno/physics/biology research team (estimated 10–20; midpoint used) represented in staff_wages.
Engineer / Maintenance 8 [#2, #16] Firmware/engineering support and HPC/ops personnel to develop Binary_Star.aic and maintain test benches and compute infrastructure.
Cybersecurity Analyst / Red Team 5 [#10, #8] Cybersecurity and red-team staff responsible for endpoint monitoring, repo surveillance, and forensic counter-analysis.
Administrative Staff 6 [#20, #11] Administration, HR, legal liaison, and program admin supporting classified staff and cover organizations.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#19, #20] Physical security and rapid-response teams for seizures, secure transport and on-site operations.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates span wide ranges (many items are covert, geopolitical, or contingent on rare orbital changes). Large one-time contingency items and variable per-mission/bribe costs drive uncertainty; hence low confidence.
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