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SCP-7714 pending ? low confidence
SCP-7714
Expected annual
$1.7B
One-time setup
$17.8B
Annual recurring
$1.6B
Personnel
250
One-time establishment costs are dominated by construction and deep-sea infrastructure (Abyssal Area-7, power/comms, and supporting fleets) totaling tens of billions; recurring annual costs (~$1.6B/year baseline) are driven by site operations, logistics, methane mitigation and enforcement.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $17.8B
Facilities $14.9B
[#1, #3, #4, #12, #18, #31] Construction and structural infrastructure: full Abyssal Area-7 build, subsea power & comms cable installation, provisional perimeter outposts, Antarctic Area-13 construction, and decommissioning set-aside; mid-range estimates used.
Equipment $2.2B
[#5, #7, #8, #10, #21, #29] Capital equipment purchases: deep-rated ROV/AUV/UAV fleet, heavy-lift salvage gear, methane capture hardware, perimeter surface vessels, aircraft acquisition/leases, and seabed sensors/repeaters.
Contingency Reserve $550.0M
[#25] One-time contingency and environmental remediation reserve for catastrophic methane releases, large-scale salvage and remediation.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $150.0M
[#16] Onshore/near-shore high-security laboratory buildout and specialized scientific instruments, cryostorage, containment equipment and initial inventory.
Legal Infrastructure $27.5M
[#23] One-time cover-story/legal infrastructure: shell companies, initial liaison payments, false permits and seeded publications.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.6B/yr
Facilities Maintenance $600.0M/yr
[#2] Abyssal Area-7 annual operations & maintenance: life support, pressure system refurbishment, on-site utilities, dive/sub support and routine systems maintenance.
Logistics And Transport $395.0M/yr
[#6, #11, #13, #19, #22] ROV/AUV/UAV operations & maintenance, perimeter enforcement crewing and patrol operations, outpost operations/inspection logistics, Antarctic resupply/icebreaker support and aircraft/helicopter flight crews and ops.
Supplies And Consumables $330.0M/yr
[#9, #28] Methane mitigation operations (fuel/oxidizer for flaring, consumables, sensor replacements) plus logistics consumables for remote sites (food, medical, diving gases, small parts).
Research And Monitoring $104.0M/yr
[#15, #20, #27, #30] Ongoing scientific programs (xenobiology, archaeology, sequencing), satellite/airborne tasking, long-term artifact conservation and 24/7 monitoring/data analysis.
Staff Wages $82.5M/yr
[#14, #17] Salaries, benefits, hazard pay and rotation logistics for Stationary Task Force ᛝ-1 and on-site/onshore laboratory scientific & technical staff (mid-range estimates).
Insurance And Liability $52.5M/yr
[#26] Annual maritime/environmental risk premiums, third-party indemnities and claims handling.
Cover Story And Legal $27.5M/yr
[#24] Ongoing legal retainer fees, PR/veil maintenance, payments/compensation and government interface to preserve secrecy.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.6B/yr
83.0% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year with steady operations, monitoring and routine maintenance; no major incidents.
routine_operations scheduled_maintenance normal_methane_emissions
🚨 Minor Incident $1.7B/yr
10.0% probability / year +$100.0M vs baseline
Localized methane spike or equipment loss requiring targeted emergency response, temporary mission disruption and equipment replacement.
localized_methane_spike equipment_failure small_scale_salvage
🚨 Major Breach $2.6B/yr
4.0% probability / year +$1.0B vs baseline
Significant structural or systems failure at Abyssal Area-7 or major perimeter enforcement failure requiring heavy-lift recovery, major repairs and public/veil response.
structural_collapse major_methane_release vessel_incursion
🚨 Catastrophic Methane Release $2.3B/yr
3.0% probability / year +$750.0M vs baseline
Massive CH4 expulsion from SCP-7714-A causing large-scale environmental risk, emergency mitigation, large remediation and potential veil exposure expenses.
massive_CH4_emission environmental_contamination veil_exposure_risk
👥 Personnel 250 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 200 [#14] Permanent on-site STF ᛝ-1 contingent and rotating reinforcements (primary security/containment presence at Abyssal Area-7).
Research Scientist 15 [#17] On-site and onshore laboratory scientific staff accounted for in staff_wages (xenobiology, archaeology, geology specialists).
Technician / ROV Operator 20 [#6, #17] Vehicle pilots, ROV/AUV maintenance technicians and lab technicians covered by staff_wages portion for operations and lab support.
Engineer / Maintenance 10 [#2, #6] Mechanical and subsea systems engineers for pressure systems, power/comms and heavy-lift equipment maintenance (salaries included in staff_wages estimates).
Medical Officer 5 [#2, #14] On-site medical personnel and medevac support for deployed teams; costs included in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are order-of-magnitude midpoints from wide analyst ranges; deep-sea engineering, methane flux uncertainty, choice between charter vs purchase and political/veil risks create high variance, so overall confidence is low.
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